962  
FNUS72 KTAE 230936  
FWSTAE  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR RX PILES...STATE OF FLORIDA PARK SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL  
436 AM EST TUE DEC 23 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0530 CST ON DECEMBER 23.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (850) 942-8833, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
..VERY LOW DISPERSIONS EXPECTED TODAY AND WEDNESDAY  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
DESPITE MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES, LIGHT WINDS AND VERY LOW MIXING  
HEIGHTS WILL LEAD TO POOR DISPERSIONS AT THE BURN SITE TODAY AND  
AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY AS EVEN LIGHTER WINDS DEVELOP. WINDS START OUT  
LIGHT AND VARIABLE BUT TURN SOUTHEAST THIS MORNING. A WEAK  
SEABREEZE DEVELOPING EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON WILL ALLOW A GREATER  
SOUTHERLY COMPONENT TO THE WIND. THE SEABREEZE WILL THEN DECREASE  
IN THE EVENING. MAIN CONCERNS ASIDE FROM DISPERSIONS WILL BE THE  
HIGHER PROBABILITIES FOR FOG TONIGHT. IF FOG DEVELOPS, IT COULD BE  
LOCALLY DENSE AND WHILE MOST FOG SHOULD DEVELOP AFTER MIDNIGHT,  
WE CAN'T RULE PATCHY FOG DEVELOPING A FEW HOURS BEFORE MIDNIGHT.  
LIGHT WINDS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY BUT A GREATER  
NORTHERLY COMPONENT WILL MAKE WINDS MORE VARIABLE IN THE AFTERNOON  
HOURS. MORE FOG IS POSSIBLE AGAIN FOR CHRISTMAS EVE.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.  
MIN HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. BECOMING  
SOUTH AROUND 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON THEN  
BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5  
TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............6.  
DISPERSION INDEX....10.  
 
TIME (CST) 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM  
SKY (%).........16 16 16 18 18 18 13 13 13 11 11 11  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............53 53 54 57 61 65 68 68 69 69 70 68  
RH..............93 96 100 93 87 81 76 81 81 81 81 87  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E SE SE SE SE S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 10 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 9 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.0 0.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E SE SE SE SE S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 10 10 9 8 8 7 7 6 6 5  
DISPERSION......11 11 11 10 10 10 11 11 11 9 9 9  
LVORI...........6 6 7 6 5 5 4 4 4 4 5 5  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 1 TO 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST  
2 TO 3 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
LVORI...............8.  
DISPERSION INDEX....3.  
 
TIME (CST) 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM  
SKY (%).........17 17 17 44 44 44 63 63 63 67 67 67  
WEATHER COV..... PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY  
WEATHER TYPE.... FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............66 64 61 61 60 59 58 58 58 57 57 56  
RH..............90 97 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SW SW SW SW N N W NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 5 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW W W W W N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 3 3 3 2 2 2 1 2 2 3 3  
DISPERSION......4 4 4 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2  
LVORI...........6 8 10 10 10 9 9 10 10 10 10 9  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG IN THE  
MORNING.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.  
MIN HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO 6  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............7.  
DISPERSION INDEX....6.  
 
TIME (CST) 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM  
SKY (%).........66 66 66 48 48 48 20 20 20 21 21 21  
WEATHER COV.....ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS  
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............56 56 56 59 62 65 68 70 72 72 71 70  
RH..............100 100 100 96 93 87 81 76 73 73 76 78  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N NW NW W SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 8 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N NW W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 5 6 6  
DISPERSION......4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 7 7 7  
LVORI...........9 8 9 9 8 6 5 4 4 4 4 4  
 
 
FORECASTER...DOBBS  
REQUESTED BY...KYLE BASS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2527996.2/TAE  
.DELDT 12/23/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL KYLE.BASS@FLORIDADEP.GOV  
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