795  
FNUS72 KTAE 211359  
FWSTAE  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MILL CREEK SOUTH...FFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL  
859 AM EST FRI FEB 21 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON FEBRUARY 21.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (850) 942-8833, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
DISPERSIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK IN THE UPPER 40S THIS AFTERNOON WITH  
TRANSPORT WINDS AND SURFACE WINDS OUT OF THE NORTHEAST. SMOKE WILL  
BLOW IN A SOUTHWESTERLY DIRECTION TODAY. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO BOTTOM OUT IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S THIS  
AFTERNOON.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.  
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 16 MPH.  
LVORI...............1.  
DISPERSION INDEX....43 INCREASING TO 51 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN  
DECREASING TO 36 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........2 3 6 8 10 7 14 13  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............38 42 45 48 50 51 53 53  
RH..............50 41 38 34 33 32 29 31  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 7 6 6 6 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.17 17 16 14 14 14 13 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 2.4 2.8 3.3 3.5 3.7 3.8 2.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 15 13 12 12 12 12 10  
DISPERSION......39 42 41 42 46 49 53 36  
LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST  
OVERNIGHT. AREAS OF FROST OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.  
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 9 TO 13 MPH.  
LVORI...............3.  
DISPERSION INDEX....20 DECREASING TO 5.  
 
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........11 16 26 24 28 37 31 21 41 41 44 53  
WEATHER COV..... PTY PTY ARS ARS ARS ARS  
WEATHER TYPE.... FST FST FST FST FST FST  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............51 47 44 41 40 39 37 37 36 36 36 36  
RH..............37 43 51 57 59 62 70 70 72 72 72 72  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 10 12 12 12 10 12 10 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE E E NE NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 10 12 13 12 10 9 9 9 9 9  
DISPERSION......20 4 5 5 6 5 5 4 4 4 4 4  
LVORI...........2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST  
EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.  
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST  
AROUND 8 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN  
SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 6  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............3.  
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 18 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 26 IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO  
18 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........54 68 54 34 49 72 70 67 62 51 45 42  
WEATHER COV.....ARS ARS  
WEATHER TYPE....FST FST  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............36 36 39 44 49 52 56 59 60 61 62 60  
RH..............72 75 70 70 66 63 62 60 58 58 56 60  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE N N N NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 12 10 9 9 8 8 7 7 6 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.7 2.1 2.6 2.9 3.2 3.5 2.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE E E E E E SE SW W NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 10 10 12 12 10 9 8 8 7 7 6  
DISPERSION......4 9 9 14 17 21 24 24 24 25 28 18  
LVORI...........3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2  
 

 
FORECASTER...REESE  
REQUESTED BY...JUSTIN ROGERS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2503432.0/TAE  
.DELDT 02/21/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JUSTIN.ROGERS3@FDACS.GOV  
 
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