810
FXUS64 KSHV 011849
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
149 PM CDT TUE SEP 1 2026
..NEW UPDATE
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1130 AM CDT TUE SEP 1 2026
- CONDITIONS TO DETERIORATE ACROSS PORTIONS OF DEEP EAST TEXAS AS
TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD MOVES INLAND ACROSS THE TEXAS AND
LOUISIANA BORDER.
- RAIN COVERAGE TO SPREAD INTO EAST AND NORTHEAST TEXAS AS WELL
AS NORTH LOUISIANA ON WEDNESDAY.
- SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THROUGH THE EARLY PART OF
THE WEEKEND WITH HIGHS CREEPING INTO THE UPPER 90S BY EARLY
NEXT WEEK.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 144 PM CDT TUE SEP 1 2026
DUE THE POTENTIAL FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ACROSS PORTIONS OF DEEP
EAST TEXAS AS TROPICAL EDOUARD MOVES INLAND, WENT AHEAD AND ISSUED
A FLOOD WATCH THROUGH DAYBREAK THURSDAY. THE COMBINATION OF DRY
SOILS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR HIGHER RAINFALL RATES COULD POSE A
RISK FOR FLOODING DUE TO EXCESSIVE RUNOFF WHICH COULD QUICKLY
OVERLOAD AREA DRAINAGE BASINS. /05/
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1101 AM CDT TUE SEP 1 2026
TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD ON TRACK TO MAKE LANDFALL ACROSS THE
SABINE PASS NEAR THE LOUISIANA TEXAS BORDER OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
OF HOURS. THE STORM IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEAST THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON ALLOWING FOR CONDITIONS TO QUICKLY DETERIORATE ACROSS
PORTIONS OF DEEP EAST TEXAS AND WEST-CENTRAL LOUISIANA THROUGH
THIS EVENING. THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION IS FORECAST TO MOVE JUST
WEST OF ANGELINA COUNTY WITH WIND SPEED VALUES AROUND 25 TO 30 MPH
WITH GUSTS POSSIBLY AS HIGH AS 45 MPH NEAR LUFKIN OVERNIGHT. THUS
A WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ANGELINA AND ADJACENT
COUNTIES FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON WEDNESDAY.
ALTHOUGH EDOUARD IS A WEAK AND COMPACT TROPICAL SYSTEM, ITS
INLAND IMPACTS WILL INCLUDE A HEAVY RAINFALL AND ISOLATED TORNADO
THREAT ACROSS EAST TEXAS INTO PORTIONS OF WEST-CENTRAL AND
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA. THE TORNADO THREAT SHOULD WANE THROUGH THE
EARLY EVENING HOURS. HOWEVER, THE POTENTIAL FOR PERIODIC LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL COULD PERSIST INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
THE TROPICAL SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY MOVE NORTHWARD AND DISSIPATE
THROUGH LATE WEEK MAINTAINING DECENT RAIN CHANCES ACROSS MAINLY
EAST AND NORTHEAST TEXAS EACH DAY.
WITH THE REMNANTS OF EDOUARD LINGERING THROUGH THE MID-TERM
TIMEFRAME OF THIS FORECAST CYCLE, TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE REGION
WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER AREAWIDE. THE EXCEPTION WOULD BE HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 90S ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL ARKANSAS AND NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA WHICH ARE FARTHER REMOVED FROM THE DECAYING TROPICAL
SYSTEM. BY LATE IN THE WEEKEND HOWEVER, UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING TO
REBUILD ACROSS OKLAHOMA, ALLOWING HIGH TEMPERATURES TO AREAWIDE
TO RETURN TO THE UPPER 90S. /05/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1240 PM CDT TUE SEP 1 2026
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL FOR ALL SITES APART FROM VCTS AT KLFK THIS
AFTERNOON. MOST OF THE REGION WILL REMAIN VFR WITH EASTERLY TO
SOUTHERLY WINDS INCREASING DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS AS TROPICAL
STORM EDOUARD MAKES LANDFALL. OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL LIKELY BEGIN
IMPACTING SITES TOMORROW MORNING, BUT THIS IS STILL DEPENDENT ON
THE STORM'S TRACK. CURRENTLY, VCSH ARE EXPECTED AT KTYR, KGGG, AND
POSSIBLY KSHV AT SOME POINT LATER IN THE PERIOD.
FOR KLFK, VCTS IS PREVAILING AS THE OUTER REACHES OF THE RAIN
BANDS ARE ALREADY REACHING INTO DEEP EAST TX. EXPECT ANY OF THESE
SHOWERS TO DROP THE VISIBILITY QUICKLY. WITH THE CURRENT TRACK,
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH UP TO AT LEAST 30 KTS OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT BEFORE BEGINNING TO WEAKEN AGAIN AS THE STORM TRACKS
NORTHWEST. MVFR CIGS WILL LIKELY ACCOMPANY THE MOISTURE RETURN FOR
THE DEEP EAST TX SITES AROUND DAYBREAK TOMORROW, LIFTING IN AREAS
NOT IMPACTED DIRECTLY BY EDOUARD. /57/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 656 AM CDT TUE SEP 1 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT ACROSS
PORTIONS OF DEEP EAST TEXAS AS THE REMNANTS OF EDOUARD DRIFT
NORTHWEST THROUGH SOUTHEAST TEXAS. /15/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 76 94 75 96 / 10 30 10 20
MLU 75 97 75 98 / 0 0 0 10
DEQ 72 97 72 95 / 0 0 0 10
TXK 75 96 75 96 / 0 0 0 10
ELD 74 97 73 97 / 0 0 0 10
TYR 76 91 75 93 / 10 40 40 60
GGG 75 94 74 96 / 10 40 30 40
LFK 74 90 74 95 / 70 90 30 40
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...FLOOD WATCH FROM 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING
FOR TXZ149-152-165-166.
WIND ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR
TXZ149-152-165-166.
DISCUSSION...05
AVIATION...57
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