764
FNUS72 KTAE 210811
FWSTAE
SPOT FORECAST FOR SMR UNIT 301/308...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
411 AM EDT MON JUL 21 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 EDT ON JULY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (850) 942-8833, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EDT
THIS EVENING...
DISCUSSION
WEST TO NORTHWEST TRANSPORT WINDS AROUND 10-15 MPH ARE EXPECTED
TODAY WITH MIXING HEIGHTS BETWEEN 5,000 AND 6,000 FEET THIS
AFTERNOON. THIS WILL YIELD GOOD DISPERSIONS.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON.
THE BEST CHANCES OF STORMS WILL BE CLOSER TO THE COAST TODAY WITH
OVERALL WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS PINNING THE SEA BREEZE
NEAR THE COAST. STORMS THIS AFTERNOON COULD PRODUCE GUSTY, ERRATIC
WINDS AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
DANGEROUS HEAT CONTINUES TODAY WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S AND
HEAT INDEX VALUES OF 108-112.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY
(50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 98.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 14 MPH.
LVORI...............3.
DISPERSION INDEX....14 INCREASING TO 46 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........13 13 9 9 9 51 51 51 55 55 55
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............10 10 20 20 20 30 30 30 50 50 50
TEMP............78 80 84 88 91 93 94 95 95 96 93
RH..............94 91 82 70 64 58 56 53 53 53 56
20 FT WIND DIR..W NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 12 10 9 9 8 8 9 10 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.8 1.6 2.4 3.2 3.9 4.7 5.5 4.5 3.4 2.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 14 13 12 10 9 9 9 9 10 10
DISPERSION......14 14 41 41 41 50 50 50 46 46 46
LVORI...........5 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 2
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................30 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE LATE
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 10 MPH.
LVORI...............4.
DISPERSION INDEX....21 DECREASING TO 5 IN THE LATE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........52 52 52 59 59 59 57 57 57 36 36 36
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............30 30 30 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............93 91 87 85 84 83 83 82 81 81 80 80
RH..............56 62 68 72 80 82 82 85 88 88 91 88
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W N SW SW W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 9 9 10 10 10 10 10 12 12 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 1.4 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 8 7 7 7 7 8 9 9 10 10 10
DISPERSION......21 21 21 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5
LVORI...........2 2 3 3 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS
LIKELY THROUGH THE DAY. THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 10 MPH.
LVORI...............3.
DISPERSION INDEX....14 INCREASING TO 40.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........33 33 33 41 41 41 53 53 53 64 64 64
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
CWR.............70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70
TEMP............79 78 80 85 89 90 92 94 95 94 92 90
RH..............91 94 91 80 68 66 60 54 53 54 60 64
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW W W SW
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.12 10 12 10 9 9 9 8 8 8 9 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.8 1.0 1.4 1.8 2.2 2.8 3.4 4.0 3.3 2.7 2.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 10 10 9 10 10 10 9 9 9
DISPERSION......14 14 14 28 28 28 43 43 43 37 37 37
LVORI...........5 5 4 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 2 2
FORECASTER...YOUNG
REQUESTED BY...T. POLLARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2518325.0/TAE
.DELDT 07/21/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL TRAVIS_POLLARD@FWS.GOV
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