568
FNUS72 KTAE 161101
FWSTAE
SPOT FORECAST FOR BU326/328...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
601 AM EST FRI JAN 16 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EST ON JANUARY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (850) 942-8833, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
AFTER A COLD START TEMPERATURES WILL WARM UP STEADILY THROUGH THE
MORNING AND AFTERNOON. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL PEAK AROUND 60 WITH
RHS DROPPING TO AROUND 40% EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE
LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH THE MORNING BUT WILL STEADILY INCREASE
AND BECOME SOUTH AND SOUTHEASTERLY AROUND 5 MPH. 4 TO 5 KFT
MIXING HEIGHTS AND INCREASING SOUTHERLY TRANSPORT WINDS THROUGH
THE DAY WILL KEEP DISPERSIONS ON THE HIGHER END AND AROUND 70 TO
75. LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH THE
EVENING WITH EXCELLENT RH RECOVERIES EXPECTED. WHILE CONFIDENCE
REMAINS LOW, PATCHY FOG CAN'T BE RULED OUT SATURDAY MORNING. AS
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUES TO STREAM IN, EXPECT HIGHER AFTERNOON
HUMIDITIES AND INCREASING CHANCES FOR RAIN ACROSS THE BURN SITE ON
SATURDAY, ALONG WITH MUCH LOWER DISPERSIONS.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AND
SOUTHEAST AROUND 3 TO 5 MPH AFTER NOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
10 TO 14 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
LVORI...............3.
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 71.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........3 3 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 4 4 4
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............25 25 26 35 42 48 52 56 58 58 60 58
RH..............77 77 73 60 51 47 44 43 44 47 47 55
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N SE SE S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 0 0 1 1 2 3 3 3 3 2
20 FT WIND GUST.2 2 2 2 3 3 6 7 7 7 7 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.3 2.0 2.9 3.6 4.2 4.5 4.3 3.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E SE SE SE SE S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 6 6 7 9 10 12 13 14 14 14 13
DISPERSION......6 6 6 26 26 26 68 68 68 73 73 73
LVORI...........4 4 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 12 MPH.
LVORI...............6.
DISPERSION INDEX....22 DECREASING TO 5 IN THE LATE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT.
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........14 14 14 32 32 32 47 47 47 77 77 77
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10
TEMP............54 51 49 48 49 49 50 50 47 51 51 51
RH..............64 74 83 86 86 90 91 95 100 94 93 93
20 FT WIND DIR..S SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 9 9 10 12 12 12 12 12 12 10 10
DISPERSION......22 22 22 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
LVORI...........2 4 5 5 5 6 6 7 9 7 6 6
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 12 MPH.
LVORI...............4.
DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 27 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........71 71 71 78 78 78 82 82 82 85 85 85
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50
TEMP............53 53 53 56 60 62 64 65 65 66 65 63
RH..............89 86 89 86 84 81 76 74 73 69 70 75
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S SE
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 3 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 6 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.5 2.1 2.5 2.7 2.7 2.5 1.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 10 8
DISPERSION......8 8 8 24 24 24 28 28 28 30 30 30
LVORI...........5 5 5 5 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
FORECASTER...DOBBS
REQUESTED BY...W. SULTEMEIER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2600316.0/TAE
.DELDT 01/16/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL WESLEY.SULTEMEIER@USDA.GOV
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