900
FXUS64 KSHV 260626
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1226 AM CST WED NOV 26 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1223 AM CST WED NOV 26 2025
- FRONTAL PASSAGE OVERNIGHT WILL REINFORCE DRY AND NEAR-SEASONAL
CONDITIONS THROUGH THANKSGIVING.
- THE NEXT ROUNDS OF RAIN RETURNS THROUGH THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1223 AM CST WED NOV 26 2025
SURFACE FRONTAL PASSAGE HAS ALREADY STARTED TO OCCUR TONIGHT,
REINFORCING TEMPERATURE MINIMUMS IN THE 40S. ALOFT, A RELATIVELY
ACTIVE SYNOPTIC PATTERN CONTINUES WITH NORTHWESTERLY FLOW BEHIND
LONGWAVE TROUGHING THAT WILL SHIFT EAST OVER THE ATLANTIC OCEAN BY
THE END OF THE WEEK. THE NEXT ROUND OF PRECIPITATION ARRIVES AFTER
THANKSGIVING WILL BE DRIVEN BY TROUGHS SHIFTING ACROSS THE
INTERMOUNTAIN WEST LATE ON FRIDAY AND EASING INTO ZONAL FLOW
ACROSS OKLAHOMA. THE SECOND TROUGH WILL SHIFT FURTHER SOUTH,
ENHANCED WITH MORE PERTURBATIONS AND PACIFIC MOISTURE EMBEDDED IN
THE FLOW FOR PRECIPITATION. TEMPERATURES AFTER FRONTAL PASSAGE ON
SATURDAY WILL BE COOLER THAN NORMAL (MAXIMUMS IN THE 50S, MINIMUMS
IN THE 30S), HOWEVER, THE CHANCE OF ANY WINTRY PRECIPITATION FOR
OUR AREA VERY MUCH REMAINS NEAR ZERO AT THIS TIME WITH LONG-RANGE
GUIDANCE SUGGESTING AN ENVIRONMENT THAT IS NOT COLD ENOUGH. /16/
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1045 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2025
NO CHANGES FROM THE 00Z TAF PACKAGE. COLD FRONT ON IR IMAGERY
SHOWING UP NEAR THE I-30 CORRIDOR AND WILL CONTINUE TO MAKE QUICK
PROGRESS THROUGH OUR AIRSPACE FROM THE NORTHWEST OVERNIGHT. WINDS
WILL PICK UP SLIGHTLY DIRECTLY BEHIND THE COLD FRONT AND WILL
LIKELY SEE SOME NNW WIND GUSTS UPWARDS OF 18KTS OR SO BEGINNING
NEAR 14-16Z TIMEFRAME WED MORNING CONTINUING THROUGH THE DAY.
WINDS SHOULD DROP OFF QUICKLY BEFORE SUNSET ON WEDNESDAY. SOME
4KFT CLOUD COVER RIGHT WITH THE FRONT AND SOME VERY HIGH, THIN
CIRRUS OVERNIGHT THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY.
13
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1201 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2025
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. /15/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 61 40 60 38 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 61 36 58 34 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 57 33 58 31 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 58 37 58 35 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 57 33 57 31 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 60 38 61 40 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 61 37 61 36 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 64 39 63 38 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...16
AVIATION...13
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