190
FNUS72 KTAE 161358
FWSTAE
SPOT FORECAST FOR WC 36...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
858 AM EST FRI JAN 16 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EST ON JANUARY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (850) 942-8833, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
AFTER A COLD START TEMPERATURES WILL WARM UP STEADILY THROUGH THE
MORNING AND AFTERNOON. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL PEAK AROUND 60 WITH
RHS DROPPING TO AROUND 45% EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE
LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH THE MORNING BUT WILL STEADILY INCREASE
AND BECOME SOUTH AND SOUTHEASTERLY AROUND 5 MPH. 3.5 TO 4.5 KFT
MIXING HEIGHTS AND INCREASING SOUTHERLY TRANSPORT WINDS THROUGH
THE DAY WILL KEEP DISPERSIONS ON THE HIGHER END AND AROUND 65 TO
70. LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH THE
EVENING WITH EXCELLENT RH RECOVERIES EXPECTED. WHILE CONFIDENCE
REMAINS LOW, PATCHY FOG CAN'T BE RULED OUT SATURDAY MORNING. AS
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUES TO STREAM IN, EXPECT HIGHER AFTERNOON
HUMIDITIES AND INCREASING CHANCES FOR RAIN ACROSS THE BURN SITE ON
SATURDAY, ALONG WITH MUCH LOWER DISPERSIONS.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY
IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 14 MPH.
LVORI...............2.
DISPERSION INDEX....38 INCREASING TO 67 IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (EST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........1 1 1 3 3 3 15 15 15
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............37 45 51 53 56 58 58 60 58
RH..............67 55 48 48 47 47 51 49 57
20 FT WIND DIR..N SE SE S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..0 1 1 2 3 5 5 3 2
20 FT WIND GUST.2 3 3 6 7 8 8 7 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 2.1 2.7 3.3 3.7 4.1 4.2 3.9 2.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 10 12 13 13 14 14 14 13
DISPERSION......38 38 38 66 66 66 67 67 67
LVORI...........3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 3 AM.
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT AFTER 3 AM.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 16 MPH.
LVORI...............5.
DISPERSION INDEX....26 DECREASING TO 10 IN THE LATE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT.
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........34 34 34 44 44 44 59 59 59 83 83 83
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 20
TEMP............54 52 50 51 51 51 52 52 50 53 53 53
RH..............69 77 83 86 89 86 86 89 96 86 89 89
20 FT WIND DIR..S SE SE S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 6 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 10 12 13 14 15 15 16 15 14 14 13
DISPERSION......26 26 26 10 10 10 10 10 10 9 9 9
LVORI...........3 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 7 5 5 5
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY.
CWR.................40 PERCENT INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY
IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 16 MPH.
LVORI...............4.
DISPERSION INDEX....15 INCREASING TO 27 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........81 81 81 81 81 81 78 78 78 81 81 81
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............40 40 40 40 40 40 50 50 50 50 50 50
TEMP............55 55 55 58 62 64 65 65 66 66 65 63
RH..............83 83 86 83 78 75 73 73 70 68 70 75
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S SE
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 3 3 5 5 5 3 3 2
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 6 7 7 8 8 8 7 7 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.5 1.9 2.2 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.2 1.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 14 15 15 16 15 14 12 12 12 12 10
DISPERSION......15 15 15 28 28 28 26 26 26 26 26 26
LVORI...........4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
FORECASTER...OLIVER
REQUESTED BY...FULTON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2600333.0/TAE
.DELDT 01/16/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL OPAL.FULTON@FDACS.GOV
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