390
FXUS64 KSHV 040611
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1211 AM CST WED FEB 4 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CST WED FEB 4 2026
- SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SEEN THROUGH THE DAY HAVE COME TO AN
END AS A COLD FRONT HAS ALMOST CLEARED THE AREA.
- SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL HIGHS FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WITH
SOME SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
- DRASTIC INCREASE IN TEMPERATURES AS WE MOVE INTO THE WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CST WED FEB 4 2026
THE COLD FRONT THAT HAS SLOWLY MOVED THROUGH THE REGION TODAY HAS
ALMOST CLEARED US TO THE SOUTHEAST. AS A RESULT, MOST OF THE
PRECIPITATION HAS COME TO AN END, WITH ONLY A FEW LINGERING LIGHT
SHOWERS ACROSS OUR FAR SOUTHEAST ZONES. THE COLD FRONT WILL
CONTINUE TO PUSH TO THE SOUTHEAST AND OUT OF OUR REGION TONIGHT,
AND TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO RESPOND TO THE CAA AND NORTHERLY
FLOW BEHIND THE FRONT. TEMPERATURES AS WE WAKE UP WEDNESDAY
MORNING WILL RANGE FROM NEAR 32 DEGREES ACROSS SOME OF OUR
NORTHERN ZONES TO AROUND 40 DEGREES ACROSS AREAS OF DEEP EAST
TEXAS. TEMPERATURES WILL HAVE A HARD TIME RECOVERING TODAY, WITH
HIGHS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 50S ACROSS THE REGION. THURSDAY
MORNING WILL EASILY BE OUR COOLEST DAY OF THE WEEK, WITH
TEMPERATURES STARTING OFF IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S ACROSS OUR
NORTHERN ZONES AND THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S ACROSS THE REST OF
THE REGION. WHILE TEMPERATURES WILL BE ON THE INCREASE FOR
THURSDAY, THEY WILL REMAIN SLIGHTLY BELOW SEASONABLE NORMALS.
BY THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING, RIDGING ALOFT WILL BEGIN TO
BUILD ACROSS WESTERN TEXAS AND A SURFACE HIGH WILL BEGIN TO MOVE
INTO OUR REGION. THIS WILL BRING A DRASTIC CHANGE IN TEMPERATURES
FOR FRIDAY WITH HIGHS RETURNING WELL INTO THE LOWER TO MID 70S.
SIMILAR CONDITIONS WILL FOLLOW FOR SATURDAY, SUNDAY AND WELL INTO
NEXT WEEK. NOT SURE WHY OUR AREA LIKES TO GO FROM ONE EXTREME TO
THE NEXT SO QUICKLY BUT HERE WE ARE. PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL BE
MINIMAL THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY WITH SOME MODELS PICKING UP MORE
WIDESPREAD RAIN BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. OTHERWISE, SHOULD BE A
PRETTY TRANQUIL FORECAST. /33/
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1119 PM CST TUE FEB 3 2026
FOR THE 04/06Z TAFS, SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS HAVE ALMOST
COMPLETELY DEPARTED AREA AIRSPACE AND SHOULD CLEAR ENTIRELY
WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO. CIGS WILL SHOW SOME IMPROVEMENT
EARLY, FOLLOWED BY MID LEVEL CLOUD DECKS PUSHING IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST ALREADY THIS EVENING, WITH CIGS REMAINING AT MVFR
THROUGH THE NIGHT, EVENTUALLY RETURNING TO VFR DURING THE MORNING
AND EARLY AFTERNOON. EASTERN TERMINALS HAVE SEEN PERIODS
OF POST-RAINFALL FOG DEVELOPMENT THIS EVENING, BUT HAVE LATELY
IMPROVED AND VSBY SHOULD REMAIN VFR THROUGH THE NIGHT, AS WINDS
PICK UP AND FACILITATE SUFFICIENT MIXING. WINDS WILL FINISH
PIVOTING TO NORTHERLY, REMAINING ELEVATED THROUGHOUT AT SPEEDS OF
5 TO 10 KTS WITH GUSTS OF UP TO 20 KTS POSSIBLE.
/26/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CST WED FEB 4 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 56 33 59 43 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 52 30 54 39 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 53 27 59 35 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 54 32 59 41 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 51 27 55 38 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 58 33 62 42 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 58 32 61 41 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 58 34 61 42 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...33
AVIATION...26
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page