796
FXUS63 KTOP 091037
AFDTOP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
537 AM CDT FRI MAY 9 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- QUIET AND WARM CONDITIONS EXPECTED INTO NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 210 AM CDT FRI MAY 9 2025
MID-LEVEL AND SURFACE RIDGING IS TAKING CONTROL OF THE REGION EARLY
THIS MORNING IN THE WAKE OF YESTERDAY'S SYSTEM. MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES
WILL BUMP TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE 70S AND LOW 80S THIS AFTERNOON.
DRY CONDITIONS AND ABOVE-NORMAL DAYTIME TEMPERATURES CONTINUE
THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. LOW-
LEVEL FLOW INCREASES FROM THE SOUTH MONDAY AS AN UPPER LOW LIFTS
NORTH ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THE TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM
SHOULD REMAIN FAR ENOUGH EAST TO KEEP DRY CONDITIONS IN PLACE.
SHORTWAVE RIDGING MOVES OVERHEAD TUESDAY AHEAD OF A LONGWAVE
TROUGH ACROSS THE WESTERN CONUS. TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE 80S
TUESDAY WITH 90S IN PLAY FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. THE
AFOREMENTIONED WESTERN TROUGH EJECTS ACROSS THE PLAINS WEDNESDAY
INTO THURSDAY, BUT ENSEMBLES SHOW A LOW PROBABILITY (~10%) OF
ANY MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION WITH THE EJECTION OF THIS TROUGH.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 537 AM CDT FRI MAY 9 2025
SHALLOW FOG BURNS OFF QUICKLY WITH SUNRISE THIS MORNING, LEAVING
VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. FOG APPEARS
LESS LIKELY TONIGHT GIVEN DRIER AIR IN PLACE AND ELEVATED WINDS
JUST OFF THE SURFACE.
TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...FLANAGAN
AVIATION...FLANAGAN
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