566
FXUS64 KSHV 290533
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1233 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1229 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2026
- GRADUAL WARMING TREND TO BEGIN TODAY WITH WARM TEMPERATURES
CONTINUING INTO NEXT WEEK.
- HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE THE MID TO UPPER 80S POSSIBLE ON TUESDAY
- PATTERN CHANGE THIS WEEK WILL FAVOR THE RETURN OF WIDESPREAD
PRECIPITATION TO THE AREA.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1229 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2026
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE TO REMAIN ESTABLISHED ACROSS THE REGION
OVERNIGHT ALLOWING FOR LIGHT WINDS AND COOL TEMPERATURES. EXPECT
MORNING LOWS TO RANGE FROM THE MID 40S TO AROUND 50. SURFACE HIGH
TO SHIFT EAST ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON ALLOWING FOR RETURN SOUTHERLY
FLOW AND A RETURN OF WARMER TEMPERATURES. WITH SKIES MOSTLY SUNNY
ON SUNDAY, HIGHS WILL APPROACH 80 DEGREES. MUCH WARMER OVERNIGHT
LOWS ON SUNDAY NIGHT AROUND 60 DEGREES EXPECTED.
AFTER A LONG DURATION OF DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH LATE WINTER, A WET
PATTERN WILL RETURN TO THE REGION DURING THE UPCOMING WORKWEEK.
PREVAILING UPPER-RIDGE TO SHIFT EAST ALLOWING FOR UPPER-LEVEL
SOUTHWEST FLOW TO BECOME ESTABLISHED ACROSS THE REGION BY MONDAY
AFTERNOON. INCREASED INSTABILITY ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK UPPER-
TROUGH TO THE WEST COULD ALLOW FOR A FEW STRAY AFTERNOON SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ON BOTH MONDAY AND TUESDAY AFTERNOONS.
BY WEDNESDAY, SOUTHERN STREAM UPPER-LEVEL JET INCREASES ACROSS THE
ARKLATEX ALLOWING FOR DEEP-LAYER MOISTURE TO RETURN. WEAK IMPULSES
TRANSLATING NORTHEAST WITHIN THE MEAN SOUTHWEST FLOW REGIME ALOFT,
COMBINED WITH A SURFACE BOUNDARY ACROSS NORTHEAST TEXAS INTO
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS, WILL ALLOW FOR WIDESPREAD
RAIN CHANCES ACROSS THESE AREAS WEDNESDAY EVENING AND NIGHT. SURFACE
BOUNDARY TO DRIFT ACROSS THE ARKLATEX THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON
WITH UPPER-FLOW REMAINING CONDUCIVE FOR WIDESPREAD PROLONGED RAIN
CHANCES AREAWIDE.
SOUTHWESTERLY UPPER-FLOW TO PERSIST THROUGH LATE WEEK MAINTAINING
INCREASED INSTABILITY AND ALLOWING FOR A MOISTURE RECHARGE WHICH
WILL SET THE STAGE FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF WIDESPREAD CONVECTION ALONG
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY FROM SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.
OTHERWISE, LOW TEMPERATURES THROUGH MUCH OF THE WORKWEEK TO AVERAGE
IN THE UPPER 50S ACROSS THE I-30 CORRIDOR TO LOWER 60S ELSEWHERE.
HIGHS ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY COULD APPROACH THE MID 80S TO UPPER 80S
WITH POST-FRONTAL HIGH TEMPERATURES FROM MIDWEEK ONWARD IN THE UPPER
70S TO LOWER 80S. /05/
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1229 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2026
FOR THE 29/06Z TAF PERIOD...STILL SEEING SOME LINGERING CLOUD
COVER NEAR 4KFT AND NEAR 10KFT ACROSS NE TX AND NW LA LATE THIS
SATURDAY EVENING. THIS MOISTURE MAY HANG AROUND THROUGH MUCH OF
THE NIGHT BUT SHOULD GRADUALLY ERODE DURING THE MORNING HOURS ON
SUNDAY. OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THIS 24HR
TAF PERIOD. LOOK FOR LIGHT AND VARIABLE WIND OVERNIGHT, BECOMING
SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH ON SUNDAY WITH SPEEDS GENERALLY NEAR 10KTS OR
LESS. PERHAPS A LITTLE STRONGER ACROSS OUR NE TX TERMINALS.
13
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 149 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 81 60 84 63 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 82 62 85 63 / 0 0 10 0
DEQ 78 54 83 56 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 81 60 86 62 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 80 58 83 59 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 82 60 85 64 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 81 58 85 62 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 82 58 84 63 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...05
AVIATION...24
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