815  
FNUS72 KTAE 161400  
FWSTAE  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BLOXHAM RX...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL  
900 AM EST FRI JAN 16 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EST ON JANUARY 16.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (850) 942-8833, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
AFTER A COLD START TEMPERATURES WILL WARM UP STEADILY THROUGH THE  
MORNING AND AFTERNOON. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL PEAK AROUND 60 WITH  
RHS DROPPING TO AROUND 40% EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE  
LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH THE MORNING BUT WILL STEADILY INCREASE  
AND BECOME SOUTH AND SOUTHEASTERLY AROUND 5 MPH. 4 TO 5 KFT  
MIXING HEIGHTS AND INCREASING SOUTHERLY TRANSPORT WINDS THROUGH  
THE DAY WILL KEEP DISPERSIONS ON THE HIGHER END AND AROUND 70 TO  
75. LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH THE  
EVENING WITH EXCELLENT RH RECOVERIES EXPECTED. WHILE CONFIDENCE  
REMAINS LOW, PATCHY FOG CAN'T BE RULED OUT SATURDAY MORNING. AS  
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUES TO STREAM IN, EXPECT HIGHER AFTERNOON  
HUMIDITIES AND INCREASING CHANCES FOR RAIN ACROSS THE BURN SITE ON  
SATURDAY, ALONG WITH MUCH LOWER DISPERSIONS.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.  
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 14 MPH.  
LVORI...............2.  
DISPERSION INDEX....25 INCREASING TO 75.  
 
TIME (EST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........1 1 1 3 3 3 3 3 3  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............34 41 46 51 56 57 59 60 59  
RH..............61 46 43 41 38 42 42 46 49  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 2 3 3 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 6 7 7 9 9 9 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 1.3 1.9 2.7 3.4 4.1 4.6 4.5 3.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 9 10 12 13 14 14 14 13  
DISPERSION......25 25 25 65 65 65 75 75 75  
LVORI...........3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 12 MPH.  
LVORI...............6.  
DISPERSION INDEX....26 DECREASING TO 6 IN THE LATE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT.  
 
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........15 15 15 28 28 28 49 49 49 72 72 72  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............54 52 49 48 47 46 47 48 46 49 49 50  
RH..............64 71 83 86 93 96 96 96 100 100 100 96  
20 FT WIND DIR..S SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 10 10 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 10  
DISPERSION......26 26 26 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
LVORI...........2 3 4 5 6 6 7 7 9 7 7 7  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY.  
CWR.................50 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.  
MIN HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY  
IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 10 MPH.  
LVORI...............5.  
DISPERSION INDEX....13 INCREASING TO 23 IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........69 69 69 76 76 76 87 87 87 86 86 86  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50  
TEMP............52 52 52 55 59 61 63 64 65 65 64 62  
RH..............89 89 93 90 87 84 78 75 73 70 73 78  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SE SE S S S S S S S SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 3 3 5 5 3 3 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 6 6 7 7 9 9 7 7 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 2.7 2.7 2.5 1.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 9 9 9 9 10 10 10 9 8 7  
DISPERSION......9 9 9 16 16 16 23 23 23 23 23 23  
LVORI...........6 5 6 5 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 4  
 
 
FORECASTER...OLIVER  
REQUESTED BY...DON LANPHER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2600334.0/TAE  
.DELDT 01/16/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL DONALD.LANPHER@FDACS.GOV  
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