646
FXUS64 KSHV 262338
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
638 PM CDT SAT SEP 26 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1142 AM CDT SAT SEP 26 2026
- MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WITH
A WARMING TREND DEVELOPING AND CONTINUING INTO THE WORK WEEK.
- AFTERNOON WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE
ACROSS NORTHEAST TEXAS, SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS, AND SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA ON SUNDAY.
- WIDESPREAD RAINFALL EXPECTED AREAWIDE WEDNESDAY, CONTINUING
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. A PASSING FRONT MAY MANAGE TO
BRING TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY CLOSER TO SEASONABLE VALUES.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1134 AM CDT SAT SEP 26 2026
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE ACROSS THE REGION TO MAINTAIN DRY CONDITIONS
TODAY WITH TEMPERATURES FORECAST TO CLIMB INTO THE LOWER 90S.
RIDGE TO SHIFT SOUTHWEST ON SUNDAY WITH THE ARKLATEX BECOMING
UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF NORTHWEST FLOW ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF THE
RIDGE. A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS OKLAHOMA INTO NORTH ARKANSAS
COULD ALLOW FOR A FEW WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE I-30 CORRIDOR ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE,
SUBSIDENCE ASSOCIATED WITH AN APPROACHING UPPER-RIDGE FROM THE
WEST WILL DRIVE AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES INTO THE MID 90S
ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
A BROAD-UPPER LOW ACROSS THE DESERT SOUTHWEST WILL BRING SOUTHWEST
FLOW ACROSS THE ARKLATEX. THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE POLO
IN THE PACIFIC WILL EJECT NORTHEAST INTRODUCING A PROLONGED RAIN
EVENT ACROSS THE ARKLATEX FROM LATE TUESDAY THROUGH POSSIBLY
FRIDAY. WPC DAY 1-7 QPF INDICATES THAT THE BRUNT OF THE RAINFALL,
PRODUCING NEAR 3 INCH TOTALS, WILL OCCUR ACROSS EAST AND NORTHEAST
TEXAS AS WELL AS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA WHILE THE REMAINDER OF THE
ARKLATEX COULD SEE RAINFALL AVERAGES AROUND 2 INCHES.
HIGH TEMPERATURES ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY TO AVERAGE IN THE MID TO
UPPER 80S WITH LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. /05/
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 634 PM CDT SAT SEP 26 2026
SITES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN VFR THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF KLFK, WHICH COULD SEE SOME VSBY REDUCTIONS AROUND
DAYBREAK TOMORROW. CONFIDENCE ON SUB-VFR CLOUD DEVELOPMENT
TOMORROW MORNING IS LOW AT THIS POINT DUE TO THE LACK OF
CONFIDENCE ON MOISTURE RETURN OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. I'VE ELECTED TO
KEEP THINGS VFR OVERNIGHT, WITH SITES STAYING CALM OR LIGHT AND
VARIABLE FOR THE MOST PART. ANOTHER CU FIELD SHOULD DEVELOP DURING
THE LATE MORNING HOURS THAT WILL STICK AROUND THROUGH THE END OF
THE PERIOD. /57/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1142 AM CDT SAT SEP 26 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
/05/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 68 95 71 94 / 0 0 0 10
MLU 65 93 66 94 / 0 0 0 10
DEQ 64 93 65 91 / 0 10 20 20
TXK 66 95 69 93 / 0 0 10 10
ELD 63 94 65 93 / 0 0 0 10
TYR 69 95 72 94 / 0 0 10 10
GGG 67 97 70 96 / 0 0 10 10
LFK 68 93 70 93 / 0 0 0 10
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...05
AVIATION...57
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