970
FNUS74 KSHV 212009
FWSSHV
SPOT FORECAST FOR RED RIVER 3027...TEXAS A&M FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
309 PM CDT MON OCT 21 2024
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1500 CDT ON OCTOBER 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (318) 631-3669 EXT. 241, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
RECENT OBSERVATIONS AROUND THE WILDFIRE LOCATION
SUGGEST RH VALUES OF AROUND 24 PERCENT WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OUT OF
THE SE AROUND 7 MPH. GIVEN A NORTH EXPOSURE, THESE VALUES COULD BE
SLIGHTLY HIGHER IN THE 25 TO 30 PERCENT RANGE. THESE CURRENT
CONDITIONS ARE ON PAR WITH THE PROJECTED FORECAST TRENDS THROUGH
THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AS MIN RH VALUES REBOUND
TOWARDS 50 PERCENT AFTER SUNSET, WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE SE
AROUND 5 MPH. EXPECT A WIND SHIFT TO THE SW AROUND 8 OR 9 AM
TUESDAY AND INCREASING TOWARDS 10 MPH. A SW WIND WILL USHER IN
SLIGHTLY HIGHER DEWPOINTS NEAR THE WILDFIRE LOCATION ON TUESDAY
WHICH WILL MAKE FOR MIN RH VALUES OF 40 TO 45 PERCENT IN THE
AFTERNOON. IN GENERAL, REALLY DRY SOILS AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
MAKE FOR FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR FIRE SPREAD THROUGH THE WEEK.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 83.
RH..................MIN 25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 14 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 4 TO 6 METERS/SECOND.
DISPERSION INDEX....45 DECREASING TO 33 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............1 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 55.
RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 13 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 4 TO 6 METERS/SECOND.
DISPERSION INDEX....19 DECREASING TO 6.
LVORI...............3.
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 88.
RH..................MIN 40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 17 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 5 TO 8 METERS/SECOND.
DISPERSION INDEX....14 INCREASING TO 24 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 34 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
TO 49 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 54
DECREASING TO 44 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
DECREASING TO 31.
LVORI...............3.
FORECASTER...KOVACIK
REQUESTED BY...EVELYN FOLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2424573.0/SHV
.DELDT 10/21/24
.FORMATTERVERSION 1.0.26
.EMAIL EVELYN.FOLEY@TFS.TAMU.EDU
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