604
FXUS64 KSHV 080456
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1156 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1137 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2026
- MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK AHEAD
ACCOMPANIED BY RETURNING HEAT. HEAT INDICES MAY APPROACH OR
EXCEED 100 DEGREES. SENSITIVE GROUPS ARE ADVISED TO TAKE
PRECAUTIONS.
- SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE AGAIN BY THE END OF THE
WEEK, CONTINUING INTO NEXT WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1151 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2026
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE ACROSS THE NORTHEAST GULF OF AMERICA TO BUILD
ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MONDAY ALLOWING FOR SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT
TO QUICKLY BECOME LIGHT AND NORTHERLY AREAWIDE. WITH THE BUILDING
RIDGE, EXPECT DRIER CONDITIONS ALONG WITH A WARMING TREND WITH
HIGHS ON MONDAY FORECAST TO CLIMB INTO LOWER 90S ACROSS MOST
LOCATIONS. WITH DEWPOINT VALUES IN THE MID 70S, COULD SEE HEAT
INDEX VALUES AROUND 100 DEGREES WITH SOME ISOLATED LOCATIONS
POSSIBLY APPROACHING 105 DEGREES. A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
MAY DEVELOP DURING THE TIME OF PEAK HEATING ALONG A WEAK SEA-
BREEZE BOUNDARY ACROSS MAINLY NORTH LOUISIANA AND DEEP EAST TEXAS.
OTHERWISE, BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED AREAWIDE.
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE TO BUILD STRONGER ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE
END OF THE WORKWEEK WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES FORECAST TO CLIMB INTO
THE LOW TO MID 90S BY FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. ADDITIONALLY, RAIN
CHANCES WILL BE MOSTLY NON-EXISTENT THROUGH THE END OF THE
WORKWEEK.
PREVIOUS MODEL RUNS HAVE SUGGESTED THAT A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY
WILL BRING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO PORTIONS OF
SOUTH ARKANSAS, NORTHEAST TEXAS, AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA FOR THE
WEEKEND. HOWEVER RECENT MODEL RUNS HAVE TRENDED DRIER WITH THE
RIDGE HOLDING AND THE FRONT STALLING NORTH OF THE ARKLATEX
ALLOWING FOR ONLY SLIGHT RAIN CHANCES AND CONTINUED HOT CONDITIONS
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
AT THIS TIME, NO HEAT HEADLINES ARE NEEDED, BUT AS THE WEEK
PROGRESSES, HEAT ADVISORIES MAY BE REQUIRED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
ARKLATEX.
/05/
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS) ISSUED AT 1149 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2026
FOR THE 08/06Z TAF PERIOD:
VFR CONDITIONS CURRENTLY PREVAILING ACROSS ALL
TERMINALS WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE LFK TERMINAL WITH
CEILINGS NEAR 15HDFT. LOOK FOR THESE MVFR CEILINGS TO
EXPAND NORTHWARD, LIKELY ENCOMPASSING OUR REMAINING
TERMINALS OVERNIGHT TO NEAR SUNRISE. THOSE CEILINGS WILL
LIKELY SCATTER OUT OR LIFT TO VFR HEIGHTS BY MID TO LATE
MORNING. CANNOT RULE OUT AT LEAST MVFR VSBYS AT THE LFK,
MLU AND/OR ELD TERMINALS AS WELL THROUGH AT LEAST SUNRISE
MONDAY MORNING. ISOLATED CONVECTION WILL BE POSSIBLE
FROM DIURNAL HEATING ON MONDAY BUT COVERAGE DOES NOT
WARRANT A MENTION IN THIS TAF PACKAGE. WITH THE AID OF
MID MORNING MIXING, WE WILL LIKELY SEE SSW WIND GUSTS
TO NEAR 20-25KTS, MAINLY ACROSS OUR NE TX TERMINALS AS
WELL AS THE THE SHV AND TXK TERMINALS BY MID MORNING AND
CONTINUING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS ON MONDAY BEFORE
WINDS DECOUPLE.
13
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1151 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 76 91 75 94 / 0 10 0 0
MLU 77 91 75 94 / 20 20 10 0
DEQ 72 90 75 92 / 30 10 0 0
TXK 74 93 76 95 / 20 10 0 0
ELD 74 91 75 93 / 20 10 0 0
TYR 75 92 75 93 / 0 10 0 0
GGG 75 92 75 93 / 0 10 0 0
LFK 76 91 73 93 / 10 20 0 10
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...05
AVIATION...23
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