505
FXUS64 KSHV 090418
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1118 PM CDT SAT AUG 8 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1048 PM CDT SAT AUG 8 2026
- LOW RAIN CHANCES COULD LINGER THROUGH TUESDAY BEFORE DRYING
OUT.
- WARM TEMPERATURES WILL GET EVEN WARMER, REACHING THE UPPER 90S
AND LOW TRIPLE DIGITS BY MIDWEEK.
- DROUGHT AND FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO WORSEN
WITH THE PROLONGED PERIOD OF HOT, DRY WEATHER.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1048 PM CDT SAT AUG 8 2026
SOME AREAS SAW RAIN THIS AFTERNOON, BUT THOSE THAT DIDN'T ARE
UNLIKELY TO SEE MUCH MORE OVER THE NEXT WEEK. RAIN CHANCES WILL
BE MUCH LOWER FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS WITHOUT A FORCING MECHANISM TO
ORGANIZE THINGS. AFTER TUESDAY AFTERNOON, RAIN CHANCES WILL BE
NEAR ZERO ACROSS THE ARK-LA-TX FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE.
AT THE SAME TIME, TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY TO STAY IN THE MID 90S
FOR THE REMAINDER OF THIS WEEKEND BEFORE WARMING INTO THE UPPER
90S FOR THE WORK WEEK. EVEN WITH THE WARM TEMPERATURES, CURRENT
FORECAST HEAT INDICES SHOULD REMAIN JUST BELOW HEAT ADVISORY
CRITERIA. THE AMOUNT OF BROAD SUBSIDENCE FROM TWO REGIONS OF
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING WILL LIMIT THE AMOUNT OF CLOUD COVER AND MAKE
TEMPERATURES FEEL THAT MUCH HOTTER. EVEN WITHOUT A HEAT PRODUCT,
ANYBODY SPENDING TIME OUTSIDE SHOULD TAKE MEASURES TO STAY
HYDRATED AND AVOID HEAT-RELATED ILLNESS.
IN ADDITION TO THE HEAT, THE AMBIENT CONDITIONS WILL WORSEN
DROUGHT AND MAKE FIRE STARTS/SPREADING MORE LIKELY. FUELS WILL
QUICKLY DRY OUT AFTER TODAY'S SHOWERS AND ANY IGNITION WILL HAVE
THE POTENTIAL TO START GRASS FIRES. MANY COUNTIES AND PARISHES
HAVE ALREADY ISSUED PUBLIC BURN BANS WITH MORE EXPECTED TO BE
ISSUED AS CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO DETERIORATE. FOLLOW THE GUIDANCE
OF LOCAL OFFICIALS ON BURN BANS AND REPORT ANY ACTIVE FIRES TO
EMERGENCY SERVICES.
57
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 647 PM CDT SAT AUG 8 2026
FOR THE ARKLATEX TERMINALS, ALL SITES HAVE BEEN UNDER THE GUN THIS
AFTN FROM AN OUTFLOW ARCING DOWN FROM THE I-30 AND THE N'WD
LIFTING SEA BREEZE. CONVECTION CONTINUES TO SLOWLY MOVE TOWARD AN
END WITH SUNSET AT HR AWAY. LIGHT S/SW WINDS PREVAIL OVERNIGHT
AND BUMP SPEEDS TO 5-10KT ON SUNDAY. MODELS INDICATE POSSIBLE
LIGHT BR/VCSH E OF I-49 AROUND DAYBREAK. THE WATER VAPOR SHOWS A
SHEAR AXIS OVERHEAD THAT IS WEAKENING, BUT WILL BRING ONE LAST
DECENT ROUND OF P.M. CONVECTION, NOW MODELED TO STRADDLE I-20
AGAIN MID TO LATE AFTN WITH A HOTTER/DRIER TREND THIS WORK WEEK.
/24/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1048 PM CDT SAT AUG 8 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 76 95 77 95 / 20 10 0 0
MLU 74 95 75 96 / 10 30 0 10
DEQ 70 96 72 97 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 74 96 75 97 / 10 10 0 0
ELD 71 93 73 95 / 20 20 0 10
TYR 76 97 76 97 / 10 10 0 0
GGG 75 97 74 97 / 10 10 0 0
LFK 74 95 74 94 / 20 10 10 10
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...57
AVIATION...19
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page