929
FXUS64 KSHV 161714
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1214 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1200 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2026
- ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE THIS AFTERNOON AND
ACROSS MAINLY EAST AND NORTHEAST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
- DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED FROM FRIDAY THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK AS AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS AREAWIDE.
- GRADUAL WARMING TREND EXPECTED WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE
UPPER 90S BY TUESDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1202 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2026
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE IN THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF OF AMERICA TO
RETROGRADE WEST THROUGH THIS EVENING BECOMING MORE ESTABLISHED
ACROSS THE ARKLATEX. A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE
POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST TEXAS
AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AS THE INFLUENCE OF AN UPPER-LOW
ACROSS TEXAS MAY STILL MAINTAIN AN INFLUENCE ACROSS THESE AREAS.
ON FRIDAY, UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE TO BECOME FIRMLY ESTABLISHED ACROSS
THE REGION SETTING THE STAGE FOR A DRYING TREND THAT WILL PERSIST
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO
CLIMB INTO THE MID 90S THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN
THE MID 70S.
A STRONGER UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE ACROSS THE ROCKIES WILL STRENGTHEN
AND MERGE WITH THE PREVAILING HIGH ACROSS THE ARKLATEX, DRIVING
HIGH TEMPERATURES INTO THE UPPER 90S TO NEAR 100 DEGREES BY
TUESDAY. ACCORDINGLY, HEAT HEADLINES WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED EARLY
NEXT WEEK.
LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL MAINTAIN DEWPOINT VALUES IN THE UPPER
60S TO LOWER 70S THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK. A DRY FRONTAL
BOUNDARY MAY MOVE INTO THE REGION ON TUESDAY, POSSIBLY BRINGING
LOWER DEWPOINTS TO THE I-30 CORRIDOR BY WEDNESDAY. /05/
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 603 AM CDT THU JUL 16 2026
FOR THE 16/12Z TAF PERIOD, VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL TO BEGIN THE
TAF PERIOD WITH MID AND HIGH CLOUDS BLANKETING MUCH OF OUR
AIRSPACE. THROUGH DAYBREAK THIS MORNING, STILL WATCHING FOR SOME
PATCHY LOW STRATUS DEVELOPMENT ACROSS OUR EAST TX TERMINALS AND
POSSIBLY KSHV. OTHERWISE, LOOK FOR ANY LOW CIGS TO GRADUALLY LIFT
BACK TO VFR BY MID TO LATE MORNING WITH A HEALTHY CU FIELD THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON. FOR NOW, HAVE NOT INCLUDED MENTION OF CONVECTION
AT ANY TERMINAL SITES BUT WILL RE-EVALUATE THIS POSSIBILITY WITH
THE NEXT TAF CYCLE. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS THIS MORNING WILL
GENERALLY PREVAIL WITH A MORE S/SW COMPONENT DURING THE DAY AS
SPEEDS AVERAGE AROUND 5-10 KTS WITH SLIGHTLY HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE
DURING THE AFTERNOON.
/19/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1200 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.
/05/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 75 93 76 95 / 20 10 10 0
MLU 76 96 77 97 / 10 10 10 0
DEQ 71 91 72 92 / 20 20 10 0
TXK 74 94 75 96 / 20 10 10 0
ELD 73 94 74 95 / 10 10 10 0
TYR 75 93 76 94 / 20 10 10 0
GGG 74 93 75 95 / 20 10 10 0
LFK 73 94 74 95 / 20 10 10 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...05
AVIATION...19
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