359
FXUS64 KSHV 052359 AAA
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
659 PM CDT WED AUG 5 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 115 PM CDT WED AUG 5 2026
- WHILE WE WILL REMAIN BELOW HEAT HEADLINE CRITERIA, SUMMERTIME
HEAT WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE REGION.
- SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE THROUGH FRIDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 115 PM CDT WED AUG 5 2026
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING REMAINS CENTERED OVER THE FOUR CORNERS REGION
THIS AFTERNOON, WITH OUR AREA REMAINING ON THE EASTERN PERIPHERAL.
THERE WILL BE LITTLE MOVEMENT WITH THIS RIDGE THROUGHOUT THE REST
OF THE WEEK. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO INFLUENCE OUR AREA IN A COUPLE
OF WAYS. THE HEAT WILL REMAIN THE MAIN FACTOR, WITH HOT
TEMPERATURES CONTINUING THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK.
GRANTED THIS IS FAIRLY NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR, IT LOOKS
LIKE ARE DEWPOINTS ARE MIXING OUT WELL EACH DAY, AND SHOULD
CONTINUE TO DO SO, WHICH SHOULD KEEP US UNDER THE 105 DEGREE
THRESHOLD FOR ANY HEAT HEADLINES. SIMILAR TO TODAY, AFTERNOON
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS AREAS
GENERALLY SOUTH OF I-30 THROUGH FRIDAY, WITH THE GREATER CHANCES
FURTHER TO THE SOUTH AND EAST YOU GET IN THE AREA.
FOR THE START OF NEXT WEEK, OUR AREA COULD BE SANDWICHED BETWEEN
TWO HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEMS, THE AFOREMENTIONED ONE OVER THE FOUR
CORNERS AND ONE THAT HAS BEEN HANGING OUT OVER THE SOUTHEAST
CONUS. IF THIS HAPPENS, THAT COULD INCREASE SOME OF OUR CHANCES
FOR PRECIPITATION, ALTHOUGH MODELS ARE NOT IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT
TO THIS AT THIS TIME. THAT BEING SAID, WE WILL CONTINUE RUNNING
WITH THE NBM FOR PRECIPITATION FOR NEXT WEEK WHICH WILL KEEP OUR
CHANCES VERY LIMITED. /33/
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 659 PM CDT WED AUG 5 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE 06/00Z TAF PERIOD.
ISOLATED CONVECTION WILL PERSIST ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE REGION
THROUGH MID-EVENING BEFORE DIMINISHING, BUT SHOULD NOT AFFECT ANY
OF THE AREA TERMINALS. HOWEVER, ELEVATED CIGS FROM THIS CONVECTION
WILL LIKELY LINGER THIS EVENING ACROSS THE REGION BEFORE
THINNING, WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR ELEVATED CU REDEVELOPMENT
POSSIBLE EVEN INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. BRIEF LOW MVFR CIGS ALSO
CAN'T BE RULED OUT BY/AFTER 12Z THURSDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF DEEP E
TX AND POSSIBLY AFFECTING LFK ONCE AGAIN, BEFORE
LIFTING/SCATTERING OUT BY MID-MORNING. A SCATTERED CU FIELD SHOULD
AGAIN DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION BY LATE MORNING/MIDDAY, WITH
ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED CONVECTION AGAIN POSSIBLE BY MID AND
LATE AFTERNOON. HOWEVER, LOW CONFIDENCE AND BREVITY PRECLUDES
MENTION IN THE TAF'S ATTM. LIGHT SSE OR LT/VRB WINDS TONIGHT WILL
BECOME SSW 5-8KTS AFTER 15Z, WITH LOCALLY HIGHER WIND GUSTS
POSSIBLE IN/NEAR THE CONVECTION. /15/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 115 PM CDT WED AUG 5 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 77 95 76 95 / 0 20 0 10
MLU 74 96 74 96 / 0 20 0 10
DEQ 73 97 73 95 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 76 98 76 97 / 0 10 0 10
ELD 73 95 74 95 / 0 20 0 10
TYR 77 97 75 96 / 0 10 0 10
GGG 76 97 74 96 / 0 10 0 10
LFK 75 94 74 94 / 10 10 10 10
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...33
AVIATION...15
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