683
FXUS64 KSHV 221947
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
247 PM CDT SUN MAR 22 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 140 PM CDT SUN MAR 22 2026
- A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL BACKDOOR COOLER NORTHEAST AND EASTERLY
WINDS INTO OUR FOUR-STATE AREA TO START THE NEW WORK WEEK.
- WINDS SHIFT RIGHT BACK TO SOUTHEASTERLY WITH A RENEWED WARMING
TREND AS THE DRY WEATHER PATTERN LINGERS DURING THIS WEEK.
- ANOTHER COLD FRONT ARRIVES ON FRIDAY AND BRING DOWN NORMAL
TEMPERATURES TO GET US BACK TO WHERE WE SHOULD BE IN EARLY SPRING.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 140 PM CDT SUN MAR 22 2026
ANOTHER VERY WARM DAY WITH MID TO UPPER 80S, RUNNING ABOUT 15
DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE FOR LATE MARCH. THE GUSTY WINDS ARE HELPING
THE MIXING A LITTLE MORE TODAY, SO OUR RECORD OF 90 HERE IN
SHREVEPORT MAY BE SAFE WITH 86 OUR MAX SO FAR. SKIES ARE MOSTLY
CLEAR NOW, BUT SOME CIRRUS IS ON APPROACH, PRECEDING THE COLD
FRONT MOVING OVER OKLAHOMA, NEARING ARDMORE AT THIS TIME. THESE
SHALLOW, YET GUSTY NW WINDS WILL VEER AROUND THE OUACHITA
MOUNTAINS DURING THIS EVENING AND SHIFT OUR WINDS TO NE WITH
LIGHTER SPEEDS. OVERNIGHT, SOME LOWER 50S WILL FILTER INTO OUR FAR
NORTH WITH LITTLE CHANGE ELSEWHERE. NOW HIGHS TOMORROW WILL
BENEFIT FROM STILL NE WINDS EARLY DOWN ACROSS I-20. THIS BOUNDARY
WILL THEN BE RETREATING DURING THE AFTERNOON AS THE CORE OF THE
AIR MASS MOVES ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES DOWN INTO THE OHIO RIVER
VALLEY.
SO A GLANCING BLOW OF NE WINDS TO START THE WEEK, AND THEN SHIFTING
TO E/SE EARLY ON TUESDAY. HIGHS WILL BE CLOSER TO AVERAGE, BUT
STILL 10 DEGREES ABOVE. THE BULK OF THE WORK/SCHOOL WEEK WILL SEE
A REBOUND BACK TO NEAR 90 FOR MID TO LATE WEEK. THIS WILL BE
ANOTHER PERIOD OF GUSTY S/SW WINDS AHEAD OF A LITTLE STRONGER BACK
DOOR COLD FRONT SET TO ARRIVE DURING FRIDAY. HERE WILL BEGIN TO
COOL DOWN, BUT SATURDAY WILL BE OUR COOLEST DAY THIS WEEK. AND YET
ONLY BACK DOWN TO AVERAGE FOR LATE MARCH IN THE UPPER 60S AND
LOWER 70S, AND ONLY FOR A DAY.
ONCE AGAIN OUR WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NE BRIEFLY AND THEN BACK TO SE
DURING SUNDAY WITH OUR NEXT WARMING TREND UNDERWAY. BEYOND THAT,
THE MODELS ARE LOOKING A WEAK UPPER LOW COMING OUR WAY WITH SW
FLOW ALOFT THAT WILL BE MUCH MORE FAVORABLE FOR MAKING RAIN A
REALITY FOR US ONCE AGAIN. THE NEW CPC 8-14 DAY OUTLOOK IS STILL
QUITE WARM OVERALL, BUT IT IS LEANING BACK TO BETTER THAN AVERAGE
FOR RAINFALL OUR FOUR-STATE AREA. /24/
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 140 PM CDT SUN MAR 22 2026
BEAUTIFUL VFR CONDITIONS CURRENTLY PREVAILING ACROSS OUR ENTIRE
AIRSPACE ATTM. THAT SHOULD HOLD TRUE THROUGH THE EVENING INTO MUCH
OF THE OVERNIGHT HOURS, AT LEAST UNTIL A WEAK COLD FRONT BEGINS TO
MOVE INTO OUR REGION FROM THE NORTH. CROSS SECTION ARE SUPPORTING
MVFR POST FRONTAL CEILINGS LATE TONIGHT FILLING IN FROM NORTHWEST TO
SOUTHEAST SO HAVE ACCOUNTED FOR THIS WITH THIS TAF PACKAGE. CAN'T
RULE OUT THE POSSIBILITY OF PRE-FRONTAL IFR CEILINGS ACROSS OUR
SOUTHERN AIRSPACE AS WELL LATE TONIGHT THAT WOULD LIKELY IMPACT THE
LFK TERMINAL AS WELL. STRONG SOUTH SOUTHWESTERLY GUSTS ACROSS OUR
AIRSPACE CURRENTLY AND THOSE WINDS SHOULD SUBSIDE SOMEWHAT BY 00Z
WITH A WIND SHIFT EXPECTED OVERNIGHT TOWARDS SUNRISE ACROSS OUR I-20
TERMINALS AS WELL AS THE TXK AND ELD TERMINALS.
13
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 140 PM CDT SAT MAR 21 2026
THE ELEVATED WILDFIRE THREAT REMAINS DURING PEAK HEATING THIS
AFTERNOON ACROSS OUR FOUR-STATE AREA WITH LOWERING RH IN THE
THIRTY PERCENT RANGE AND GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS. THE FIRE DANGER
STATEMENT REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS OUR FOUR-STATE AREA THROUGH 7PM
THIS EVENING. WE CAN EXPECT A MUCH LESS WINDY DAY ON MONDAY WITH
LIGHTER SPEEDS AND SHIFTING WIND DIRECTIONS ALONG A WEAK FRONT.
/24/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 140 PM CDT SUN MAR 22 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME, BUT THE WILDFIRE
THREAT REMAINS THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS OUR FOUR-STATE AREA DUE TO
THE ONGOING EXTREME DROUGHT CONDITIONS. PLEASE REPORT ANY WILDFIRE
ACTIVITY TO YOUR LOCAL FIRE DEPARTMENT AND OTHER LOCAL OFFICIALS.
/24/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 61 80 57 82 / 0 10 0 0
MLU 60 76 55 79 / 0 10 0 0
DEQ 54 73 49 74 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 60 75 55 77 / 10 10 0 0
ELD 58 73 51 76 / 10 10 0 0
TYR 60 81 59 84 / 0 10 0 0
GGG 59 81 57 83 / 0 10 0 0
LFK 58 83 59 83 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...24
AVIATION...13
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