057
FXUS63 KTOP 041638
AFDTOP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1138 AM CDT SAT APR 4 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- SEASONABLY COOL AND DRY WEEKEND. AREAS OF FROST ARE POSSIBLE
SUNDAY MORNING.
- ACTIVE WESTERLY PATTERN BRINGS MULTIPLE RAIN CHANCES MID WEEK
ONWARD, HIGHEST PROBABILITY BEING FRIDAY-SATURDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 225 AM CDT SAT APR 4 2026
TODAY AND THIS EVENING
THE COLD FRONT FROM EARLIER IN THE EVENING HAS EXITED THE STATE THIS
MORNING. AREAS OF LOW STRATUS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF EASTERN KS
BEFORE SUNRISE. AS DRIER AIR FILTERS SOUTHWARD BEHIND THE DEEPENING
GREAT LAKES UPPER LOW TODAY, NORTHWEST WINDS INCREASE ONCE AGAIN
FROM 15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 30 MPH. WITH THE EXCEPTION OF FAR
NORTHERN KS, MOST AREAS SEE RETURNING SUNNY SKIES AS HIGHS ARE IN
THE MID-UPPER 50S.
AS SFC RIDGE SETTLES INTO THE REGION THIS EVENING, STRONG
RADIATIONAL COOLING WILL ALLOW FOR AREAS OF FROST TO FORM SUNDAY
MORNING AS LOWS FALL TO THE LOW 30S. HEADLINES WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED
LATER TODAY, ESPECIALLY NORTH OF I-70.
SUNDAY - TUESDAY
SFC RIDGE HOLDS INTO SUNDAY BRINGING LIGHT WINDS AND MILD HIGHS IN
THE 60S. A WEAK MID LEVEL PERTURBATION ON MONDAY DEVELOPS A LEE
TROUGH AND NEARLY STATIONARY BOUNDARY BY THE AFTERNOON. THIS SHOULD
RESULT IN A WIDE RANGE OF HIGHS FROM THE MID 50S NORTH TO THE UPPER
60S IN CENTRAL KANSAS. ANOTHER WEAK EMBEDDED TROUGH ON TUESDAY MAY
BRING SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS, PERHAPS MIXED WITH LIGHT SNOW BRIEFLY
EARLY TUESDAY NEAR THE NEBRASKA BORDER. NO IMPACTS ARE ANTICIPATED.
NBM REMAINS ON THE HIGHER SIDE WITH POPS AS ENSEMBLES/OPERATIONAL
RUNS KEEP NORTHEAST KS MOSTLY DRY.
WEDNESDAY - FRIDAY
TEMPS WARM INTO THE 70S ONCE AGAIN AS SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW
INCREASES WINDS FROM 20-25 MPH SUSTAINED WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY
AFTERNOONS. CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY TO REMAIN DRY UNTIL A STRONGER
DISTURBANCE AND COLD FRONT BRINGS WIDESPREAD RAIN CHANCES FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY. DETAILS ON CONFIDENCE FOR STRONGER STORMS IS LOW THIS FAR
OUT.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 1138 AM CDT SAT APR 4 2026
SURFACE RIDGING WITH DRY AIR IS EXPECTED TO KEEP VFR CONDITIONS IN
PLACE.
TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...PRIETO
AVIATION...WOLTERS
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