122
FXUS64 KSHV 101831
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
131 PM CDT MON AUG 10 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 115 PM CDT MON AUG 10 2026
- TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO CLIMB THIS WEEK, WITH SOME OF THE
HOTTEST CONDITIONS OF THE SEASON POSSIBLE.
- HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE, BRINGING VERY LIMITED
PRECIPITATION CHANCES AND CONTINUED DRYING TRENDS.
- THE HOTTER TEMPERATURES AND LACK OF RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO
DRY FUELS, INCREASING THE FIRE WEATHER CONCERN.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 115 PM CDT MON AUG 10 2026
HIGH PRESSURE WILL TAKE CONTROL OF THE REGION THIS WEEK, BRINGING
AN INCREASINGLY DRY AND STABLE PATTERN WITH PRECIPITATION CHANCES
ESSENTIALLY DISAPPEARING THROUGH THE NEXT WEEK. UNFORTUNATELY, IF
YOU ARE LOOKING FOR A BREAK FROM THE HEAT, THE ATMOSPHERE APPEARS
TO HAVE OTHER PLANS. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO CLIMB FROM
THEIR ALREADY HOT LEVELS, TO EVEN HIGHER LEVELS BY THE MIDDLE AND
END OF THE WEEK. WHILE HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL BE TREATING TUESDAY
LIKE THE MIDDLE OF FEBRUARY AND FLIRTING WITH HEAT ADVISORY
CRITERIA, I THINK WE WILL REMAIN JUST OUT OF REACH AT THIS TIME.
FROM WEDNESDAY ONWARD, HOWEVER, HEAT INDICES SHOULD BE WARM
ENOUGH TO BRING A RETURN OF HEAT HEADLINES TO THE AREA, WHICH
COULD PERSIST INTO THE WEEKEND. SEEMS LIKE SUMMER WANTS TO REMIND
US ALL THIS WEEK JUST WHAT IT IS CAPABLE OF DOING TO US HERE IN
THE SOUTH.
THE INCREASINGLY DRY PATTERN WILL HAVE CONSEQUENCES BEYOND SIMPLY
MAKING OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES FEEL LIKE A QUESTIONABLE LIFE CHOICE.
WITH TEMPERATURES RISING AND MOISTURE LACKING, FUELS WILL CONTINUE
TO DRY OUT, RESULTING IN INCREASING FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS THROUGH
THE UPCOMING WEEK. WHILE I DON'T THINK THAT WE WILL SEE CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS, THIS PATTERN WILL SUPPORT THE POTENTIAL
FOR GRASS AND BRUSH FIRES. IN SUMMARY, THE FORECAST OFFERS A
FAMILIAR SOUTHERN SUMMER PACKAGE; HOT, DRY, AND INCREASINGLY
DIFFICULT TO CONVINCE OURSELVES THAT FALL IS ACTUALLY ON THE
HORIZON. /33/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1130 AM CDT MON AUG 10 2026
CU FIELD CONTINUES TO GROW AND EXPAND FROM OUR SOUTHERN AIRSPACE
NORTHWARD TO BEGIN THE 18Z TAF PERIOD. STILL CANNOT RULE OUT SOME
ISOLATED AFTERNOON CONVECTION ACROSS OUR FAR SOUTHERN ZONES,
MAINLY SOUTH OF THE I-20 CORRIDOR. IF WE SEE THIS, THE LFK
TERMINAL WOULD BE THE ONLY IMPACTED TERMINAL BUT GIVEN THE
ISOLATED COVERAGE, CHOSE TO LEAVE OUT VCTS FROM THE LFK TERMINAL
AND WILL HANDLE ANY VCTS WITH AN AMD IF NECESSARY. OTHERWISE, CU
FIELD WILL DISSIPATE QUICKLY THIS EVENING WITH SKIES BECOMING
MOSTLY FAIR OVERNIGHT. DID NOT SEE MUCH CHANCE FOR ANY IFR/MVFR
CEILINGS RETURNING OVERNIGHT ACROSS OUR NE TX TERMINALS NEAR AND
SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE TUE MORNING SO LEFT THIS OUT OF THE PACKAGE
AS WELL. OTHERWISE, GROWING CU FIELD BY MID TO LATE MORNING ON
TUE, EXPANDING NORTHWARD AS WHAT WE ARE SEEING TODAY. VFR
CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
13
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 115 PM CDT MON AUG 10 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 77 96 78 98 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 76 96 77 98 / 10 0 0 0
DEQ 73 96 74 99 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 76 96 78 99 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 75 95 76 97 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 76 97 77 99 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 75 97 76 99 / 10 0 0 0
LFK 74 96 75 97 / 20 10 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...33
AVIATION...13
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