534
FXUS64 KSHV 251749 AAA
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1249 PM CDT FRI SEP 25 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1121 PM CDT THU SEP 24 2026
- DRY CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND, WITH A SLIGHT WARMING TREND.
- RAIN CHANCES WILL RETURN ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE REGION BY
WEDNESDAY AND SPREAD TO THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION THROUGH AT
LEAST THURSDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1128 AM CDT FRI SEP 25 2026
SURFACE HIGH TO REMAIN PARKED ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE EARLY
PART OF THE WEEKEND ALLOWING FOR LIGHT WINDS AREAWIDE.
A SLIGHT WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY AS THE
PREVAILING COOLER AIRMASS BEGINS TO GRADUALLY MODERATE. HOWEVER,
WEAK SOUTHERLY FLOW RETURNING TO THE REGION ON SUNDAY TO DRIVE
HIGH TEMPERATURES TO THE MID 90S THROUGH MIDWEEK.
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT TO INCREASE ACROSS THE ARKLATEX AS THE
PREVAILING UPPER-RIDGE SHIFTS SOUTHWEST. WEAK DISTURBANCES IN THE
FLOW COULD BRING WIDELY SCATTERED CONVECTION TO PARTS OF
NORTHEAST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA FROM SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.
AN EASTWARD MOVING UPPER-RIDGE TO BRING DRY CONDITIONS TO THE
REGION ON TUESDAY. HOWEVER, WIDESPREAD BENEFICIAL RAINFALL
EXPECTED FROM WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY AS AN UPPER-TROUGH SWINGS
EAST ACROSS THE REGION. FOR THE PAST SEVERAL MODEL RUNS, THE GFS
HAS INDICATED THAT THE TROUGH MAY BE SLOW TO EXIST THE REGION
ALLOWING FOR CONTINUED RAIN CHANCES INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. OTHERWISE,
INCREASED CLOUD-COVER AND PRECIPITATION WILL ALLOW FOR COOLER
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO AROUND 90 DEGREES ON WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY. /05/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1249 PM CDT FRI SEP 25 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE 25/18Z TAF PERIOD. A
SCATTERED CU FIELD HAS RECENTLY DEVELOPED ACROSS PORTIONS OF SRN
AR/NCNTRL LA, AND WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY SPREAD W POSSIBLY TO
NEAR THE AR/TX AND LA/TX BORDER LATER THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE
DIMINISHING AROUND SUNSET. THE CIRRUS SHIELD OVER THE AREA WILL
ONLY INCREASE FROM THE W LATER THIS AFTERNOON, WITH CIRRUS CIGS
EXPECTED TO LINGER OVERNIGHT THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY SATURDAY.
ANOTHER WEAK CU FIELD SHOULD AGAIN DEVELOP BY LATE MORNING/MIDDAY
SATURDAY AND LINGER THROUGH THE AFTERNOON BEFORE AGAIN DIMINISHING
AROUND SUNSET. ENE WINDS 5-7KTS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BECOME LT/VRB
OR CALM AFTER 00Z. /15/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1121 AM CDT THU SEP 24 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.
/05/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 67 92 68 95 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 65 92 66 95 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 63 91 64 94 / 0 0 0 10
TXK 65 92 67 95 / 0 0 0 10
ELD 63 92 64 95 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 68 92 69 94 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 66 93 67 96 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 68 90 68 92 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...05
AVIATION...15
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