435
FXUS64 KSHV 271804
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1204 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1201 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2026
- DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION THROUGH THE
MUCH OF THE WEEKEND WITH A FEW STRAY SHOWERS NORTH OF I-30
LATE IN THE WEEKEND.
- WARM WEEKEND HIGHS IN THE 80S ACROSS MOST LOCATIONS.
- STILL MONITORING THE EXTENDED FORECAST FOR INCREASE RAIN
CHANCES BY MID AND ESPECIALLY LATE NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1201 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2026
SURFACE AND UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE TO PREVAIL ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY ALLOWING FOR MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. DUE TO ONGOING DROUGHT CONDITIONS AND
AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES 25 TO 30 PERCENT, THE THREAT FOR
WILDFIRES REMAINS A MINOR THREAT TODAY.
HIGH PRESSURE TO SHIFT EAST ON SATURDAY ALLOWING FOR WINDS TO BECOME
SOUTHEAST. UPPER-LEVEL NORTHWEST FLOW WILL ALLOW FOR ENOUGH
SUBSIDENCE TO DRIVE TEMPERATURES INTO THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S. A
WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY EASING INTO OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS COULD ALLOW
FOR A FEW SHOWERS FROM SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY NIGHT NORTH OF I-
30.
UPPER-FLOW TO BECOME ZONAL ON MONDAY NIGHT FOLLOWED BY SOUTHWEST
ON TUESDAY AHEAD OF AN UPPER-LOW THAT WILL TRANSLATE NORTHEAST
ACROSS THE PLAINS. LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE TO RAPIDLY INCREASE AS
SOUTHERLY FLOW INCREASES, SETTING THE STAGE FOR A WET PATTERN
BEGINNING MIDWEEK. AS UPPER-LOW TRANSLATES NORTHEAST, A WEAK
BOUNDARY WILL PUSH SOUTH ACROSS NORTHEAST TEXAS INTO ARKANSAS,
SERVING AS THE FOCUS FOR CONVECTION FROM MID TO LATE WEEK. WITH
THE PATTERN REMAINING UNCHANGED THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT, ROUNDS OF
CONVECTION MAY BE POSSIBLE WITH THE HIGHEST QPF VALUES ACROSS OUR
NORTHERN ZONES FROM SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO ARKANSAS. /05/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1201 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE 27/18Z TAF PERIOD. ASIDE
FROM A FEW CU ACROSS PORTIONS OF DEEP E TX AND CNTRL LA THIS
AFTERNOON, SKC WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND MUCH OF THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. SOME AREAS OF AC AND CIRRUS MAY INCREASE FROM THE
WNW BY DAYBREAK SATURDAY, AFFECTING MAINLY THE TYR/GGG TERMINALS
THROUGH THE MORNING. THIS ELEVATED CLOUD COVER SHOULD GRADUALLY
SPREAD E ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
NE WINDS WINDS 4-7KTS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BECOME LT/VRB AFTER 00Z,
EXCEPT LIGHT SE OVER THE WRN SECTIONS OF E TX. /15/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1000 PM CST THU FEB 26 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS STILL NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THE UPCOMING
WEEKEND. HOWEVER, PLEASE CONTINUE TO RELAY INFORMATION ON
WILDFIRE ACTIVITY ACROSS THE FOUR-STATE AREA, TO HELP OUR FIRST
RESPONDERS PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.
13
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 52 82 55 82 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 49 79 52 80 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 46 80 51 76 / 0 10 20 10
TXK 52 82 57 81 / 0 0 10 10
ELD 47 79 52 78 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 55 83 58 83 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 51 83 55 83 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 52 83 55 82 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...05
AVIATION...15
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page