840
FXUS64 KSHV 081949
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
249 PM CDT MON JUN 8 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 123 PM CDT MON JUN 8 2026
- ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON, BUT DRIER CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL
THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK.
- HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH
THE CURRENT WORK WEEK. HEAT INDICES MAY APPROACH OR EXCEED 100
DEGREES. SENSITIVE GROUPS ARE ADVISED TO TAKE PRECAUTIONS.
- SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE AGAIN BY THE END OF THE
WEEK AND CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 123 PM CDT MON JUN 8 2026
A WARM AND HUMID AIRMASS REMAINS OVER THE REGION TODAY. IN FACT,
TODAY'S 18Z SOUNDING REVEALED PRECIPITABLE WATER (PWAT) VALUES
JUST OVER 2", WHICH IS ABOVE THE 90 PERCENTILE FOR EARLY JUNE.
WITH THIS MOISTURE RICH AIRMASS IN PLACE, WE ONLY NEEDED A LITTLE
BIT OF SUN THIS MORNING TO INITIATE SHOWERS. THESE ISOLATED TO
WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS HAVE BEEN WIDESPREAD OVER THE PAST FEW
HOURS AND SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON, WITH SOME
EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY MIXING IN. COVERAGE SHOULD STAY
ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED DUE TO THE ABSENCE OF ANY LARGE
SCALE FORCING MECHANISMS. WITH THE HUMIDITY IN PLACE AND AFTERNOON
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S, EXPECT HEAT INDEX VALUES OR FEEL-LIKE
TEMPERATURES TO TOP OUT BETWEEN 100-105 DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET, DUE TO THE
LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING. UPPER RIDGING WILL QUICKLY BUILD
NORTHWARD INTO THE REGION FROM THE NORTHERN GULF OVERNIGHT. WARM
AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN, WITH LOWS IN THE MID 70S. LOW
STRATUS IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AS WELL, BUT IT SHOULD DIMINISH BY
MID-TUESDAY MORNING.
THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD INTO SOUTHERN
PLAINS AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THROUGH A LARGE PORTION OF
THIS WEEK. THIS WILL YIELD QUIET WEATHER UNDER PARTLY CLOUDY
SKIES, ALTHOUGH A STRAY SHOWER OR TWO CAN'T BE RULED OUT DURING
PEAK HEATING HOURS. WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN, WITH
AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. AT THIS TIME, WE AREN'T EXPECTING
ANY HEAT PRODUCTS TO BE ISSUED. HOWEVER, PLEASE EXERCISE HEAT
SAFETY PRECAUTIONS, AS HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL TOP OUT BETWEEN
100-105 DEGREES EACH AFTERNOON.
BY THURSDAY NIGHT, THE RIDGE WILL START TO FLATTEN OUT AND SHIFT
WEST OF THE REGION. THE PATTERN ALOFT WILL START TO SHIFT TO MORE
OF A NORTHWEST FLOW TYPE SET-UP, AS A LONG-WAVE TROUGH ARRIVES
INTO OUR NORTHERN ZONES FRIDAY MORNING. THIS WILL BRING THE
RETURN OF RAIN CHANCES ALONG AND NORTH OF I-20 ON FRIDAY. THE
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT PATTERN WILL BECOME MORE ENTRENCHED OVER THE
REGION DURING THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. RAIN CHANCES WILL BECOME
WIDESPREAD, AS SEVERAL DISTURBANCES MOVE ALONG THE FLOW DURING
THIS PERIOD. WIDESPREAD RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN THROUGH THE FIRST
PORTION OF NEXT WEEK, AS A COOL FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA.
/20/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1238 PM CDT MON JUN 8 2026
ALL SITES HAVE RETURNED TO VFR CIGS AT THE TOP OF THIS PERIOD.
CLOUDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO LIFT AND SCATTER OUT A BIT THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL STAY SOUTHERLY BUT GUST OCCASIONALLY BEFORE
CALMING DOWN THIS EVENING. MVFR/IFR CIGS WILL RETURN EARLY
TOMORROW MORNING FOR MOST AREAS. THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY ON HOW
FAR NORTH AND EAST THESE CLOUDS WILL EXTEND, PARTICULARLY FOR
KTXK, KELD, AND KMLU. I'VE LEFT SOME LOWER CIGS AT THOSE SITES FOR
NOW BUT THEY MAY BE REMOVED IN THE NEXT PACKAGE. AS IS TYPICAL,
CIGS SHOULD LIFT AND SCATTER OUT IN THE LATE MORNING TO EARLY
AFTERNOON HOURS. /57/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 123 PM CDT MON JUN 8 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. /20/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 93 76 95 77 / 30 20 0 0
MLU 92 76 95 77 / 30 20 0 0
DEQ 90 75 93 75 / 20 20 0 0
TXK 93 76 96 77 / 20 20 0 0
ELD 91 75 94 77 / 30 20 0 0
TYR 93 75 94 76 / 20 20 0 0
GGG 94 75 94 77 / 20 20 0 0
LFK 92 74 94 75 / 30 20 20 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...20
AVIATION...57
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