657  
FNUS72 KTAE 161338  
FWSTAE  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR PLANK 71...FFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL  
838 AM EST FRI JAN 16 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EST ON JANUARY 16.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (850) 942-8833, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
AFTER A COLD START TEMPERATURES WILL WARM UP STEADILY THROUGH THE  
MORNING AND AFTERNOON. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL PEAK AROUND 55 WITH  
RHS DROPPING TO AROUND 40% EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE  
LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH THE MORNING BUT WILL STEADILY INCREASE  
AND BECOME SOUTH AND SOUTHEASTERLY AROUND 5 MPH. 3 TO 4 KFT  
MIXING HEIGHTS AND INCREASING SOUTHERLY TRANSPORT WINDS THROUGH  
THE DAY WILL KEEP DISPERSIONS ON THE HIGHER END AND AROUND 60 TO  
65. LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH THE  
EVENING WITH EXCELLENT RH RECOVERIES EXPECTED. WHILE CONFIDENCE  
REMAINS LOW, PATCHY FOG CAN'T BE RULED OUT SATURDAY MORNING. AS  
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUES TO STREAM IN, EXPECT HIGHER AFTERNOON  
HUMIDITIES AND INCREASING CHANCES FOR RAIN ACROSS THE BURN SITE ON  
SATURDAY, ALONG WITH MUCH LOWER DISPERSIONS.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.  
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 14 MPH.  
LVORI...............2.  
DISPERSION INDEX....21 INCREASING TO 58 IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 3  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............34 39 46 49 53 55 55 56 55  
RH..............60 50 42 41 39 41 46 49 51  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 2 3 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 6 7 9 9 9 9 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 1.2 1.9 2.6 3.2 3.6 3.8 3.5 2.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 8 9 12 13 14 14 13  
DISPERSION......21 21 21 54 54 54 62 62 62  
LVORI...........3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.  
MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 13 MPH.  
LVORI...............4.  
DISPERSION INDEX....19 DECREASING TO 7 IN THE LATE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT.  
 
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........5 5 5 6 6 6 27 27 27 57 57 57  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10  
TEMP............53 50 47 46 46 46 46 46 45 47 48 49  
RH..............59 70 74 79 79 83 81 83 88 83 83 85  
20 FT WIND DIR..S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 3 3 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 9 9 10 12 12 12 13 13 12 12 12  
DISPERSION......19 19 19 5 5 5 6 6 6 8 8 8  
LVORI...........2 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 5 4 4 4  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY.  
CWR.................30 PERCENT INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.  
MIN HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY  
IN THE MORNING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 16 MPH.  
LVORI...............4.  
DISPERSION INDEX....15 INCREASING TO 30 IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........74 74 74 75 75 75 80 80 80 81 81 81  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............30 30 30 30 30 30 40 40 40 40 40 40  
TEMP............50 51 51 54 58 61 63 64 65 65 64 62  
RH..............83 86 88 85 82 80 75 73 70 70 70 75  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.6 0.9 1.3 1.8 2.3 2.7 3.0 3.2 3.1 2.8 2.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 13 14 16 16 15 14 13 12 9 8  
DISPERSION......15 15 15 31 31 31 32 32 32 27 27 27  
LVORI...........4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
 
 
FORECASTER...OLIVER  
REQUESTED BY...CROSBY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2600330.0/TAE  
.DELDT 01/16/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MATTHEW.CROSBY@FDACS.GOV  
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