044
FXUS63 KTOP 152006
AFDTOP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
206 PM CST SUN DEC 15 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 117 PM CST SUN DEC 15 2024
AFTER MORNING FOG, A NICE DAY HAS DEVELOPED WITH SOUTHERLY WIND
AROUND 20 MPH AND TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S.
THIS EVENING, A MODIFIED COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH. MOISTURE
AND CONVERGENCE ALONG THIS BOUNDARY LIKELY WON'T COMBINE UNTIL
AFTER THE BOUNDARY HAS PASSED US, LEADING TO A DRY FRONTAL
PASSAGE. ANOTHER WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH TUESDAY
NIGHT, BUT WILL LIKELY DO LITTLE MORE THAN SHIFT THE WIND TO THE
NORTHWEST AND BRING SOME SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR INTO THE AREA. YET
ANOTHER FRONT IS FORECAST FOR THURSDAY NIGHT. AGAIN, THE BULK OF
THE MOISTURE AND LIFT IS FAVORED TO BE OFF TO OUR EAST. THIS
FRONT MAY HAVE A STRONGER PUNCH OF COLD AIR BEHIND IT AND KEEP
TEMPERATURES AT OR SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL FOR THE REST OF THE
WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 1111 AM CST SUN DEC 15 2024
VFR AT ALL TAF SITES THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. GUSTY SOUTHERLY
WIND AROUND 20 KNOTS WILL DIMINISH AND BECOME MORE WESTERLY
AFTER SUNSET. NORTHWESTERLY WIND WILL DEVELOP AROUND 12Z
TOMORROW.
TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...JONES
AVIATION...JONES
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