900
FXUS64 KSHV 011638
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1138 AM CDT TUE SEP 1 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1130 AM CDT TUE SEP 1 2026
- CONDITIONS TO DETERIORATE ACROSS PORTIONS OF DEEP EAST TEXAS AS
TROPICAL STORM EDUOARD MOVES INLAND ACROSS THE TEXAS AND
LOUISIANA BORDER.
- RAIN COVERAGE TO SPREAD INTO EAST AND NORTHEAST TEXAS AS WELL
AS NORTH LOUISIANA ON WEDNESDAY.
- SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THROUGH THE EARLY PART OF
THE WEEKEND WITH HIGHS CREEPING INTO THE UPPER 90S BY EARLY
NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1101 AM CDT TUE SEP 1 2026
TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD ON TRACK TO MAKE LANDFALL ACROSS THE
SABINE PASS NEAR THE LOUISIANA TEXAS BORDER OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
OF HOURS. THE STORM IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEAST THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON ALLOWING FOR CONDITIONS TO QUICKLY DETERIORATE ACROSS
PORTIONS OF DEEP EAST TEXAS AND WEST-CENTRAL LOUISIANA THROUGH
THIS EVENING. THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION IS FORECAST TO MOVE JUST
WEST OF ANGELINA COUNTY WITH WIND SPEED VALUES AROUND 25 TO 30 MPH
WITH GUSTS POSSIBLY AS HIGH AS 45 MPH NEAR LUFKIN OVERNIGHT. THUS
A WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ANGELINA AND ADJACENT
COUNTIES FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON WEDNESDAY.
ALTHOUGH EDUOARD IS A WEAK AND COMPACT TROPICAL SYSTEM, ITS
INLAND IMPACTS WILL INCLUDE A HEAVY RAINFALL AND ISOLATED TORNADO
THREAT ACROSS EAST TEXAS INTO PORTIONS OF WEST-CENTRAL AND
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA. THE TORNADO THREAT SHOULD WANE THROUGH THE
EARLY EVENING HOURS. HOWEVER, THE POTENTIAL FOR PERIODIC LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL COULD PERSIST INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
THE TROPICAL SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY MOVE NORTHWARD AND DISSIPATE
THROUGH LATE WEEK MAINTAINING DECENT RAIN CHANCES ACROSS MAINLY
EAST AND NORTHEAST TEXAS EACH DAY.
WITH THE REMNANTS OF EDOUARD LINGERING THROUGH THE MID-TERM
TIMEFRAME OF THIS FORECAST CYCLE, TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE REGION
WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER AREAWIDE. THE EXCEPTION WOULD BE HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 90S ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL ARKANSAS AND NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA WHICH ARE FARTHER REMOVED FROM THE DECAYING TROPICAL
SYSTEM. BY LATE IN THE WEEKEND HOWEVER, UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING TO
REBUILD ACROSS OKLAHOMA, ALLOWING HIGH TEMPERATURES TO AREAWIDE
TO RETURN TO THE UPPER 90S. /05/
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 656 AM CDT TUE SEP 1 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE 01/12Z TAF
PERIOD. AREAS OF STRATOCU SHOULD DEVELOP BY/AFTER 14Z ACROSS LOWER
E TX AND N LA, EVENTUALLY LIFTING INTO A SCATTERED CU FIELD
AREAWIDE, AS TS EDOUARD MOVES INLAND NEAR OR JUST WNW OF SABINE
PASS AND DRIFTS NW INLAND ACROSS SE TX. AS IT DOES SO, ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED CONVECTION WILL DEVELOP AND SPREAD NW ACROSS LOWER E
TX/WRN AND CNTRL LA, BUT WILL BE MORE NUMEROUS TO THE N OF THE
CENTER, AFFECTING LFK THROUGH THE AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. LOW VFR
CIGS ARE EXPECTED AT LFK THIS AFTERNOON, WITH BRIEF PERIODS OF
MVFR CIGS POSSIBLE AS WELL AS REDUCED VSBYS/LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS.
CONVECTION FARTHER N SHOULD BE MORE ISOLATED, WITH LOW CONFIDENCE
PRECLUDING VCSH/VCTS MENTION AT THE TYR/GGG/SHV TERMINALS ATTM.
SOME RESIDUAL CU WITH LOW AC/CIRRUS CIGS SHOULD LINGER TONIGHT
FARTHER N ACROSS NE TX/WRN AND CNTRL LA, WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
LOW MVFR CIGS DEVELOPING AFTER 09Z WEDNESDAY ACROSS LOWER E TX S
OF I-20 AND WRN LA, PRIMARILY AFFECTING LFK. THESE CIGS SHOULD
EVENTUALLY AFFECT THE REMAINING E TX AND SHV TERMINALS BY/AFTER
12Z, PERSISTING THROUGH MUCH OF THE MORNING. CONVECTION NEAR THE
CENTER MAY ALSO AFFECT TYR/GGG LATER WEDNESDAY MORNING AS WELL.
WINDS WILL BECOME ESE 8-12KTS AFTER 16Z, WITH GUSTS TO 20-25KTS
POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON OVER E TX, BEFORE BECOMING SE AND
WEAKENING TO 3-7KTS AFTER 00Z. /15/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 656 AM CDT TUE SEP 1 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT ACROSS
PORTIONS OF DEEP EAST TEXAS AS THE REMNANTS OF EDOUARD DRIFT
NORTHWEST THROUGH SOUTHEAST TEXAS. /15/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 98 76 94 75 / 0 10 30 10
MLU 99 75 97 75 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 98 72 97 72 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 98 75 96 75 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 98 74 97 73 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 99 76 91 75 / 0 10 40 40
GGG 99 75 94 74 / 0 10 40 30
LFK 96 74 90 74 / 40 70 90 30
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...WIND ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR
TXZ149-152-165-166.
DISCUSSION...05
AVIATION...15
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