040
FXUS64 KSHV 051843
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
143 PM CDT WED AUG 5 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 115 PM CDT WED AUG 5 2026
- WHILE WE WILL REMAIN BELOW HEAT HEADLINE CRITERIA, SUMMERTIME
HEAT WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE REGION.
- SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE THROUGH FRIDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 115 PM CDT WED AUG 5 2026
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING REMAINS CENTERED OVER THE FOUR CORNERS REGION
THIS AFTERNOON, WITH OUR AREA REMAINING ON THE EASTERN PERIPHERAL.
THERE WILL BE LITTLE MOVEMENT WITH THIS RIDGE THROUGHOUT THE REST
OF THE WEEK. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO INFLUENCE OUR AREA IN A COUPLE
OF WAYS. THE HEAT WILL REMAIN THE MAIN FACTOR, WITH HOT
TEMPERATURES CONTINUING THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK.
GRANTED THIS IS FAIRLY NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR, IT LOOKS
LIKE ARE DEWPOINTS ARE MIXING OUT WELL EACH DAY, AND SHOULD
CONTINUE TO DO SO, WHICH SHOULD KEEP US UNDER THE 105 DEGREE
THRESHOLD FOR ANY HEAT HEADLINES. SIMILAR TO TODAY, AFTERNOON
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS AREAS
GENERALLY SOUTH OF I-30 THROUGH FRIDAY, WITH THE GREATER CHANCES
FURTHER TO THE SOUTH AND EAST YOU GET IN THE AREA.
FOR THE START OF NEXT WEEK, OUR AREA COULD BE SANDWICHED BETWEEN
TWO HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEMS, THE AFOREMENTIONED ONE OVER THE FOUR
CORNERS AND ONE THAT HAS BEEN HANGING OUT OVER THE SOUTHEAST
CONUS. IF THIS HAPPENS, THAT COULD INCREASE SOME OF OUR CHANCES
FOR PRECIPITATION, ALTHOUGH MODELS ARE NOT IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT
TO THIS AT THIS TIME. THAT BEING SAID, WE WILL CONTINUE RUNNING
WITH THE NBM FOR PRECIPITATION FOR NEXT WEEK WHICH WILL KEEP OUR
CHANCES VERY LIMITED. /33/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 115 PM CDT WED AUG 5 2026
A SCT CU FIELD HAS DEVELOPED AND IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST AREAWIDE
UNTIL JUST AFTER SUNSET (06/03Z), WITH A FEW OF THESE STICKING
AROUND THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. THERE IS ONGOING SCT CONVECTION IN
OUR SOUTHERN AIRSPACE, WITH MORE SPOTTY DEVELOPMENT POSSIBLE LATER
AREAWIDE. DUE TO THE SPOTTINESS AND LACK OF CONFIDENCE IN EXACT
PLACEMENT OF CONVECTION, TAFS WILL BE AMENDED AS NEEDED FOR ANY
TERMINALS. OTHERWISE, EXPECT S-SW WINDS AROUND 5-10KTS, WITH THESE
WINDS RELAXING SLIGHTLY OVERNIGHT.
/OZIMEK/PENDLETON/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 115 PM CDT WED AUG 5 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 77 96 76 95 / 0 20 0 0
MLU 75 96 74 96 / 0 20 0 10
DEQ 73 97 72 96 / 10 0 0 10
TXK 77 97 75 96 / 0 20 0 10
ELD 74 95 73 94 / 0 30 0 10
TYR 77 97 75 96 / 0 10 0 0
GGG 76 97 74 96 / 0 10 0 0
LFK 75 94 74 94 / 10 20 0 10
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...33
AVIATION...26
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