029  
FNUS72 KTAE 231427  
FWSTAE  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR WA-02E SITE PREP BURN...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL  
1027 AM EDT THU OCT 23 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON OCTOBER 23.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (850) 942-8833, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
THE MAIN FIRE WEATHER CONCERN BOTH TODAY AND AGAIN TOMORROW WILL  
BE THE POTENTIAL FOR CRITICALLY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY NEAR 20%.  
WINDS SHOULD REMAIN RELATIVELY LIGHT, GRADUALLY TURNING FROM THE  
N/NE TODAY TO MORE OF AN E FLOW LATE ON FRIDAY. WHILE THERE'S STILL  
CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY FORECAST FRIDAY, THE E FLOW WILL KICK OFF  
A GRADUAL MOISTENING TREND THAT SHOULD SEE RH IMPROVE EACH DAY  
OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE NEXT MEANINGFUL  
CHANCE FOR RAIN AT THE SITE WON'T BE UNTIL LATE SUNDAY OR MONDAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.  
MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 12 TO 14 MPH.  
LVORI...............2.  
DISPERSION INDEX....30 INCREASING TO 58 IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........15 23 23 23 22 22 22  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............67 72 74 78 79 80 80  
RH..............37 29 25 21 20 20 21  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 14 13 13 13 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 2.3 3.0 3.6 4.0 4.1 3.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 14 13 13 13 12  
DISPERSION......30 54 54 54 61 61 61  
LVORI...........2 1 1 1 1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.  
MAX HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 10 MPH.  
LVORI...............2.  
DISPERSION INDEX....37 DECREASING TO 3 IN THE LATE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........19 19 19 25 25 25 16 16 16 17 17 17  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............78 75 70 65 63 61 59 58 57 54 53 53  
RH..............24 27 34 41 44 46 51 53 55 61 64 64  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.8 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 9 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7  
DISPERSION......37 37 37 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
LVORI...........1 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.  
MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 13 MPH.  
LVORI...............2.  
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 80.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........18 18 18 5 5 5 7 7 7 7 7 7  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............51 51 51 56 63 71 76 79 81 82 83 82  
RH..............68 68 71 62 54 44 36 31 28 27 26 27  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 8 8 8 9 12 13 13 13 13 13 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.5 2.6 3.9 4.9 5.5 5.7 5.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 7 8 9 10 12 13 13 13 13  
DISPERSION......6 6 6 19 19 19 70 70 70 80 80 80  
LVORI...........3 3 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1  
 

 
FORECASTER...OLIVER  
REQUESTED BY...EMILY LANPHER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2524332.0/TAE  
.DELDT 10/23/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL EMILY.LANPHER@FDACS.GOV  
 
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