711
FXUS64 KSHV 280523
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1223 AM CDT SUN JUN 28 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1206 AM CDT SUN JUN 28 2026
- UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE CONTINUES TO BUILD AND STRENGTHEN ACROSS THE
REGION, LEADING TO DRY AND HOT CONDITIONS.
- RIDGE PUSHES TOWARDS THE EAST AROUND THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK,
ALLOWING SOME PRECIPITATION CHANCES TO RETURN.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1206 AM CDT SUN JUN 28 2026
MODELS REMAIN IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING WILL
BUILD AND STRENGTHEN ACROSS THE REGION OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS.
AS A RESULT, DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL, AND
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY INCREASE. WE HAVE SEEN
TEMPERATURES INCREASE A DEGREE OR TWO SINCE THE SKIES DRIED UP,
AND THIS TREND WILL ONLY CONTINUE FOR SUNDAY AND INTO THE START OF
NEXT WEEK. WE HAVE REMAINED BORDERLINE FOR REACHING THAT HEAT
ADVISORY THRESHOLD OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS, AND WE WILL BE CLOSE
AGAIN ON SUNDAY. I STILL DON'T THINK THAT WE WILL SEE WIDESPREAD
HEAT INDEX VALUES GREATER THAN 105 DEGREES ON SUNDAY, SO I AM
ELECTING NOT TO GO WITH A HEAT ADVISORY TODAY, DESPITE HAVING THEM
POP UP JUST EAST OF OUR CWA. THINKING THAT MONDAY AND TUESDAY WILL
STILL BE OUR BEST DAYS TO REACH CRITERIA AND LIKELY NEED SOME HEAT
HEADLINES.
WHILE THE HEAT IS EXPECTED TO LINGER WELL INTO THE MIDDLE AND END
OF NEXT WEEK. THE RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT FURTHER TO THE EAST,
WHICH WILL PLACE OUR AREA ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERAL. THIS WILL
ALLOW SOME GULF MOISTURE TO PUSH NORTHWARD INTO OUR REGION, AND
COULD LEAD TO DAILY DIURNALLY DRIVEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
STARTING ON WEDNESDAY AND LINGERING INTO THE END OF THE WEEK. IT
WILL NOT BE ANYTHING LIKE THE RAIN WE GOT OVER THE PAST TWO WEEKS,
WITH 1-7 DAY QPF AMOUNTS REMAINING QUITE MEAGER. /33/
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 616 PM CDT SAT JUN 27 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH MOST OF THE EVENING HOURS
ACROSS OUR AIRSPACE. LOOK FOR RETURNING MVFR CEILINGS HOWEVER
OVERNIGHT THROUGH THE MID MORNING HOURS ON SUNDAY BEFORE THIS
CLOUD COVER THINS AND SCATTERS OUT BY MID TO LATE MORNING.
THEREFORE VFR CONDITIONS WILL RETURN. CURRENT GUSTS SHOULD SUBSIDE
SOMEWHAT ACROSS MOST LOCATIONS WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE TYR
TERMINAL WHERE GUSTS UPWARDS OF 18 TO 22KTS COULD CONTINUE
OVERNIGHT. WITH SUFFICIENT MIXING, LOOK FOR STRONGER SSE TO SSW
GUSTS PREVAILING BY MID TO LATE MORNING WITH SPEEDS UPWARDS OF
25KTS. STRONGEST WINDS WILL REMAIN ACROSS OUR WESTERN AIRSPACE
THROUGH THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD.
13
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1206 AM CDT SUN JUN 28 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 95 77 96 77 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 95 77 95 77 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 93 76 94 76 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 96 77 96 77 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 94 77 95 76 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 96 77 97 76 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 95 77 96 76 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 96 77 97 75 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...33
AVIATION...13
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