763
FXUS64 KSHV 251057
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
457 AM CST THU DEC 25 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 100 PM CST WED DEC 24 2025
- NEAR-RECORD WARMTH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- DRY WEATHER EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY IN THE WEEKEND
WITH RAINFALL POSSIBLE ALONG A FRONTAL BOUNDARY ON SUNDAY.
- A COLD AIRMASS TO BRING SUB-FREEZING OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES
FOR THE LAST DAYS OF 2025 INTO NEW YEAR'S EVE.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 935 PM CST WED DEC 24 2025
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED ACROSS THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF COAST
TO MAINTAIN WEAK SOUTHERLY FLOW ACROSS THE REGION. MOISTURE TO
CONTINUE TO ADVECT NORTH OVERNIGHT ALLOWING FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF
LOW CLOUDS AND FOG ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE ARKLATEX WITH
CONDITIONS IMPROVING THROUGH LATE-MORNING ON CHRISTMAS DAY. HI-
RES MODELS CONTINUE TO SUGGEST THAT AREAS OF DENSE FOG COULD BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH LOUISIANA AND DEEP EAST TEXAS
OVERNIGHT WITH MANY OBSERVATIONS ACROSS THESE AREAS AND SOUTHWARD
ALREADY REPORTING REDUCED VISIBILITIES. FOR THIS PACKAGE, WENT
AHEAD AND ISSUED A DENSE FOG ADVISORY ACROSS NORTH LOUISIANA AND
DEEP EAST TEXAS ADJACENT TO ADVISORIES ALREADY IN EFFECT FROM
NEIGHBORING OFFICES.
NEAR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED AGAIN ON THURSDAY
AFTERNOON DUE TO AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE PREVAILING AREAWIDE.
TEMPERATURES ACROSS MOST LOCATIONS TO CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 70S TO
LOWER 80S WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS AGAIN SETTLING IN THE LOW TO MID
60S.
WARM AND DRY PATTERN TO REMAIN BASICALLY UNCHANGED THROUGH
SUNDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION ON SUNDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING ALLOWING FOR INCREASED RAIN CHANCES
AREAWIDE. WINTER TO RETURN BEHIND THE FRONT WITH TEMPERATURES
RANGING FROM HIGHS IN THE 40S AND LOWS IN THE 20S ACROSS THE
REGION THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. /05/
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 454 AM CST THU DEC 25 2025
ANOTHER MORNING OF CONDITIONS RANGING FROM VLIFR CEILINGS WITH
DENSE FOG TO MVFR CEILINGS AND VSBYS ACROSS OUR ENTIRE AIRSPACE
EARLY THIS MORNING TO BEGIN THE 12Z TAF PACKAGE. WE SHOULD SEE
IMPROVING CEILINGS AND VSBYS BY MID TO LATE MORNING WITH VFR
CONDITIONS RETURNING BY AFTERNOON. THOSE VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD
PREVAIL UNTIL LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT TONIGHT WITH IFR/MVFR
CEILINGS AND FOG RETURNS TO PORTIONS OF OUR AIRSPACE. LOOK FOR
SSW WINDS TODAY WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS NOT LIKELY TO EXCEED 12KTS
BUT A FEW HIGHER GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE.
13
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 935 PM CST WED DEC 24 2025
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
CHRISTMAS HOLIDAY WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 81 65 82 66 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 78 62 80 63 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 78 60 79 58 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 81 64 81 64 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 78 61 79 61 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 81 64 82 65 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 80 63 81 64 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 80 62 81 64 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR LAZ017>020-
022.
OK...NONE.
TX...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR TXZ152-153-
165>167.
DISCUSSION...05
AVIATION...13
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