937
FXUS64 KSHV 292310
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
610 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 148 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2026
- VERY ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON.
- PRECIPITATION CHANCES BECOME MORE LIMITED FOR THE REST OF THE
WEEKEND, WITH MORE WIDESPREAD CHANCES COMING NEXT WEEK.
- TEMPERATURES RETURN TO THE 90S ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION THIS
WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 148 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2026
RADAR IMAGERY THIS AFTERNOON IS SHOWING SOME ISOLATED CONVECTION
ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL LOUISIANA, WITH A FEW
ADDITIONAL SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHEAST TEXAS AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS.
EXPECTING THIS ACTIVITY TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
AFTERNOON HOURS BEFORE DIMINISHING BY THIS EVENING. UPPER-AIR
ANALYSIS THIS AFTERNOON IS SHOWING WEAK RIDGING OVER OUR REGION
WITH A LARGE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE NEAR THE FOUR CORNERS. THE RIDGE
WILL BEGIN TO WASH OUT SOME AS WE MOVE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS THE
UPPER-LEVEL LOW TRANSITIONS TO THE NORTHEAST. AS WE MOVE INTO NEXT
WEEK, A LARGER RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD INTO OUR REGION FROM THE
SOUTHWEST.
ASIDE FROM THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS GOING ON THIS AFTERNOON,
PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL BE SOMEWHAT LIMITED ACROSS THE REGION
FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. THAT BEING SAID, MODELS CONTINUE TO HINT
THAT A FEW DIURNALLY DRIVEN THUNDERSTORMS COULD FORM THROUGH THE
WEEKEND, WITH THE BETTER CHANCES ACROSS OUR FAR EASTERN ZONES.
DESPITE THE INFLUENCE OF RIDGING BUILDING IN NEXT WEEK, MORE
EXPANSIVE, BUT NOT WIDESPREAD, SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS RETURN TO
THE AREA. QPF AMOUNTS WILL REMAIN ON THE LOWER END EACH DAY, WITH
ACCUMULATED TOTALS OVER THE NEXT 7-DAYS MAXING OUT AROUND AN INCH.
AS SUCH, THERE SHOULDN'T BE MUCH IN THE WAY OF FLOODING CONCERN
OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. AS FOR SEVERE WEATHER, THE THREAT
REMAINS SOMEWHAT LOW, BUT AS IS COMMON IN OUR AREA, THIS IS
SUBJECT TO CHANGE.
THE 90 DEGREE AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD
STARTING TOMORROW AND CONTINUING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. SLIGHTLY
COOLER TEMPERATURES, IN THE UPPER 80S, WILL RETURN FOR THE MIDDLE
OF THE WEEK AND INDICATION POINT THAT THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE
INTO NEXT WEEKEND. /33/
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 604 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2026
HIGH CIRRUS IS FORECAST TO BUILD AREAWIDE THROUGH THIS EVENING
WITH LOW VFR CUMULUS CLOUDS RETURNING LATE SATURDAY MORNING AND
PERSISTING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. OUTSIDE OF A STRAY SHOWER OR
THUNDERSTORMS LINGERING THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS NEAR TXK,
NO MENTION OF CONVECTION THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE TAF PERIOD.
IF ANY CONVECTION DOES DEVELOP ON SATURDAY, IT WILL MAINLY AFFECT
MLU. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS TONIGHT WILL BECOME SOUTHWEST AROUND
5 TO 10 KNOTS ON SATURDAY. /05/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 148 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 73 93 76 93 / 10 0 10 0
MLU 71 92 74 92 / 10 40 20 20
DEQ 69 91 72 92 / 0 0 10 10
TXK 72 94 74 95 / 0 0 10 10
ELD 69 91 72 91 / 0 20 20 10
TYR 75 93 76 94 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 73 93 76 93 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 73 94 74 94 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...33
AVIATION...05
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