248
FXUS64 KSHV 100421
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1121 PM CDT SUN AUG 9 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1121 PM CDT SUN AUG 9 2026
- TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE HEADING INTO NEXT WEEK,
WITH SOME OF THE WARMEST TEMPERATURES OF THE SEASON POSSIBLE.
- UPCOMING DRY SPELL AND CONTINUED HOT TEMPERATURES WILL INCREASE
DROUGHT AND FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1121 PM CDT SUN AUG 9 2026
THE TWO SEPARATE REGIONS OF UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING ON EITHER SIDE OF
THE ARK-LA-TX REMAIN IN PLACE AT THE TIME OF WRITING. THE
SEPARATION OF THESE TWO RIDGES HAS ALLOWED SOME UPPER-LEVEL MOTION
TO REMAIN AND KEEP SCATTERED RAIN IN THE FORECAST FOR THE LAST
FEW DAYS. THIS PATTERN WILL HOLD FOR ANOTHER DAY OR SO, ALLOWING
SOME LIGHT RAIN IN OUR SOUTHERN ZONES MONDAY AFTERNOON, BEFORE
BOTH HIGHS MIGRATE TOWARDS EACH OTHER AND MERGE. THE RESULTING
BROAD RIDGE WILL LIMIT ADDITIONAL RAIN CHANCES SIGNIFICANTLY,
MAKING THE PUBLIC FORECAST DRY FROM TUESDAY ONWARD. EVEN WHEN THE
RIDGE SHRINKS AND MOVES TOWARD THE GULF IN THE LATTER HALF OF THE
WEEK, THE SOUTHWEST FLOW THAT WILL SET UP OVER THE REGION WILL BE
ADVECTING WARM, DRY AIR RATHER THAN MOISTURE.
WHAT THE RIDGE WON'T GIVE IN RAIN WILL CERTAINLY GIVE IN HEAT.
TEMPERATURES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS ARE EXPECTED TO HOVER AROUND
THE MID 90S, RESULTING IN HEAT INDICES IN THE UPPER 90S TO LOW
100S. CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY TO BEGIN CLIMBING TOWARD THE TRIPLE
DIGITS WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK. HEAT INDICES WILL
QUICKLY RISE AS WELL, MAKING A HEAT ADVISORY LIKELY BY THE END OF
THIS WEEK. BOTH THE LACK OF RAIN AND THE HEAT WILL MAKE DROUGHT
CONDITIONS AND FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS A PRIMARY FOCUS FOR THE
FORESEEABLE FUTURE.
57
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 655 PM CDT SUN AUG 9 2026
FOR THE ARKLATEX TERMINALS, VFR WILL PREVAIL THIS CYCLE WITH LIGHT
AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT AND S/SW WINDS 5-10KT AGAIN ON MONDAY.
SLIGHT CHANCE FOR CONVECTION MID TO LATE AFTN FOR KLFK AND KMLU
WITH HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS EVERYWHERE ELSE. THE UPPER HEAT RIDGE
WILL EXPAND INLAND OFF THE GULF AND E ATLANTIC AND PARK OVERHEAD
FOR A LONG WEEK WITH LITTLE IF ANY RAINFALL. /24/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 203 PM CDT SUN AUG 9 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 76 94 77 95 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 74 96 76 97 / 0 10 0 0
DEQ 71 95 72 95 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 75 96 76 96 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 73 95 75 95 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 75 95 76 96 / 10 0 0 0
GGG 73 96 75 97 / 10 0 0 0
LFK 73 93 74 95 / 0 20 10 10
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...57
AVIATION...24
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