689
FXUS64 KSHV 121859
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
159 PM CDT TUE MAY 12 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1252 PM CDT TUE MAY 12 2026
- TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO TREND WARMER THROUGH THE REST OF
THIS WEEK IN RESPONSE TO AN EXPANDING UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE.
- A PATTERN SHIFT WILL BEGIN TO TAKE SHAPE BY THIS WEEKEND WITH A
RETURN TO SW FLOW ALOFT WHILE LOW-LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW RAMPS UP
AS WELL.
- WIDESPREAD RAIN CHANCES AREN'T LIKELY TO RETURN UNTIL EARLY
NEXT WEEK AS THE SW FLOW REGIME LOOKS TO BECOME MORE ACTIVE.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1252 PM CDT TUE MAY 12 2026
AS SPRINGTIME WEATHER GOES, YOU COULDN'T ASK FOR A NICER DAY IN
MAY THAN WHAT TODAY DELIVERED, "BOTTLE UP" WEATHER IF YOU WILL.
PERFECTLY SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES WITH A PLEASANTLY DRY AIR MASS
AND FULL SUNSHINE TO BOOT ARE HARD TO COME BY THIS TIME OF YEAR.
BUT ALAS, WEATHER CHANGES ARE COMING IN THE FORM OF EVEN WARMER
TEMPERATURES AND EVENTUALLY MORE HUMIDITY BY THE END OF THE WEEK
AS SOUTHERLY FLOW IS SET TO RETURN BY LATE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY.
IN ADDITION, A HIGHLY AMPLIFIED UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE OUT WEST WILL
EXPAND FARTHER EAST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AND NUDGE
OUR DAILY HIGH TEMPERATURES EVER CLOSER TO THE 90 DEGREE MARK.
FORTUNATELY, OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN COMFORTABLE FOR
THE NEXT FEW NIGHTS WITH WIDESPREAD 50S TONIGHT AND FOLLOWED BY
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
ALTHOUGH HUMIDITY LEVELS WON'T IMMEDIATELY RECOVER UPON A RETURN
TO SOUTHERLY FLOW LATER THIS WEEK, IT WILL DEFINITELY BE MORE
NOTICEABLE BY THIS WEEKEND. THIS TREND OF WARMER AND MORE HUMID
CONDITIONS WILL EXTEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS WELL ABSENT ANY
FRONTAL PASSAGES. AS THE UPPER-LEVEL PATTERN TRENDS BACK TOWARD A
SW FLOW REGIME LATER IN THE WEEKEND AND ESPECIALLY BY EARLY NEXT
WEEK, MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SUGGEST A MORE ACTIVE
PERIOD FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. THE FINER DETAILS OF EXACTLY WHAT
THAT LOOKS LIKE ARE STILL YET TO BE DETERMINED, BUT ANTICIPATE
AN UPTICK IN RAIN CHANCES FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK AND POSSIBLY A MORE
PROLONGED STRETCH OF ACTIVE WEATHER INTO THE MIDDLE AND LATTER
PART OF NEXT WEEK.
/19/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1216 PM CDT TUE MAY 12 2026
FOR THE 12/18Z TAF UPDATE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL
FOR ALL TERMINALS THROUGHOUT THIS TAF PERIOD, WITH THE EXCEPTION
OF KLFK THERE IS STILL ENOUGH OF AN INDICATION OF SOME PATCHY FOG
DEVELOPING TO MAINTAIN MENTION OF IT AROUND 13/09Z. OTHERWISE, SKC
WILL DOMINATE THE SKIES ABOVE OUR REGION FOR THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS
AND WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGHOUT.
/33/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1252 PM CDT TUE MAY 12 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THIS WEEK.
/19/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 58 89 65 90 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 58 88 63 87 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 52 88 59 86 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 56 90 63 90 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 53 87 60 86 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 59 87 66 89 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 57 88 65 90 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 59 89 64 90 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...19
AVIATION...33
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