797  
FNUS72 KTAE 171327  
FWSTAE  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR RENARD RX...FFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL  
827 AM EST SAT JAN 17 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EST ON JANUARY 17.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (850) 942-8833, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL PEAK AROUND 65 WITH RHS DROPPING TO AROUND  
70% IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND OUT OF THE SOUTH  
AROUND 5-10 MPH. 1 TO 2 KFT MIXING HEIGHTS WILL KEEP DISPERSIONS  
ON THE LOWER END AND AROUND 25 TO 30. LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL  
CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGHOUT THE DAY. WHILE CONFIDENCE REMAINS  
LOW, PATCHY FOG CAN'T BE RULED OUT SUNDAY MORNING. AS LOW-LEVEL  
MOISTURE CONTINUES TO STREAM IN EXPECT INCREASING CHANCES FOR RAIN  
ACROSS THE BURN SITE TODAY.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS.  
CWR.................40 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.  
MIN HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 17 MPH.  
LVORI...............4.  
DISPERSION INDEX....24.  
 
TIME (EST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........73 73 73 73 73 73 80 80 80  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40  
TEMP............58 62 64 64 65 67 65 65 64  
RH..............90 81 78 78 75 70 75 75 78  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 6 7 7 7 7 6 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 13 15 14 15 14 12 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.2 1.5 1.8 2.0 1.9 1.7 1.4 1.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 17 16 16 15 14 12 10 9  
DISPERSION......27 27 27 28 28 28 20 20 20  
LVORI...........4 4 3 3 3 3 3 4 4  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN  
THE EVENING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................40 PERCENT INCREASING TO 90 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE  
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 18 TO 21 MPH  
OVERNIGHT.  
LVORI...............6.  
DISPERSION INDEX....11 INCREASING TO 18 AFTER 3 AM.  
 
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........88 88 88 95 95 95 95 95 95 93 93 93  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RN RN RN  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............40 40 40 60 60 60 80 80 80 90 90 90  
TEMP............60 57 56 55 54 52 50 48 46 45 44 42  
RH..............90 96 96 100 96 96 100 100 100 100 100 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE N N N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 3 5 7 7 6 7 7 7 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 7 7 12 14 14 14 15 15 15 16 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.2 1.4 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW N N N N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 9 10 13 15 17 18 20 20 20 21  
DISPERSION......8 8 8 9 9 9 13 13 13 18 18 18  
LVORI...........6 6 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 5 5 5  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY  
SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). RAIN EARLY IN THE  
MORNING, THEN RAIN LIKELY LATE IN THE MORNING.  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................90 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.  
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 14 TO 21 MPH.  
LVORI...............3.  
DISPERSION INDEX....41 INCREASING TO 65 IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........92 92 92 83 83 83 47 47 47 7 7 7  
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............90 90 90 70 70 70 20 20 20 10 10 10  
TEMP............41 39 36 38 39 40 43 45 46 46 47 44  
RH..............100 100 100 100 100 92 76 65 58 56 51 55  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 9 8 8 7 8 8 8 8 8 7 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 17 16 16 14 15 15 16 16 15 14 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 2.1 2.0 1.9 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.3 2.8 3.2 3.3 2.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.21 21 21 21 20 20 20 18 18 17 16 14  
DISPERSION......43 43 43 39 39 39 62 62 62 67 67 67  
LVORI...........5 4 4 4 4 3 3 2 1 1 1 1  
 

 
FORECASTER...OLIVER  
REQUESTED BY...CHARLES HARRIS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2600405.0/TAE  
.DELDT 01/17/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CHARLES.HARRIS@FDACS.GOV  
 
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