619
FXUS64 KSHV 071858
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
158 PM CDT FRI AUG 7 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 107 PM CDT FRI AUG 7 2026
- WHILE IT WILL REMAIN HOT FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE, HEAT
INDEX VALUES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY BELOW HAZARD CRITERIA AT LEAST
THROUGH MONDAY.
- SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WHICH COULD PRODUCE SOME GUSTY
WINDS AT TIMES.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 107 PM CDT FRI AUG 7 2026
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN STAGNANT WITH NOT VERY LITTLE CHANGE TO
AFTERNOON HIGHS EACH DAY THROUGH TUESDAY. GENERALLY WE WILL SEE
TEMPERATURES RANGE NEAR THE MID 90S, GIVE OR TAKE A FEW ON EITHER
END, EACH DAY THROUGH TUESDAY. LONG RANGE GUIDANCE IS SUGGESTING
WARMER TEMPERATURES SETTLING IN TOWARDS THE MIDDLE AND END OF NEXT
WEEK THOUGH AS HIGH PRESSURE WILL STRENGTHEN ACROSS THE AREA. HEAT
INDEX VALUES WILL STILL MANAGE TO REACH INTO THE LOWER 100S EACH
DAY THROUGH MONDAY, BUT THEY ALSO SEEM TO REMAIN SOMEWHAT
STAGNANT, MEANING WE WILL CONTINUE TO HOLD OFF ON ANY HEAT
HEADLINES THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THAT DOES NOT MEAN IT WON'T BE HOT,
CAUSE IT WILL, AND SENSITIVE GROUPS ARE ADVISED TO CONTINUE TO
TAKE ROUTINE PRECAUTIONS WHEN OUTDOORS. WE COULD SEE A MAJOR HEAT
HEADLINE COMEBACK TOUR THOUGH TOWARDS THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE INCREASING THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS
PORTIONS OF DEEP EAST TEXAS, OUR LOUISIANA PARISHES, AND SOUTHERN
ARKANSAS. THIS SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE
AFTERNOON HOURS AS PEAK HEATING OCCURS AND THEN THINGS SHOULD
DIMINISH AGAIN AROUND SUNSET. THAT BEING SAID, SHORT RANGE MODELS
ARE PICKING UP ON A CLUSTER OF STORMS MOVING SOUTH INTO THE
NORTHERN PORTIONS OF OUR AREA DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS THAT WILL
NEED TO BE WATCHED. SPC HAS PAINTED A VERY SMALL MARGINAL RISK
ACROSS OUR FAR NORTHERN ZONES WITH THIS IN MIND. PRECIPITATION
CHANCES WILL BECOME MORE SLIM AS WE MOVE INTO NEXT WEEK, BUT WILL
NOT BE ZERO.
/33/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 140 PM CDT FRI AUG 7 2026
FOR THE 07/18Z TAF PERIOD, VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL THIS AFTERNOON
UNDER AN EXPANSIVE CU FIELD WITH BASES RANGING BETWEEN 4-6KFT.
VERY SPOTTY CONVECTION CONTINUES TO DEVELOP IN AFTERNOON PEAK
HEATING WITH THE BEST COVERAGE ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL AND NE LA.
THEREFORE, HAVE INCLUDED VCTS AT KMLU THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON WHILE
THE MAJORITY OF OUR TERMINALS SHOULD REMAIN FREE OF CONVECTION
UNTIL LATER IN THE TAF PERIOD. BY LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING, LARGER CONVECTIVE COMPLEX IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT SOUTH FROM
THE OZARKS INTO OUR NORTHERN AIRSPACE CLOSER TO 08/06Z SO HAVE
ADDED VCTS AT KTXK AND KELD DURING THE 06Z-09Z TIMEFRAME SATURDAY
MORNING. ELSEWHERE, HAVE GENERALLY TRENDED TOWARD VCSH LATER IN
THE MORNING ALONG OUR I-20 TERMINALS WITH AN EXPECTATION OF THIS
CONVECTION WEAKENING TOWARD DAYBREAK AS ITS SHIFTS FARTHER SOUTH.
OTHERWISE, EXPECT LOW VFR CIGS LATE IN THE PERIOD WHILE LIGHT AND
OCCASIONALLY VARIABLE WINDS PREVAIL WITH A PREDOMINANT S/SW FETCH.
/19/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 107 PM CDT FRI AUG 7 2026
WHILE SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT NEEDED AT THIS TIME, ANY REPORTS
OF GUSTY WINDS WOULD BE APPRECIATED FROM ANY OF THE STRONGER
STORMS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 76 94 75 94 / 10 20 20 10
MLU 74 95 74 95 / 10 30 10 30
DEQ 71 94 70 94 / 30 30 10 10
TXK 75 95 74 95 / 30 20 10 20
ELD 73 93 73 94 / 10 30 10 20
TYR 75 96 75 95 / 10 30 20 10
GGG 74 95 74 95 / 10 20 20 20
LFK 73 93 73 93 / 0 10 10 30
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...33
AVIATION...19
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