409
FXUS64 KSHV 270439
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1139 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1111 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2026
- THE HEAT IS ON, TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY CLIMB HEADING INTO THE
WEEKEND ACROSS THE REGION.
- DANGEROUS HEAT INDEX READINGS WILL BEGIN STARTING TODAY AND
CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND, WITH HEAT HEADLINES POSSIBLE LATE
WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK.
- OUR NEXT CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION ANYWHERE IN THE REGION WON'T
COME TILL THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1111 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2026
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD INTO THE REGION THIS
WEEKEND AND ONLY GROWING LARGER AND STRONGER AS WE HEAD INTO THE
START OF NEXT WEEK. AS A RESULT, THE SKIES WILL REMAIN DRY AND THE
BLAZING HEAT WILL SOAR ON HIGH. THE TREND OVERALL THE PAST FEW
DAYS IS THAT WE HAVE UNDERPERFORMED IN TERMS OF AFTERNOON HIGH
TEMPERATURES, SO I HAVE BEEN GOING ON THE LOWER SIDE OF GUIDANCE.
FOR TONIGHT, I FOLLOWED THE SAME SUIT, JUST NOT AS MUCH, I DID
BRING TEMPERATURES DOWN SLIGHTLY, BUT STILL THINK MUCH OF THE
REGION WILL BE IN THE LOWER TO MID 90S. AND TO BE HONEST, THE
AMBIENT TEMPERATURES ARE NOT THE MAIN CONCERN FOR THE NEXT FEW
DAYS, THAT WILL BE THE HEAT INDEX READINGS. TODAY WE WILL BE
BORDERLINE HEAT ADVISORY CRITERIA, MAINLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF DEEP
EAST TEXAS, WHERE THEY WILL BE PUSHING 105 DEGREES. THINKING THAT
ON SUNDAY, WE COULD REACH HIGH ENOUGH ACROSS A LARGER PORTION OF
THE REGION TO NEED SOME SORT OF HEAT HEADLINE, BUT EVEN SUNDAY
LOOKS LIKE WE WILL ONLY BE FLIRTING WITH 105 DEGREES, ASIDE FROM
DEEP EAST TEXAS, WHERE THEY MAY BREAK THAT THRESHOLD.
THE RIDGE ONLY GROWS STRONGER ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY, AND WHILE WE
WILL STILL SEE AMBIENT TEMPERATURES TOP OUT IN THE 90S BOTH DAYS,
HEAT INDEX VALUES COULD REACH DANGEROUS LEVELS ACROSS THE REGION,
ALTHOUGH THEY HAVE TRENDED DOWNWARD SLIGHTLY THIS EVENING. WHILE I
WAS NOT READY TO PULL THE TRIGGER ON ANY HEAT HEADLINES QUITE YET,
I THINK WE WILL NEED TO IN THE COMING DAYS. AND WHILE DIURNALLY
DRIVEN THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TOWARDS THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK, THE HEAT WILL REMAIN IN PLACE WITH HEAT RELATED ILLNESS
CONCERNS ALL WEEK. LASTLY, WE DID SEE SOME STRONG WIND GUSTS ON
FRIDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF EAST TEXAS, MUCH STRONGER ACROSS THE THE
DFW METROPLEX. THINKING THAT WE WILL SEE SOMETHING SIMILAR TODAY
ACROSS PORTIONS OF EAST TEXAS, WE WILL SEE WIDESPREAD GUSTS OF
AROUND 20-25 MPH AND MAYBE SOME GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH, BUT NOT
WIDESPREAD ENOUGH OR CERTAIN ENOUGH TO GO WITH A WIND ADVISORY.
/33/
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 631 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2026
MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL LIKELY RESULT IN PATCHY MVFR STRATUS
ACROSS THE WHOLE OF THE FOUR STATE REGION EARLY TOMORROW MORNING
THROUGH LATE MORNING, ALTHOUGH CONFIDENCE IN CONSISTENT (NON-
TEMPO) IMPACT IS HIGHER AT SHV, LFK, AND MLU. EXPECT THESE LOW
CLOUDS TO BE BREAKING UP WITH BASES LIFTING TO 3 TO 5 KFT FROM 10
AM TO NOON TOMORROW. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL KEEP
PRECIPITATION AT BAY, ALTHOUGH A SPRINKLE OR TWO FROM MORNING
STRATUS CANNOT BE RULED OUT. EXPECT S TO SSW WINDS TONIGHT TO
CEASE GUSTING SHORTLY AND RANGE FROM 5 TO 15 MPH OVERNIGHT, BUT
THEN PICKING UP TO A RANGE OF 15 TO 20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS BY
MID TO LATE MORNING TOMORROW. OTHERWISE, EXPECT SOME MID LEVEL
(~15 KFT) AND HIGH LEVEL (~25 KFT) CEILINGS AT TIMES THROUGH
TOMORROW, ESPECIALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE I-20 CORRIDOR. /50/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1142 AM CDT THU JUN 25 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT. /05/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 77 95 77 95 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 78 95 77 95 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 76 92 76 93 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 77 94 77 95 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 77 93 76 94 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 76 95 77 96 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 76 94 77 95 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 76 95 77 96 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...33
AVIATION...50
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