844
FNUS72 KTAE 190805
FWSTAE
SPOT FORECAST FOR SMR UNIT 406...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
405 AM EDT THU JUN 19 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 EDT ON JUNE 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (850) 942-8833, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
LIGHT SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS AROUND 5 MPH THIS MORNING INCREASE TO
ABOUT 10 TO 15 MPH LATER THIS MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON; TRANSPORT
WINDS WILL ALSO BE OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH FOR MOST OF
THE DAY BEFORE TURNING MORE WESTERLY LATER THIS EVENING. AN ISOLATED
SHOWER OR TWO CANNOT BE RULED OUT EARLY THIS MORNING. BETTER SHOWER
AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ARRIVE BY LATE MORNING AS THE SEABREEZE
WILL BE PINNED A LITTLE CLOSER TO TO THE COAST THANKS TO THE MORE
WESTERLY COMPONENT OF THE WIND TODAY.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING, THEN
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT LATE IN THE
MORNING, THEN INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT EARLY IN
THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT EARLY IN
THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT
DECREASING TO 50 PERCENT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 10 MPH.
LVORI...............6.
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 32.
TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........45 30 28 32 42 50 63 64 60 56 49
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC CHC LKY CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH CHC CHC LKY CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............10 10 10 10 20 40 50 60 50 50 50
TEMP............74 77 80 86 88 88 89 89 89 91 89
RH..............100 94 91 72 63 66 64 61 64 62 66
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N W SW SW SW SW SW S
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 0 0 2 3 5 5 6 6 5
20 FT WIND GUST.2 2 2 2 6 7 9 9 13 12 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.7 1.6 2.5 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.2 3.0 2.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW W W W W W W SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 5 6 6 7 8 9 9 10 10 10
DISPERSION......2 5 11 19 29 32 32 34 35 35 35
LVORI...........9 6 5 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE NIGHT.
CWR.................30 PERCENT DECREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE
EVENING, THEN DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT
OVERNIGHT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT OVERNIGHT
INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 8 TO
10 MPH OVERNIGHT.
LVORI...............5.
DISPERSION INDEX....22 DECREASING TO 5 EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........53 52 44 46 52 38 32 32 19 32 43 40
WEATHER COV.....CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC
CWR.............30 20 20 20 20 20 10 10 20 20 20 30
TEMP............88 87 85 83 81 80 79 78 78 77 76 75
RH..............66 70 75 77 82 82 85 88 88 90 90 94
20 FT WIND DIR..S SW S SW SW W W W N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 2 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 6 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 1.5 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW W W W W W W NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 8 7 8 8 9 9 10 9 9 9 8
DISPERSION......26 17 4 4 5 4 5 5 4 4 4 4
LVORI...........3 3 3 4 4 4 5 5 5 6 6 6
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING,
THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY
IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
LIKELY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT INCREASING TO 70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 29.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........33 36 32 39 36 34 39 50 55 52 45 41
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
CWR.............20 20 50 50 50 50 50 50 70 70 70 70
TEMP............75 74 76 80 86 87 88 90 91 90 89 88
RH..............90 97 97 91 72 70 68 62 60 64 66 70
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N NW W SW S S SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 0 0 0 1 2 2 3 3 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.2 2 2 2 3 5 6 7 7 7 7 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 1.4 2.2 3.0 3.4 3.9 4.3 3.9 3.6 3.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 7 7 6 6 5 5 5 6 7 8
DISPERSION......4 4 7 12 16 19 19 21 22 26 31 32
LVORI...........6 7 6 5 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 3
FORECASTER...REESE
REQUESTED BY...T. POLLARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2516211.0/TAE
.DELDT 06/19/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL TRAVIS_POLLARD@FWS.GOV
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