197
FXUS64 KSHV 061803
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
103 PM CDT SUN SEP 6 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1220 AM CDT SUN SEP 6 2026
- A HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN PLACE FOR THE MAJORITY OF THE REGION
FOR SUNDAY.
- THIS ABOVE NORMAL SUMMER HEAT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF
THE WEEKEND THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
- WE WILL CONTINUE TO SEE DAILY AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1220 AM CDT SUN SEP 6 2026
AS MENTIONED IN THE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION, OUR HEAT ADVISORY FOR
SUNDAY WAS EXPANDED FURTHER TO THE SOUTH, GENERALLY ALONG THE I-20
CORRIDOR AND NORTH, WITH THE EXCEPTION OF A FEW MORE PARISHES TO
THE SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA. THOSE AREAS THAT ARE VOID OF A HEAT
ADVISORY FOR TODAY ARE DUE TO THE THREAT FOR ISOLATED CONVECTION
AND INCREASED CLOUD COVER TODAY. GOING FORWARD INTO MONDAY, IT IS
LIKELY THAT WE WILL HAVE TO EXTEND THIS TO THE REMAINDER OF THE
FORECAST AREA, BUT STAY TUNED FOR THAT AS THINGS COULD CHANGE.
OTHERWISE, RIDGING ALOFT WILL REMAIN SETTLED OVER OUR REGION,
WHICH WILL KEEP THE HEAT IN PLACE FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE.
ALTHOUGH, MODEL RUNS TONIGHT ARE INDICATING THAT WE COULD SEE SOME
"COOLER" TEMPERATURES TOWARDS THE END OF NEXT WEEK.
AS FOR RAIN CHANCES, THE SHORT AND SWEET OF IT IS THAT WE WILL
CONTINUE TO SEE DAILY CHANCES FOR AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS, GRANTED I DON'T THINK WE WILL SEE ANYTHING AS
WIDESPREAD AS WHAT WE SAW TODAY. I THINK THE MAJORITY OF THE
CONVECTION THIS WEEK WILL BE IN THE FORM OF DIURNALLY DRIVEN AND
FROM ANY SEA BREEZE CONVECTION THAT CAN PUSH THIS WAY. AS IS
COMMON WITH ISOLATED STORMS OF THIS NATURE, SOME AREAS COULD SEE A
SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF RAINFALL, WHILE OTHERS COULD BE LEFT DRY,
SOMETIMES EVEN JUST A FEW MILES APART. SO, OVERALL QPF AMOUNTS
WILL REMAIN LOW OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, BUT THERE COULD BE
SOME AREAS THAT DO SEE MORE THAN OTHERS. /33/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1258 PM CDT SUN SEP 6 2026
FOR THE 06/18Z TAF PERIOD...VFR CONDITIONS CURRENTLY ACROSS THE
REGION WITH SOME DEVELOPING AFTERNOON CU. MODELS CONTINUE TO
SUGGEST SOME CONVECTION WILL DEVELOP ACROSS ARKANSAS AND PUSH INTO
PORTIONS OF THE REGION BY THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING
HOURS. THE SITES WITH THE BEST CHANCE OF SEEING PRECIP WILL BE
KELD/KTXK IN SOUTH ARKANSAS AND KSHV/KMLU IN NORTH LOUISIANA.
HOWEVER, ONLY INCLUDED VCTS AS CHANCES REMAIN SLIGHT, SO WILL
AMEND LATER IF NEEDED. OTHERWISE, EXPECT PASSING HIGH CLOUDS OVER
THE REGION IN WAKE OF THE AFTERNOON CU. ALSO, THERE IS A CHANCE
FOR SOME LOW CLOUDS AND PATCHY FOG AT KLFK AROUND DAYBREAK. /20/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1220 AM CDT SUN SEP 6 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 98 77 99 76 / 10 10 20 10
MLU 100 76 100 74 / 10 10 10 0
DEQ 102 72 101 70 / 20 10 10 0
TXK 99 76 99 74 / 10 10 10 0
ELD 101 74 100 70 / 20 20 10 0
TYR 97 76 98 76 / 0 0 10 0
GGG 98 75 100 75 / 10 0 30 10
LFK 91 73 94 74 / 10 0 10 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR ARZ050-051-059>061-
070>073.
HEAT ADVISORY FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM CDT MONDAY FOR ARZ050-051-
059>061-070>073.
LA...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR LAZ001>006-012>014-
019-021-022.
HEAT ADVISORY FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM CDT MONDAY FOR LAZ001>006-
010>014-017>022.
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR OKZ077.
HEAT ADVISORY FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM CDT MONDAY FOR OKZ077.
TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR TXZ096-097-108>112-
124>126-136>138.
HEAT ADVISORY FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM CDT MONDAY FOR TXZ096-097-
108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167.
DISCUSSION...33
AVIATION...20
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