746  
FNUS72 KTAE 202037  
FWSTAE  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR UNIT 11 BURN...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL  
337 PM EST THU FEB 20 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CST ON FEBRUARY 21.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (850) 942-8833, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
RECENT RAINFALL SHOULD LIMIT ANY FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS FRIDAY  
DESPITE A DRY AIRMASS IN PLACE. FAIR TO GOOD DISPERSIONS ARE  
EXPECTED FRIDAY AFTERNOON WITH TRANSPORT WINDS OUT OF THE NORTH  
TO NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. NO SEA BREEZE IS ANTICIPATED THANKS  
TO A NORTHEASTERLY BREEZE OVER THE BURN SITE. MINRH VALUES ARE  
FORECAST TO DROP BELOW 40 PERCENT BY LATE- MORNING AND REMAIN  
THERE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON BEFORE INCREASING FRIDAY NIGHT.  
TEMPERATURES WILL BE COLD IN THE MORNING BEFORE MODERATING INTO  
THE LOWER 50S IN THE MIDDLE OF THE DAY.  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.  
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 16 MPH.  
LVORI...............1.  
DISPERSION INDEX....37.  
 
TIME (CST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM  
SKY (%).........6 16 8 30 23 21 6 10  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............36 40 44 47 49 50 52 50  
RH..............52 44 40 37 36 36 33 39  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 8 8 7 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.17 17 16 14 15 13 13 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.2 2.4 2.7 2.9 3.1 3.3 3.4 3.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE N NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 15 13 12 10 10 10 12  
DISPERSION......38 36 35 35 34 36 39 36  
LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST  
OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.  
MAX HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 12 TO 14 MPH.  
LVORI...............2.  
DISPERSION INDEX....34 DECREASING TO 11.  
 
TIME (CST) 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM  
SKY (%).........13 14 26 54 36 52 54 55 57 60 61 56  
WEATHER COV..... PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY  
WEATHER TYPE.... FST FST FST FST FST  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............49 46 44 42 42 41 41 40 39 39 38 38  
RH..............46 51 55 60 60 62 61 59 62 64 67 67  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 2.0 1.8 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.0 0.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE E E E E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 13 14 14 14 14 14 13 13 12 12 12  
DISPERSION......34 8 9 13 10 13 11 11 10 9 9 8  
LVORI...........1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3  
 

 
FORECASTER...REESE  
REQUESTED BY...AARON HAUGAN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2503369.0/TAE  
.DELDT 02/20/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL AARON.HAUGAN@FDACS.GOV  
 
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