872  
AXUS74 KSHV 101200  
DGTSHV  
 
DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA  
700 AM CDT MON SEP 10 2018  
 
...RECENT RAINS HAVE RESULTED IN SLIGHTLY IMPROVED DROUGHT CONDITIONS  
ACROSS NORTHEAST TEXAS AND NORTHWEST LOUISIANA, BUT EXTREME AND SEVERE  
DROUGHT CONDITIONS CONTINUE ACROSS THESE AREAS...  
 
SYNOPSIS...  
 
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL THAT WERE OBSERVED  
ACROSS MUCH OF EAST TEXAS, NORTH LOUISIANA, AND EXTREME SOUTHERN  
ARKANSAS DURING AUGUST CONTINUED THROUGH THE FIRST WEEK OF SEPTEMBER,  
BEFORE COOLER TEMPERATURES AND WIDESPREAD WETTING RAINS AFFECTED THE  
REGION. SINCE THE FIRST OF SEPTEMBER, WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF A  
HALF INCH TO TWO INCHES, WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF THREE  
INCHES, HAVE FALLEN ACROSS ALL OF THE ARK-LA-TEX, WITH THE HEAVIER  
CONCENTRATIONS NOTED OVER DEEP EAST TEXAS AND WESTCENTRAL LOUISIANA.  
THIS HAS RESULTED IN MINOR IMPROVEMENTS TO THE ONGOING DROUGHT  
ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST TEXAS AND NORTHWEST LOUISIANA.  
 
HOWEVER, EXTREME (D3) DROUGHT CONDITIONS PERSIST ACROSS SOUTHERN MORRIS,  
EASTERN CAMP, AND EASTERN UPSHUR COUNTIES IN EAST TEXAS, AS WELL AS  
SOUTHERN WEBSTER, SOUTHERN CLAIBORNE, AND NORTHERN BIENVILLE PARISHES IN  
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA. SEVERE (D2) DROUGHT CONDITIONS ALSO CONTINUE ACROSS  
SOUTHERN FRANKLIN, SOUTHERN TITUS, NORTHERN MORRIS, CASS, MARION, HARRISON,  
GREGG, WESTERN UPSHUR, WESTERN CAMP, WOOD, SMITH, SOUTHCENTRAL CHEROKEE,  
AND NORTHERN RUSK COUNTIES IN EAST TEXAS, AS WELL AS MUCH OF CADDO,  
BOSSIER, NORTHERN WEBSTER, CLAIBORNE, BIENVILLE, WESTERN LINCOLN, AND  
WESTERN UNION PARISHES IN NORTH LOUISIANA. MODERATE (D1) DROUGHT  
CONDITIONS ALSO LINGER ACROSS MILLER, LAFAYETTE, COLUMBIA, AND UNION  
COUNTIES IN SOUTHERN ARKANSAS, NORTHERN DESOTO, RED RIVER, NORTHERN  
NATCHITOCHES, WESTERN JACKSON, LINCOLN, AND THE REMAINDER OF UNION  
PARISHES IN NORTH LOUISIANA, AND ACROSS RED RIVER, BOWIE, NORTHERN  
FRANKLIN, NORTHERN TITUS, SOUTHERN SMITH, MUCH OF CHEROKEE, RUSK, NORTHERN  
NACOGDOCHES, AND NORTHERN PANOLA COUNTIES IN EAST TEXAS. WHILE NOT IN  
DROUGHT, ABNORMALLY DRY (D0) CONDITIONS REMAIN ACROSS PORTIONS OF DEEP  
EAST TEXAS AND MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN SECTIONS OF NORTHCENTRAL  
LOUISIANA.  
 
SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...  
 
AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS.  
SOIL MOISTURE REMAINS SHORT OR VERY SHORT ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHEAST TEXAS  
AND NORTHWEST LOUISIANA. HOWEVER, SOME GREENUP HAS BEEN NOTED RECENTLY  
IN WAKE OF SCATTERED RAINS RECEIVED SO FAR IN SEPTEMBER. MANY  
NON-IRRIGATED GARDENS AND CROP PASTURES HAVE ALREADY BEEN LOST OR HAVE  
PRODUCED SIGNIFICANTLY LOW YIELDS OF FRUITS AND VEGETABLES, AND SOME  
SHALLOW ROOTED TREES CONTINUE TO DIE OR HAVE LOST A SIGNIFICANT NUMBER  
OF LEAVES. IN ADDITION, PASTURE AND RANGELAND CONDITIONS REMAIN POOR TO  
VERY POOR ACROSS THE HARDER DROUGHT STRICKEN AREAS, WITH MANY HAY PRODUCERS  
INDICATING BELOW NORMAL QUANTITY AND QUALITY OF HAY. IN FACT, SOME AREAS  
HAVE BEEN ONLY ABLE TO MAKE ONE TO TWO CUTS OF HAY SO FAR THIS YEAR, IF  
THAT. THIS HAS REQUIRED SOME PRODUCERS TO SEARCH FOR HAY FROM OTHER STATES,  
OR EVEN BEGIN CULLING THEIR HERDS. SURFACE WATER HAS ALSO BEEN A PROBLEM  
AS STOCK PONDS AND CREEKS WERE DRYING UP.  
 
