467  
FNUS72 KTAE 170109  
FWSTAE  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MOODY AFB RX...USFWS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL  
809 PM EST FRI JAN 16 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 EST ON JANUARY 17.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (850) 942-8833, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
LOW DISPERSIONS HOLD UNTIL ABOUT NOON EST TOMORROW AS SOUTHERLY  
WINDS INCREASE AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. RELATIVE HUMIDITY BOTTOMS OUT TO  
ABOUT 50%. FRONTAL PASSAGE THEN OCCURS SOMETIME TOMORROW EVENING  
OR NIGHT AND WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY A SHARP WIND SHIFT OUT OF THE  
NW. WINDS THEN TURN NORTHERLY HEADING INTO SUNDAY MORNING WITH A  
LARGE SWATH OF PRECIPITATION SPREADING FROM SW TO NE. A WETTING  
RAIN APPEARS LIKELY. PRECIPITATION THEN EXITS EAST OF THE BURN  
SITE BY SUNDAY EVENING.  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.  
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 14 MPH.  
LVORI...............3.  
DISPERSION INDEX....17 INCREASING TO 27 IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........50 50 63 63 63 67 67 67 79 79 79  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 20  
TEMP............42 43 47 52 58 61 64 66 65 65 65  
RH..............65 65 63 56 51 50 46 43 46 48 48  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 13 13 14 14 13 13 12 12 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.4 1.7 2.1 2.4 2.8 2.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 14 14 14 14 14 13 13 12 9  
DISPERSION......15 15 18 18 18 26 26 26 27 27 27  
LVORI...........2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS  
IN THE EVENING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................50 PERCENT INCREASING TO 80 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 8 MPH LATE IN  
THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 8 TO 17  
MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT, THEN  
INCREASING TO AROUND 18 MPH EARLY IN THE  
MORNING.  
LVORI...............4.  
DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 20 AFTER 3 AM.  
 
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........86 86 86 90 90 90 91 91 91 95 95 95  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............50 50 50 50 50 50 80 80 80 80 80 80  
TEMP............59 56 56 54 52 51 50 49 48 46 44 42  
RH..............67 77 74 77 83 83 83 83 86 89 96 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..W NW NW NW N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 5 5 6 7 7 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 7 7 8 9 10 12 13 14 15 16 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 1.0 1.4 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W NW NW N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 5 5 6 8 9 12 14 15 16 17 18  
DISPERSION......9 9 9 6 6 6 10 10 10 20 20 20  
LVORI...........3 4 4 5 5 4 4 4 5 5 5 5  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY  
SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING SUNNY  
(10-20 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING  
AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................80 PERCENT DECREASING TO 20 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.  
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.  
LVORI...............3.  
DISPERSION INDEX....35 INCREASING TO 52 IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........94 94 94 81 81 81 55 55 55 13 13 13  
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............80 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 20 20 20  
TEMP............40 39 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 45 44 41  
RH..............100 100 100 92 86 79 73 65 58 51 49 55  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.17 17 17 17 16 16 16 16 16 15 14 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 2.0 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.2 2.4 2.6 1.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 20 18 17 16 17 18 18 20 18 17 15  
DISPERSION......38 38 38 32 32 32 49 49 49 55 55 55  
LVORI...........5 4 4 4 4 4 3 2 1 1 1 1  
 
 
FORECASTER...GONZALEZ  
REQUESTED BY...STEVEN TORO  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2600386.0/TAE  
.DELDT 01/16/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL STEVEN_TORO-HENRIQUEZ@FWS.GOV  
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