947
FXUS64 KSHV 092344
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
644 PM CDT TUE JUN 9 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 159 PM CDT TUE JUN 9 2026
- A HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
TEXAS, SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS THROUGH 7 PM
THIS EVENING .
- HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH
THE CURRENT WORK WEEK, WITH HEAT INDICES APPROACHING 105
DEGREES IN SOME AREAS. SENSITIVE GROUPS ARE ADVISED TO TAKE
PRECAUTIONS.
- SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE AGAIN BY THE END OF THE
WEEK AND CONTINUE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 159 PM CDT TUE JUN 9 2026
ANOTHER WARM AND HUMID DAY, AS UPPER RIDGING HAS SETTLED INTO THE
REGION. THIS PROMPTED US TO ISSUE A HEAT ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA, AND PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST TEXAS AND ADJACENT SOUTHWEST
ARKANSAS, AS HEAT INDEX VALUES ARE FORECASTED TO REACH THE 105
DEGREE THRESHOLD. DESPITE THE RIDGE IN PLACE, A STRAY SHOWER OR
THUNDERSTORM CAN'T BE RULED OUT WITH PEAK HEATING THIS AFTERNOON,
ESPECIALLY ACROSS OUR DEEP EAST TEXAS AND ADJACENT CENTRAL
LOUISIANA ZONES. CURRENTLY, WE ARE SEEING SOME ISOLATED SEABREEZE
INDUCED CONVECTION ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND ADJACENT SOUTHWEST
LOUISIANA NEAR THE I-10 CORRIDOR, WHICH IS PUSHING NORTHWARD. IF
THIS ACTIVITY MAKES IT INTO OUR REGION, IT WILL LIKELY DISSIPATE
AROUND SUNSET DUE TO THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING. EXPECT SIMILAR
CONDITIONS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS, AS UPPER RIDGING WILL
REMAIN IN PLACE OVER THE REGION. AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL CONTINUE TO
CLIMB INTO THE LOW TO MID 90S. WE CAN'T RULE OUT ADDITIONAL HEAT
ADVISORIES, AS AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES WILL LIKELY RANGE BETWEEN
100-106 DEGREES DURING THIS PERIOD. WE COULD ALSO SEE MORE STRAY
TO ISOLATED SHOWERS WITH DAYTIME HEATING, ESPECIALLY ON WEDNESDAY
ACROSS OUR DEEP EAST TEXAS AND ADJACENT CENTRAL LOUISIANA ZONES.
BY THURSDAY NIGHT, THE SYNOPTIC WEATHER PATTER WILL START TO
CHANGE, AS THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER RIDGE WILL START TO FLATTEN
OUT. THIS WILL ALLOW A LONG-WAVE TROUGH TO DIVE SOUTHWARD INTO
THE REGION BY FRIDAY MORNING. AT THE MOMENT, LONG-TERM PROGS HALT
THE SOUTHWARD PROGRESSION OF THE TROUGH TO THE NORTHERN HALF OF
OUR FORECAST AREA THROUGH SATURDAY. THIS WILL LIKELY KEEP THE BEST
RAIN CHANCES ALONG AND NORTH OF THE I-20 CORRIDOR THROUGH THE
FIRST HALF OF THE WEEKEND. BY SUNDAY, WHAT'S LEFT OF THE RIDGE
WILL START TO SHIFT WESTWARD INTO THE SOUTHWEST CONUS. FLOW ALOFT
WILL BECOME MORE NORTHWESTERLY, DRIVING A COOL FRONT INTO THE
REGION LATE SUNDAY INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THIS WILL BRING
WIDESPREAD RAIN CHANCES ACROSS THE REGION. PREVIOUS MODEL RUNS HAD
THE FRONT STALLING ACROSS THE AREA, KEEPING RAIN CHANCES IN THE
FORECAST FOR TUESDAY. HOWEVER, THE MOST RECENT RUNS ARE SUGGESTING
THE FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION. THIS WOULD BRING A RETURN
OF DRY WEATHER, ALONG WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER AND LESS HUMID CONDITIONS.
/20/
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 622 PM CDT TUE JUN 9 2026
FEW FAIR WEATHER CUMULUS CLOUDS AROUND 5KFT EARLY THIS EVENING
WILL DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET, LENDING TO CLEAR SKIES TO START THE
OVERNIGHT PERIOD. ANOTHER BLANKET OF MVFR CEILINGS (POCKETS OF IFR
LIKELY AS WELL) WILL THEN OVERSPREAD THE AIRSPACE AFTER MIDNIGHT
AND TOWARDS SUNRISE ON WEDNESDAY. KMLU AND KELD HAVE THE LOWEST
PROBABILITY OF EXPERIENCING LOW CEILINGS EARLY WEDNESDAY (20-30%).
CEILINGS WILL LIFT AND SCATTER BACK TO VFR FROM MID-LATE MORNING
INTO EARLY AFTERNOON. NO RESTRICTIONS TO VSBYS EXPECTED THIS TAF
PERIOD. WINDS S/SE AROUND 5KTS OVERNIGHT WILL SHIFT SLIGHTLY S/SW
ON WEDNESDAY AROUND 10KTS, WITH PERIODIC GUSTS TO 20KTS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CK
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 159 PM CDT TUE JUN 9 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. /20/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 77 96 78 96 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 77 95 77 95 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 76 93 78 93 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 78 96 78 95 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 76 93 77 93 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 77 95 77 95 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 77 95 77 95 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 75 93 75 93 / 10 20 0 10
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR ARZ050-051-059-060-
070.
LA...NONE.
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR OKZ077.
TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR TXZ096-097-108-109-
111-112.
DISCUSSION...20
AVIATION...23
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