916
FXUS64 KSHV 110452
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1152 PM CDT MON AUG 10 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1152 PM CDT MON AUG 10 2026
- TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO CLIMB THIS WEEK, WITH SOME OF THE
HOTTEST CONDITIONS OF THE SEASON POSSIBLE.
- HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE, BRINGING VERY LIMITED
PRECIPITATION CHANCES AND CONTINUED DRYING TRENDS.
- THE HOTTER TEMPERATURES AND LACK OF RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO
DRY FUELS, INCREASING THE FIRE WEATHER CONCERN.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1152 PM CDT MON AUG 10 2026
TWO AREAS OF UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING WILL BECOME ONE OVER MUCH OF THE
SOUTHERN CONUS BY TUESDAY MORNING. THE STABLE PATTERN WILL WORK TO
INHIBIT ANY RAIN AND WORSEN HEAT THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT WEEK.
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 90S
AND LOW 100S, WHICH WILL QUICKLY BRING HEAT ADVISORY CRITERIA. THE
MAIN QUESTION RIGHT NOW IS WHEN THE FIRST ADVISORY WILL BE
ISSUED. AS OF THE TIME OF WRITING, HEAT INDICES FOR TUESDAY
AFTERNOON ARE GENERALLY AROUND 100-105. THE 105 THRESHOLD DOESN'T
SEEM TO BE WIDESPREAD ENOUGH TO WARRANT A PRODUCT JUST YET BUT NEW
GUIDANCE OVERNIGHT COULD FORCE THE HAND OF THE MORNING SHIFT.
WITH TUESDAY LIKELY BEING THE COOLEST OF THE UPCOMING DAYS, A HEAT
PRODUCT IS ALMOST CERTAIN AT SOME POINT THIS WEEK, WITH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON BEING PROMISING WITH MORE WIDESPREAD 105 HEAT INDICES.
THE SHIFT AWAY FROM SOUTHERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL LIMIT MOISTURE
ADVECTION AND DRY CONDITIONS OUT QUICKLY. WPC D1-7 QPF IS
RELATIVELY OPTIMISTIC IN THEIR SPRINKLING OF "TRACE" AMOUNTS IN
PARTS OF THE CWA, BUT I WOULDN'T BET ON SEEING MUCH. EXPECT
WORSENING DROUGHT CONDITIONS WITH THE PROLONGED HEAT AND LACK OF
RAIN. IN ADDITION, FIRE WEATHER WILL BECOME A GREATER CONCERN AS
FUELS QUICKLY DRY OUT, INCREASING POTENTIAL FOR FIRE STARTS AND
EASIER FIRE SPREAD.
57
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 641 PM CDT MON AUG 10 2026
FOR THE ARKLATEX TERMINALS, QUIET EVENING WITH VERY LIMITED
CONVECTION TODAY. FAIR OVERNIGHT WITH S5KT AND SCATTERED STRATUS
EARLY, BUT NO CIGS EXPECTED. THE SUMMER DOLDRUMS ARE SETTLING IN
FOR A HOT & DRY WEEK WITH SW5-15KT EARLY EACH DAY, THEN BACKING
TO S/SE AS THE SEA BREEZE LIFTS INLAND, BUT COVERAGE LOOKS TO
REMAIN SPARSE. A LOBE OF THE BERMUDA HIGH MOVG W SETS UP OVER SE
LA BY MIDDAY AND THEN EXPANDS INTO THE LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY FOR
THE COMING WEEKEND AND WILL CONTINUE THE SUPPRESS MOST CONVECTION.
/24/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 115 PM CDT MON AUG 10 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 77 97 78 97 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 76 97 77 98 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 73 96 74 97 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 76 97 77 98 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 75 95 77 97 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 77 97 77 98 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 76 98 76 99 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 74 96 74 97 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...57
AVIATION...24
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