055
FXUS64 KSHV 221141 AAA
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
641 AM CDT FRI AUG 22 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1241 AM CDT FRI AUG 22 2025
- THE COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO SINK SOUTHWARD AS NORTHEAST WINDS
NOW RULE THE LOWER TO MIDDLE ATMOSPHERE.
- A LITTLE LESS HUMIDITY WILL MAKE FOR A NICE BREAK FROM THE HEAT
ADVISORIES, BUT HIGHS WILL STILL SEE A SOON RETURN TO AVERAGE.
- RAINFALL WILL BE ENDING AFTER TODAY, BUT LOOKS TO RETURN WITH
ANOTHER COLD FRONT SPREADING MORE FRESH NE WIND DOWN THE MS
RIVER VALLEY BEFORE THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1241 AM CDT FRI AUG 22 2025
GOOD LOOKING WEEKEND SHAPING UP FOR US AS THE COLD FRONT
CONTINUES TO MAKE PROGRESS SOUTHWARD TODAY. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE SOUTH OF I-20, BUT NOT TOO BAD
AS THE SPC IS GENERAL RISK FOR THESE LATE SUMMER DOWNPOURS. THE
MUGGY AIR OF LATE WILL BE DRYING OUT A BIT ON PERSISTENT NE
WINDS, SO WE ARE ALL LOOKING FORWARD TO ANOTHER LONG BREAK FROM
THE HEAT ADVISORY CALCULATIONS.
WE WILL RETURN HIGHS TO NORMAL QUICKLY OVER THE WEEKEND, BUT THE
DROP IN HUMIDITY WILL BE THE KEY ROLE FOR A GOOD WHILE. THESE NE
WINDS WILL EVENTUALLY VEER A BIT TO E, BUT BACK TO NE AS ANOTHER
NICE 1024MB AIR MASS SPRAWLS DOWN THE PLAINS AND MS RIVER VALLEY
EARLY NEXT WEEK. SOME MORE RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED BY TUESDAY AND
AGAIN TO ROUND OUT THE WORK WEEK.
UNTIL THEN, THE BIG UPPER HEAT RIDGE WILL RETROGRADE PAST THE 4
CORNERS OVER THE WEEKEND, AND THE LOWER HEIGHTS ALOFT WILL INSURE
THE EASING OF THE EXCESSIVE HEAT OF LATE. THE UPPER RIDGE THEN
WEAKENS FROM 595DAM THIS WEEKEND TO 592DAM AND LIFTS INTO THE
PACIFIC NW STATES EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE NEXT AIR MASS POURS OUT
OF CANADA. SO ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL EDGE OUR WAY AND SOME NW
FLOW WILL KEEP OUR OUTLOOK FOR RAINFALL BETTER THAN AVERAGE,
EPICALLY LATE NEXT WEEK. THE WPC EROS WILL BE SPREADING DOWN OUR
WAY PERHAPS BY THIS TIME NEXT WEEK. /24/
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 641 AM CDT FRI AUG 22 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE 22/12Z TAF PERIOD.
SCATTERED AREAS OF CU WITH SOME AC AND CIRRUS CIGS CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP MAINLY ALONG AND S OF I-20, WHERE ISOLATED -SHRA HAVE
DEVELOP ACROSS PORTIONS OF NW LA AND ADJACENT AREAS OF E TX. THIS
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING, AND GRADUALLY EXPAND INTO THE
AFTERNOON ONCE DIURNAL HEATING/INSTABILITY INCREASES. HAVE
MAINTAINED VCSH FOR LFK THIS MORNING, AND CONTINUED VCTS FOR THE
AFTERNOON AS WELL, WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED CONVECTION EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP FURTHER ACROSS PORTIONS OF DEEP E TX/N LA S OF I-20,
BEFORE DIMINISHING BY LATE AFTERNOON AS IT SHIFTS FARTHER S INTO
SE TX/S LA. FARTHER N, A SCATTERED CU FIELD SHOULD DEVELOP BY
MID/LATE MORNING, BEFORE DIMINISH BY OR SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET. ENE
WINDS 5-8KTS TODAY WILL BECOME LT/VRB AFTER 00Z. /15/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 100 AM CDT FRI AUG 22 2025
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 94 73 96 73 / 10 0 0 0
MLU 93 69 95 69 / 10 0 10 0
DEQ 93 69 95 69 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 95 71 97 72 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 93 67 95 68 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 93 71 94 72 / 10 0 0 0
GGG 94 70 95 70 / 10 0 0 0
LFK 91 72 95 70 / 50 10 20 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...24
AVIATION...15
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