763
FXUS64 KSHV 100608
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
108 AM CDT MON AUG 10 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1121 PM CDT SUN AUG 9 2026
- TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE HEADING INTO NEXT WEEK,
WITH SOME OF THE WARMEST TEMPERATURES OF THE SEASON POSSIBLE.
- UPCOMING DRY SPELL AND CONTINUED HOT TEMPERATURES WILL INCREASE
DROUGHT AND FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1121 PM CDT SUN AUG 9 2026
THE TWO SEPARATE REGIONS OF UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING ON EITHER SIDE OF
THE ARK-LA-TX REMAIN IN PLACE AT THE TIME OF WRITING. THE
SEPARATION OF THESE TWO RIDGES HAS ALLOWED SOME UPPER-LEVEL MOTION
TO REMAIN AND KEEP SCATTERED RAIN IN THE FORECAST FOR THE LAST
FEW DAYS. THIS PATTERN WILL HOLD FOR ANOTHER DAY OR SO, ALLOWING
SOME LIGHT RAIN IN OUR SOUTHERN ZONES MONDAY AFTERNOON, BEFORE
BOTH HIGHS MIGRATE TOWARDS EACH OTHER AND MERGE. THE RESULTING
BROAD RIDGE WILL LIMIT ADDITIONAL RAIN CHANCES SIGNIFICANTLY,
MAKING THE PUBLIC FORECAST DRY FROM TUESDAY ONWARD. EVEN WHEN THE
RIDGE SHRINKS AND MOVES TOWARD THE GULF IN THE LATTER HALF OF THE
WEEK, THE SOUTHWEST FLOW THAT WILL SET UP OVER THE REGION WILL BE
ADVECTING WARM, DRY AIR RATHER THAN MOISTURE.
WHAT THE RIDGE WON'T GIVE IN RAIN WILL CERTAINLY GIVE IN HEAT.
TEMPERATURES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS ARE EXPECTED TO HOVER AROUND
THE MID 90S, RESULTING IN HEAT INDICES IN THE UPPER 90S TO LOW
100S. CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY TO BEGIN CLIMBING TOWARD THE TRIPLE
DIGITS WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK. HEAT INDICES WILL
QUICKLY RISE AS WELL, MAKING A HEAT ADVISORY LIKELY BY THE END OF
THIS WEEK. BOTH THE LACK OF RAIN AND THE HEAT WILL MAKE DROUGHT
CONDITIONS AND FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS A PRIMARY FOCUS FOR THE
FORESEEABLE FUTURE.
57
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 104 AM CDT MON AUG 10 2026
FOR THE 10/06Z TAF PERIOD...VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL ACROSS
THE REGION OVERNIGHT, WITH THE ONE POSSIBLE EXCEPTION AT KLFK,
WHERE LOW CLOUDS MAY MOVE IN JUST AROUND DAYBREAK. OTHERWISE,
EXPECT SOME SCT CU BY THIS AFTERNOON. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR SOME
ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP,
BUT THOSE SHOULD REMAIN SOUTH OF THE I-20 CORRIDOR. DECIDED TO
ADD VCTS AT 21Z AT KLFK TO ACCOUNT FOR THAT POSSIBILITY.
CONVECTION SHOULD DIMINISH BY THE END OF THE PERIOD WITH THE LOSS
OF DAYTIME HEATING. /20/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 203 PM CDT SUN AUG 9 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 77 96 78 98 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 76 96 77 98 / 10 0 0 0
DEQ 73 96 74 99 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 76 96 78 99 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 75 95 76 97 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 76 97 77 99 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 75 97 76 99 / 10 0 0 0
LFK 74 96 75 97 / 20 10 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...57
AVIATION...20
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