960
FNUS72 KTAE 021143
FWSTAE
SPOT FORECAST FOR SMR PILE BURN...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
743 AM EDT FRI MAY 2 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON MAY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (850) 942-8833, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
ANY FOG SHOULD DISSIPATE AROUND 9AM EDT WITH LOW DISPERSIONS
FORECAST UNTIL 10AM EDT. SOUTHERLY WINDS THEN PICK UP THIS
AFTERNOON AND WILL KEEP RH HEALTHILY ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS.
LITTLE TO NO RAIN IS EXPECTED TODAY. FOR TOMORROW, ANOTHER ROUND
OF MORNING FOG APPEARS LIKELY, FOLLOWED BY DISPERSIONS BECOMING
FAVORABLE AT ABOUT 9AM EDT. SOUTHERLY WINDS REDEVELOP IN THE
AFTERNOON WITH OCCASIONAL SOUTHWEST COMPONENTS AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING FRONT. AS THIS FRONTAL SYSTEM EDGES CLOSER FROM THE
WEST, RAIN CHANCES INCREASE TO NEAR 20%, THOUGH THE BETTER
POTENTIAL HOLDS OFF UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING. HIGH DISPERSIONS
ENCROACH ON THE BURN SITE FROM THE NW, BUT DON'T QUITE MAKE IT
THERE.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN
THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 9 TO
12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 46.
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........51 42 22 24 25 19 23 29 27 25
WEATHER COV.....PTY
WEATHER TYPE....FOG
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............65 69 76 80 81 83 83 83 83 83
RH..............100 93 74 65 58 55 53 53 53 55
20 FT WIND DIR..N E SE SE S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..0 1 2 5 5 6 7 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.2 3 5 9 10 13 14 14 14 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 1.3 2.2 3.1 3.5 3.9 4.3 3.9 3.5 3.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E SE SE S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 6 7 8 9 9 9 10 10 12
DISPERSION......5 11 20 31 37 43 48 47 46 43
LVORI...........8 5 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 3 TO
5 MPH OVERNIGHT, THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
AROUND 3 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
LVORI...............5.
DISPERSION INDEX....32 DECREASING TO 3.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........29 51 36 36 36 32 21 18 11 11 15 21
WEATHER COV..... PTY
WEATHER TYPE.... FOG
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............82 80 78 77 74 72 70 68 67 67 65 65
RH..............58 62 71 71 79 84 90 93 93 97 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SW SW N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..7 5 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
20 FT WIND GUST.13 9 6 3 3 2 2 2 2
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.3 1.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW SW SW SW SW W W W SW SE E
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 9 9 8 7 6 5 3 3 3 3
DISPERSION......32 20 4 4 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2
LVORI...........1 2 3 3 4 5 6 7 7 8 9 9
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH LATE IN
THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 2 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 9 TO
16 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 12 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 31 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
TO 60 LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO 53.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........30 38 39 13 20 19 30 53 64 64 65 65
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY PTY PTY SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG FOG FOG RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20
TEMP............65 64 66 71 78 81 82 82 83 83 83 83
RH..............100 100 97 90 71 65 63 61 59 59 59 59
20 FT WIND DIR..N N E SE S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 1 1 2 5 6 7 8 9 9 8
20 FT WIND GUST.2 2 3 3 6 9 12 15 16 17 17 16
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 1.4 2.5 3.5 3.8 4.1 4.5 4.2 3.9 3.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE S S S S S S S S SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 2 3 6 9 13 14 15 15 16 16 16
DISPERSION......1 1 4 12 31 56 64 62 60 50 49 56
LVORI...........9 9 8 5 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
FORECASTER...GONZALEZ
REQUESTED BY...T. POLLARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2512653.0/TAE
.DELDT 05/02/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL TRAVIS_POLLARD@FWS.GOV
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