618  
FNUS72 KTAE 221423  
FWSTAE  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR D-2 RX FIRE...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL  
923 AM EST MON DEC 22 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON DECEMBER 22.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (850) 942-8833, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
THE STRATUS DECK THAT WAS OVER THE BURN SITE THIS MORNING IS  
DISSIPATING. THIS WILL LEAD TO AMPLE SUNSHINE THIS AFTERNOON WITH  
HIGHS NEAR 70. LIGHT TO MODERATE EASTERLY SURFACE AND TRANSPORT  
WINDS PREVAIL TODAY. MINRH IS FORECAST TO DROP TO BETWEEN 40 AND  
50 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON. THERE IS A 20 TO 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF  
FOG TONIGHT.  
 
TUESDAY WILL SEE CALMER WINDS THAT WILL TURN MORE SOUTHEASTERLY TO  
SOUTHERLY THROUGHOUT THE DAY. LOW MIXING HEIGHTS OF AROUND 2K FT  
COMBINED WITH THE CALMER SURFACE AND TRANSPORT WINDS WILL CREATE  
POOR DISPERSIONS. THERE'S A BETTER CHANCE, 50 TO 70 PERCENT, OF  
FOG TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.  
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 16 MPH.  
LVORI...............2.  
DISPERSION INDEX....34.  
 
TIME (EST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........10 10 6 6 6 3 3 3  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............59 63 67 69 69 71 70 69  
RH..............60 52 47 44 45 42 46 51  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 9 8 8 8 7 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 18 17 17 16 16 13 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 1.6 1.8 2.1 2.2 2.4 2.5 1.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 16 15 14 13 13 12 10  
DISPERSION......33 33 35 35 35 34 34 34  
LVORI...........2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE  
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 10 MPH.  
LVORI...............5.  
DISPERSION INDEX....9.  
 
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........3 3 3 2 2 2 4 4 4 9 9 9  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............65 60 57 55 54 53 52 51 51 50 50 50  
RH..............58 69 75 77 80 80 83 89 93 96 100 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE E E NE E E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 9 9 10 10 10 10 10 9 9  
DISPERSION......13 13 13 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
LVORI...........2 3 3 3 4 4 4 5 6 6 7 8  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.  
MIN HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5 TO 7  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............6.  
DISPERSION INDEX....13.  
 
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........12 12 12 7 7 7 8 8 8 9 9 9  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............50 50 52 56 61 65 69 72 73 73 73 71  
RH..............96 100 100 96 90 84 78 73 73 73 73 79  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E SE SE S S SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 1.2 1.6 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.2 1.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E SE SE SE S S S S SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 9 9 9 8 7 6 6 5 5 5  
DISPERSION......9 9 9 13 13 13 16 16 16 13 13 13  
LVORI...........8 8 8 6 5 4 4 3 3 3 3 4  
 
 
FORECASTER...REESE  
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL KLASSEN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2528013.0/TAE  
.DELDT 12/22/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MICHAEL.KLASSEN@FDACS.GOV  
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