FIRE DANGER IMPACTS.  
BURN BANS ARE IN EFFECT FOR MORRIS, CAMP, MARION, HARRISON, PANOLA,  
SHELBY, SAN AUGUSTINE, NACOGDOCHES, RUSK, GREGG, UPSHUR, WOOD, AND  
CHEROKEE COUNTIES IN EAST TEXAS, AS WELL AS BOSSIER, WEBSTER, RED RIVER,  
DESOTO, SABINE, NATCHITOCHES, BIENVILLE, AND JACKSON PARISHES IN NORTH  
LOUISIANA. GIVEN THE RECENT RAINS, SOME OF THESE BURN BANS MAY BE DROPPED  
IN THE NEAR FUTURE.  
 
CURRENT WATER RESTRICTIONS.  
VOLUNTARY WATER RESTRICTIONS ARE IN EFFECT FOR SMALLER RURAL WATER  
SYSTEMS ACROSS EAST TEXAS. NO OTHER KNOWN WATER RESTRICTIONS ARE IN EFFECT  
AT THIS TIME.  
 
CLIMATE SUMMARY...  
 
MUCH NEEDED RAINFALL HAS FALLEN AREAWIDE SO FAR IN SEPTEMBER, WHICH HAS  
SLIGHTLY ALLEVIATED DROUGHT CONDITIONS. BELOW IS A LIST OF THE  
SEPTEMBER RAINFALL TOTALS, THEIR DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL, AND PERCENTAGES  
OF NORMAL, FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS ACROSS THE FOUR STATE REGION:  
 
CITY: SEPTEMBER RAINFALL DEPARTURE PERCENTAGE  
(THROUGH 9/9) FROM NORMAL OF NORMAL  
 
SHREVEPORT LA 2.25 IN. +1.39 IN. 261%  
 
MONROE LA 1.62 IN. +0.55 IN. 151%  
 
TEXARKANA AR 1.11 IN. +0.08 IN. 108%  
 
EL DORADO AR 2.35 IN. +1.45 IN. 162%  
 
DEQUEEN AR 0.31 IN. -0.74 IN. 30%  
 
TYLER TX 1.31 IN. +0.22 IN. 120%  
(AIRPORT)  
 
TYLER TX 2.45 IN. +1.51 IN. 261%  
(COOPERATIVE OBSERVING STATION)  
 
LONGVIEW TX 0.81 IN. -0.14 IN. 85%  
 
LUFKIN TX 1.82 IN. +0.57 IN. 146%  
 
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA MESONET STATIONS:  
MT. HERMAN 1.22 IN. +0.13 IN. 112%  
BROKEN BOW 0.83 IN. -0.26 IN. 76%  
IDABEL 1.50 IN. +0.38 IN. 134%  
 
LONG TERM RAINFALL DEFICITS (SINCE MAY) REMAIN QUITE LARGE THOUGH ACROSS  
MUCH OF NORTHEAST TEXAS, EXTREME SOUTHERN ARKANSAS, AND NORTH LOUISIANA,  
WHERE SEVERE TO EXTREME DROUGHT CONDITIONS CONTINUE. BELOW IS A LIST OF  
THE MAY-SEPTEMBER RAINFALL TOTALS, THEIR DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL, AND  
PERCENTAGES OF NORMAL, FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS ACROSS THE FOUR STATE  
REGION:  
 
CITY: MAY-SEPT RAINFALL DEPARTURE PERCENTAGE  
(THROUGH 9/9) FROM NORMAL OF NORMAL  
 
SHREVEPORT LA 7.83 IN. -9.74 IN. 45%  
 
MONROE LA 14.76 IN. -2.93 IN. 83%  
 
NATCHITOCHES LA 11.54 IN. -7.08 IN. 62%  
 
TEXARKANA AR 8.47 IN. -8.45 IN. 50%  
 
EL DORADO AR 9.06 IN. -8.46 IN. 52%  
 
HOPE 3NE AR 15.62 IN. -2.29 IN. 87%  
 
DEQUEEN AR 11.32 IN. -5.75 IN. 66%  
 
MT. PLEASANT TX 10.02 IN. -6.67 IN. 60%  
 
TYLER TX 6.60 IN. -9.59 IN. 41%  
(AIRPORT)  
 
TYLER TX 10.27 IN. -5.64 IN. 65%  
(COOPERATIVE OBSERVING STATION)  
 
LONGVIEW TX 7.42 IN. -9.25 IN. 45%  
 
MARSHALL TX 6.60 IN. -10.46 IN. 39%  
 
LUFKIN TX 10.55 IN. -6.41 IN. 62%  
 
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA MESONET STATIONS:  
MT. HERMAN 19.21 IN. +0.34 IN. 102%  
BROKEN BOW 14.96 IN. -4.17 IN. 78%  
IDABEL 10.75 IN. -6.95 IN. 61%  
 
PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...  
 
BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES, COUPLED WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS, ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AREAWIDE THROUGH AT LEAST  
MIDWEEK, AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE LINGERS ACROSS THE REGION.  
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF A HALF INCH TO IN EXCESS OF TWO  
INCHES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MIDWEEK ACROSS EAST TEXAS AND NORTH  
LOUISIANA GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20, WITH LIGHTER  
AMOUNTS EXPECTED FARTHER NORTH ACROSS EXTREME NORTHEAST TEXAS,  
SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS, AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO  
BECOME MORE SPARSE BY LATE WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND, WITH TEMPERATURES  
RETURNING BACK TO NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL. THE ADDITIONAL  
RAIN THIS WEEK SHOULD HELP TO FURTHER ALLEVIATE SHORT TERM DROUGHT  
CONDITIONS ACROSS PORTIONS OF EAST TEXAS AND NORTH LOUISIANA BEFORE  
BECOMING MORE ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED LATE THIS WEEK.  
 
THE THREE MONTH TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK FOR SEPTEMBER-  
OCTOBER-NOVEMBER, ISSUED BY THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC),  
INDICATES ABOVE NORMAL PROBABILITIES FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES  
AREAWIDE. HOWEVER, THERE ARE EQUAL CHANCES (OR NO SKILL LEVEL) IN  
DETERMINING WHETHER ABOVE NORMAL, NEAR NORMAL, OR BELOW NORMAL RAIN WILL  
FALL OVER THE ARK-LA-TEX THROUGH NOVEMBER. THIS IS DUE TO THE FACT THAT  
EL NINO CONDITIONS ARE CURRENTLY DEVELOPING OVER THE EQUATORIAL PACIFIC,  
WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME INFLUENCE ON THE AREA WEATHER AS WE MOVE  
FORWARD TO MID AND LATE FALL.  
 
HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...  
 
LAKES AND RESERVOIRS ACROSS MUCH OF EAST TEXAS AND NORTH LOUISIANA REMAIN  
SOME TWO TO THREE FEET BELOW NORMAL POOL STAGE, ALTHOUGH RECENT RAINS  
HAVE ALLOWED FOR NEAR NORMAL STREAMFLOWS TO RETURN ACROSS THE CYPRESS,  
UPPER AND MIDDLE SABINE BASINS. LITTLE CHANGE TO SLIGHT IMPROVEMENTS ARE  
EXPECTED THROUGH AT LEAST MID-SEPTEMBER GIVEN THE RAINS THAT WILL FALL.  
 
NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...  
 
THE NEXT DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY LATE SEPTEMBER.  
 

 
 
RELATED WEB SITES...  
 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT HOMEPAGE: WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SHV  
NATIONAL INTEGRATED DROUGHT INFORMATION SYSTEM: WWW.DROUGHT.GOV  
U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR: WWW.DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM/MONITOR.HTML  
DROUGHT IMPACT REPORTER: WWW.DROUGHTREPORTER.UNL.EDU  
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER: WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV  
LA OFFICE OF STATE CLIMATOLOGY: WWW.LOSC.LSU.EDU  
TX OFFICE OF STATE CLIMATOLOGY: WWW.MET.TAMI.EDU/OSC  
OK CLIMATOLOGICAL SURVEY: HTTP://CLIMATE.OK.GOV  
UNITED STATE GEOLOGICAL SURVEY: HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV  
TEXAS A&M AGRICULTURAL COMMUNICATIONS-AGNEWS: HTTP://AGNEWS.TAMU.EDU  
LA DEPT. OF AGRICULTURE AND FORESTRY: HTTP://WWW.LDAF.STATE.LA.US/  
TEXAS FOREST SERVICE: HTTP://WWW.TEXASFORESTSERVICE.TAMU.EDU  
ARKANSAS FIRE INFO: HTTP://WWW.ARKFIREINFO.ORG  
OKLAHOMA FORESTRY SERVICES: HTTP://WWW.FORESTRY.OK.GOV/WILDLAND-FIRE  
LSU AG CENTER: HTTP://WWW.LSUAGCENTER.COM  
 
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS...  
 
THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR FACILITATED COLLABORATION AMONGST VARIOUS  
AGENCIES...INCLUDING THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...STATE  
CLIMATOLOGISTS...THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...AND THE U.S. DROUGHT  
MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FROM THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED  
FROM NWS/FAA OBSERVATIONS SITES...THE USDA...THE CORPS OF ENGINEERS...  
USGS...TEXAS FOREST SERVICE...TEXAS INTERAGENCY COORDINATION CENTER...  
ARKANSAS FORESTRY COMMISSION...AND THE OKLAHOMA FORESTRY SERVICES.  
 
QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...  
 
IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT INFORMATION  
STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT:  
 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE  
5655 HOLLYWOOD AVE.  
SHREVEPORT LA 71109  
 
PHONE: (318) 631-3669  
EMAIL: SR-SHV.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV  
 

 
 
15/HANSFORD  
 
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