152  
FNUS72 KTAE 190732  
FWSTAE  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR RX FIRE...STATE OF FLORIDA PARK SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL  
232 AM EST FRI DEC 19 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0710 CST ON DECEMBER 19.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (850) 942-8833, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
A COLD FRONT WILL HAVE PASSED THROUGH THE SITE BY THE START OF  
THIS FORECAST. NORTHERLY TRANSPORT WINDS AROUND 15-20 MPH ARE  
EXPECTED THROUGH THE DAY WITH NEAR-SURFACE WINDS AS HIGH AS 10 MPH  
WITH GUSTS NEAR 20 MPH. DISPERSIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE GOOD AT THE  
BURN SITE TODAY. WINDS BECOME LIGHT TO CALM OVERNIGHT. FOG IS NOT  
ANTICIPATED WITH RH ONLY RECOVERING TO THE MID 70S.  
 
LIGHT EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE DAY  
SATURDAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE DIRECTLY OVERHEAD. THIS WILL ALSO  
LIMIT MIXING HEIGHTS TO LESS THAN 2,000 FEET ALL DAY. THUS, POOR  
DISPERSIONS ARE FORECAST FOR SATURDAY. MIN RH VALUES WILL DROP  
INTO THE 40S DURING THE AFTERNOON.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.  
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 21 MPH.  
LVORI...............2.  
DISPERSION INDEX....37 INCREASING TO 45 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM  
SKY (%).........3 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............54 52 55 57 58 60 60 60 60 59  
RH..............71 74 61 55 53 47 47 47 47 51  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 17 17 17 17 17 15 15 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 1.6 1.7 1.9 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.21 20 18 17 16 15 15 16 16 16  
DISPERSION......34 37 37 37 40 40 40 45 45 45  
LVORI...........3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.  
MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 10  
TO 12 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
LVORI...............3.  
DISPERSION INDEX....30 DECREASING TO 8 IN THE LATE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT.  
 
TIME (CST) 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM  
SKY (%).........3 3 3 2 2 2 4 4 4 4 4 4  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............55 52 51 49 49 47 46 45 44 42 42 42  
RH..............57 63 63 68 66 68 68 70 70 76 73 73  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 5 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 9 9 9 9 9 7 7 7 7 7 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 1.2 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N NE NE NE E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 15 15 15 14 13 12 12 10 10 10 12  
DISPERSION......30 30 30 10 10 10 7 7 7 6 6 6  
LVORI...........2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.  
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE  
MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 7 TO 9  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............3.  
DISPERSION INDEX....16.  
 
TIME (CST) 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM  
SKY (%).........3 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 3 2 2 2  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............41 42 42 47 52 55 58 61 61 62 63 61  
RH..............76 73 73 65 56 53 49 46 50 50 52 58  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E SE SE SE SE S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 9 9 9 9 10 10 10 10 10 9 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E SE SE SE S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 13 13 13 12 10 9 8 7 7 7 8  
DISPERSION......14 14 14 18 18 18 17 17 17 15 15 15  
LVORI...........4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
 
 
FORECASTER...YOUNG  
REQUESTED BY...KYLE BASS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2527787.3/TAE  
.DELDT 12/19/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL KYLE.BASS@FLORIDADEP.GOV  
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