895
FNUS72 KTAE 270933
FWSTAE
SPOT FORECAST FOR ABRPUNIT31-36...TNC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
533 AM EDT TUE MAY 27 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON MAY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (850) 942-8833, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW PREVAILS AT THE BURN SITE AGAIN TODAY WITH
TEMPERATURES WARMING UP INTO THE MID 90S. THE RELATIVELY MOIST
SOUTHWEST FLOW IS EXPECTED TO KEEP MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
ABOVE 45% THIS AFTERNOON. THERE IS A 30% CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WITH WARM CONDITIONS,
STEADY SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW, AND GOOD MIXING HEIGHTS, DISPERSIONS
SHOULD PEAK AROUND 60 TODAY. MAIN CONCERNS AT THE SITE WOULD BE
ANY OUTFLOW WINDS FROM NEARBY THUNDERSTORMS. COVERAGE OF STORMS
SHOULD STEADILY DECREASE BETWEEN SUNSET AND MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG
IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SITE OVERNIGHT BUT IT WILL QUICKLY SCOUR
OUT SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE WEDNESDAY.
ON WEDNESDAY, WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW TO
MID-90S, AND MINIMUM AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY 50 AND 55%.
COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO BE GREATER,
ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON, WITH A 50% CHANCE. MIXING
HEIGHTS AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LOWER, YIELDING
DISPERSION PEAKING AROUND 40 DURING THE AFTERNOON.
ON WEDNESDAY,
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT EARLY IN
THE AFTERNOON, THEN INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 20 PERCENT
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 12 MPH.
LVORI...............6.
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 57.
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........56 61 51 55 52 52 50 39 41
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC CHC SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH CHC CHC SCH
CWR.............0 0 0 10 10 20 30 30 20
TEMP............75 81 84 87 90 91 92 93 91
RH..............97 79 70 61 54 50 49 47 50
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 5 5 5 6 6 7
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 7 9 9 10 13 13 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 2.6 3.5 4.0 4.4 4.9 4.7 4.5 4.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 7 8 9 10 12 12 12 12
DISPERSION......13 23 35 42 41 53 61 60 56
LVORI...........6 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT EARLY IN
THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH.
LVORI...............5.
DISPERSION INDEX....43 DECREASING TO 5.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........28 45 40 31 38 41 33 46 38 38 38 41
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH
CWR.............20 20 10 10 10 10 0 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............90 88 84 81 78 77 75 73 73 72 71 71
RH..............52 57 67 74 85 85 94 97 97 100 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW W SW NW N SE N SE
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 6 5 2 2 2 1 0 1 0 1
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 13 9 6 6 6 3 2 3 2 3
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.3 2.2 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW W W W W W W SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 9 8 8 7 7 6 6 6 7 7
DISPERSION......43 29 6 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
LVORI...........1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 9 9 9
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
LVORI...............5.
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 21 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 39 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
TO 48 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 35.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........44 39 37 34 26 36 39 44 46 49 56 59
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE.... RNF RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY
CWR.............10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 60 60 60 60
TEMP............71 70 72 75 81 85 87 88 90 91 91 92
RH..............100 100 100 100 85 72 67 62 58 56 54 52
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 5 5 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 3 6 6 6 7 7 9 9 7 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.9 1.1 1.9 2.7 3.5 3.7 3.9 4.2 3.8 3.5 3.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW W W W W W W SW SW W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 7 7 8 9 9 9 9 9 9
DISPERSION......3 3 8 16 25 36 42 46 49 39 33 30
LVORI...........9 9 8 5 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 2
FORECASTER...LF
REQUESTED BY...CR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2514737.0/TAE
.DELDT 05/27/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL C.RICKETTS@TNC.ORG
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