373
FNUS72 KTAE 171326
FWSTAE
SPOT FORECAST FOR 355 FIRE...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
926 AM EDT SUN MAY 17 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MAY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (850) 942-8833, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE SOUTHERLY AROUND 10 MPH TODAY. MINRH WILL
BE ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS, AROUND 50%. AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL BE
IN THE LOW 90S WITH HEAT INDEX IN THE MID-90S. THERE IS A CHANCE
FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS (AROUND 50%) THIS AFTERNOON THAT
MAY DEVELOP LATE FROM THE ATLANTIC SEA BREEZE, POTENTIALLY LEADING
TO ERRATIC WIND SHIFTS. RAIN AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES DECREASE
FOR MONDAY TO LESS THAN 10%.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 10 MPH.
LVORI...............2.
DISPERSION INDEX....45 DECREASING TO 24.
TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........43 50 50 50 56 56 56
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY
CWR.............0 40 40 40 60 60 60
TEMP............84 87 89 90 91 92 87
RH..............67 59 54 52 50 49 57
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 3 3 5 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.12 10 9 9 10 9 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.1 3.8 4.5 5.1 4.3 3.4 2.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 9 8 7 7 7 8
DISPERSION......42 46 47 35 31 30 24
LVORI...........2 1 1 1 1 1 2
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
EVENING.
CWR.................70 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 8 TO 10
MPH.
LVORI...............4.
DISPERSION INDEX....16 DECREASING TO 5 EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........49 49 49 35 35 35 8 8 8 20 20 20
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............70 70 70 30 30 30 10 10 10 0 0 0
TEMP............87 85 80 77 75 74 73 72 71 70 70 69
RH..............57 61 72 76 79 79 81 81 84 87 84 87
20 FT WIND DIR..S SE E E E E E E E E SE E
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 8 9 10 13 14 15 16 16 15 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 1.2 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SE E E E E E SE SE SE E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 9 9 9 9 9 10 10 10 9 9
DISPERSION......19 12 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 4 4
LVORI...........2 2 3 4 4 4 5 4 5 5 6 6
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 12 MPH.
LVORI...............4.
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 89.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........24 24 24 15 15 15 8 8 8 13 13 13
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............69 68 70 73 79 82 85 88 91 91 92 93
RH..............87 90 87 84 72 63 55 47 41 40 38 37
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 5 5 6 6 7 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.14 13 13 13 13 12 12 13 13 13 13 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.7 1.6 2.4 3.2 4.1 5.0 6.0 6.4 6.8 7.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.E SE SE SE SE SE SE E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 12 12
DISPERSION......4 4 10 20 30 41 51 61 70 75 84 89
LVORI...........6 6 5 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
FORECASTER...OLIVER
REQUESTED BY...SARAH TOMPKINS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2613866.0/TAE
.DELDT 05/17/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL SARAH.TOMPKINS@FDACS.GOV
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