268
FXUS64 KSHV 082352
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
652 PM CDT WED APR 8 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1224 AM CDT WED APR 8 2026
- A NICE AND DRY WARMING TREND WILL UNFOLD THIS WORK WEEK WITH
SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS AND CONTINUED PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES.
- THE WEEK'S END WILL SEE A TRANSITION TO AT LEAST A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER OUR FAR WESTERN TX COUNTIES.
- A MUCH BETTER CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ARRIVE
ON SUNDAY AND LINGER OVERNIGHT INTO THE NEW WORK WEEK FOR ALL.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1148 AM CDT WED APR 8 2026
WEAK UPPER-TROUGH ACROSS THE REGION THAT HAS ALLOWED FOR INCREASED
HIGH CLOUDS AREAWIDE THIS MORNING WILL SHIFT EAST WITH RIDGING
FORECAST TO BUILD FROM THE WEST. UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE TO MAINTAIN
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AREAWIDE THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY NIGHT.
UPPER-RIDGE TO NUDGE EAST ALLOWING FOR WEAK SOUTHWEST FLOW TO
GENERATE ENOUGH INSTABILITY TO ALLOW FOR A FEW DIURNALLY-DRIVEN
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MAINLY NORTH LOUISIANA AND DEEP
EAST TEXAS ON FRIDAY.
SURFACE HIGH ANCHORED ACROSS THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD TO ALLOW FOR
SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE ARKLATEX THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD
RESULTING IN HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW TO MID 80S. OVERNIGHT
LOWS TO GRADUALLY INCREASE FROM THE MID 50S TONIGHT TO THE UPPER
60S BY NEXT WEEK.
UPPER-FLOW TO REMAIN OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST THROUGH THE WEEKEND
ALLOWING FOR INCREASED INSTABILITY AREAWIDE. A WEAK FRONTAL
BOUNDARY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL SHIFT SOUTHEAST SERVING
AS THE TRIGGER FOR AFTERNOON AND EVENING CONVECTION BEGINNING ON
SUNDAY ACROSS MAINLY NORTHEAST TEXAS INTO SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ALTHOUGH SPC HAS A 15% SEVERE RISK AREA HIGHLIGHTED JUST WEST OF
THE CWA, THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT SOME STRONG STORMS, A FEW
POSSIBLY SEVERE, COULD MIGRATE INTO OUR NORTHEAST TEXAS AND
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA ON SUNDAY EVENING.
SEVERE THREAT INCREASES ACROSS NORTHEAST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA ON MONDAY, BECOMING NEARLY AREAWIDE ON TUESDAY AS AN
UPPER-TROUGH BEGINS TO TRANSLATE EAST FROM CALIFORNIA INTO THE
CENTRAL PLAINS. THE COMBINATION OF INCREASED MOISTURE AND DEEP-
LAYER SHEAR ALONG WITH SOME INDICATIONS OF A STRONG MID-LEVEL JET
WILL ALLOW FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
ALL MODES OF SEVERE WEATHER ON BOTH MONDAY AND TUESDAY AFTERNOONS.
/05/
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 650 PM CDT WED APR 8 2026
FOR THE 09/00Z TAF PERIOD...VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO
PREVAIL THROUGHOUT THIS TAF PERIOD. THAT BEING SAID, THERE WILL BE
SOME LOWER CLOUDS BETWEEN AROUND 3-5K FT MOVE THROUGH THE REGION
TONIGHT, THIS WILL BE CLOSE TO BRINGING SOME MVFR CONDITIONS, BUT
I AM NOT CONFIDENT ENOUGH TO INTRODUCE IT AT THIS TIME AND WILL
MONITOR FOR THE NEXT TAF PERIOD. /33/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1224 AM CDT WED APR 8 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THIS WORK WEEK. /24/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 56 83 60 83 / 0 0 0 10
MLU 54 83 58 84 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 49 80 55 81 / 0 10 0 20
TXK 57 82 61 84 / 0 0 0 10
ELD 53 82 57 83 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 57 82 61 82 / 0 0 0 20
GGG 56 82 60 83 / 0 0 0 10
LFK 57 83 61 81 / 0 10 0 30
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...20
AVIATION...33
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page