673  
FXUS63 KTOP 161905  
AFDTOP  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS  
105 PM CST MON DEC 16 2024  
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
- UP AND DOWN TEMPERATURES THIS WEEK, THOUGH GENERALLY ABOVE  
NORMAL.  
 
- DRY CONDITIONS FAVORED THROUGH THE WEEK.  
 
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
ISSUED AT 1256 PM CST MON DEC 16 2024  
 
A COLD FRONT HAS PROGRESSED THROUGH THE AREA. DESPITE  
NORTHWESTERLY WIND AND COLD-AIR ADVECTION, TEMPERATURES ARE  
RISING NICELY TODAY INTO THE 50S. SOUTHERLY WIND WILL DEVELOP BY  
TOMORROW MORNING, USHERING IN ANOTHER WARM DAY. TEMPERATURES  
TOMORROW MAY NOT BE QUITE AS WARM AS THE SETUP WOULD NORMALLY  
PRODUCE DUE TO SOME CLOUD COVER DEVELOPING AHEAD OF AN  
APPROACHING FRONT. ANOTHER WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH  
TUESDAY NIGHT, BUT WILL LIKELY DO LITTLE MORE THAN SHIFT THE  
WIND TO THE NORTHWEST AND BRING SOME SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR INTO  
THE AREA. THERE ARE SOME HINTS THAT WE MAY SEE SOME FLURRIES,  
BUT WITH MOISTURE BEING SO LIMITED WE WOULD BE HARD-PRESSED TO  
GET EVEN THAT. YET ANOTHER FRONT IS FORECAST FOR THURSDAY NIGHT.  
AGAIN, THE BULK OF THE MOISTURE AND LIFT IS FAVORED TO BE OFF  
TO OUR EAST. THIS FRONT MAY HAVE A STRONGER PUNCH OF COLD AIR  
BEHIND IT AND KEEP TEMPERATURES AT OR SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL FOR  
FRIDAY.  
 
 
   
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/  
 
ISSUED AT 1117 AM CST MON DEC 16 2024  
 
VFR AT ALL TAF SITES THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD WITH LIGHT  
NORTHWESTERLY WIND BECOMING SOUTHERLY BY TOMORROW MORNING.  
 
 
   
TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
NONE.  
 
 
 
 
 
DISCUSSION...JONES  
AVIATION...JONES  
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