931
FXUS64 KSHV 021106
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
606 AM CDT SAT MAY 2 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CDT SAT MAY 2 2026
- A QUIET AND DRY WEEKEND IS IN STORE, WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S
AND LOWER 50S, AND HIGHS IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 70S.
- THE WORK WEEK WILL BEGIN WITH HIGHS RETURNING TO THE 80S,
FOLLOWED BY SCATTERED STORMS THROUGHOUT THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CDT SAT MAY 2 2026
AT THE TIME OF THIS WRITING, THE LAST OF THE SHOWERS ARE AT LAST
DEPARTING THE ARKLATEX TO THE SOUTH AND EAST. CLOUDS WILL SCATTER
OUT OVERNIGHT, LEAVING MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES BY SUNRISE, WITH ABUNDANT
SUNSHINE TO FOLLOW THROUGH THE WEEKEND AHEAD. AS A LARGE AREA OF
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AND ITS ASSOCIATED UPPER LEVEL RIDGE ADVANCE
EASTWARD, NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL SUPPRESS RUNAWAY WARMING, AND
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND ONLY INTO THE MIDDLE 70S THIS
AFTERNOON, DROPPING BACK INTO THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S OVERNIGHT
AND RETURNING TO THE UPPER 70S SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
A CONTINUED WARM UP TO MORE SEASONABLE HIGHS IN THE 80S IS
EXPECTED TO START THE WORK WEEK, WHILE OUR QUIET WEATHER
CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY AND EARLY TUESDAY. THE UPPER
LEVEL PATTERN WILL FIND THIS WEEKEND'S RIDGE FLATTENED OUT INTO
PSEUDO- ZONAL FLOW ALOFT, AND BY TUESDAY, AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST WILL TILT THE FLOW TO
SOUTHWESTERLY, USHERING IN OUR NEXT CHANCE OF THUNDER ACROSS
NORTHERN ZONES OF THE ARKLATEX. BY WEDNESDAY, AS THE TROUGH PUSHES
EAST, RAINFALL CHANCES LOOK TO SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION,
ULTIMATELY DEPARTING BY LATE THURSDAY, WITH QUIET CONDITIONS
CLOSING OUT THE TAIL END OF THIS EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD. A
SURFACE COLD FRONT LOOKS TO MAKE A DENT IN THE RETURNING HEAT BY
THURSDAY, WITH TEMPERATE CONDITIONS TO FOLLOW.
/26/
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 602 AM CDT SAT MAY 2 2026
FOR THE 02/12Z TAF PERIOD, VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL WITH DECREASING
MID-LEVEL ALTOCU AROUND 10-12KFT STILL ENCOMPASSING PARTS OF OUR
AIRSPACE. THESE CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY SHIFT SE THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THIS MORNING AND GRADUALLY CLEAR FROM NW TO SE
THROUGH MIDDAY. SOME SPARSE CU MAY ALSO DEVELOP LATER IN THE DAY,
BUT COVERAGE SHOULD BE RATHER LIMITED AS DRY AIR CONTINUES TO
SLOWLY FILTER INTO THE REGION. WITH THAT SAID, CAN'T RULE OUT SOME
VERY PATCHY FOG OR LOW STRATUS NEAR KLFK FOR THE FIRST FEW HOURS
OF THE TAF PERIOD BEFORE A STRONGER SURGE OF DRY AIR ARRIVES WITH
INCREASING N/NW WINDS AVERAGING BETWEEN 5-10 KTS. AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS OVERHEAD THIS EVENING, LOOK FOR WINDS TO QUICKLY DECOUPLE
TO NEAR CALM WITH MOSTLY SKC OVERNIGHT.
/19/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CDT SAT MAY 2 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 75 51 80 57 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 75 50 80 55 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 74 45 78 53 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 75 50 81 58 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 74 46 79 54 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 74 53 79 58 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 74 51 79 57 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 74 51 80 56 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...26
AVIATION...19
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