527
FXUS64 KSHV 152332
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
632 PM CDT WED APR 15 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 217 PM CDT WED APR 15 2026
- A ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS, SOME OF WHICH COULD BE STRONG TO
SEVERE, WILL PROCEED ALONG AND NORTH OF THE I-30 CORRIDOR
OVERNIGHT.
- FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL OCCUR THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON, WITH A
30-40% CHANCE OF AT LEAST 1 INCH OF RAIN ACROSS THE AREA.
- COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES RETURN BY SUNDAY INTO THE
BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK WITH A GRADUAL WARM-UP THROUGH THE MIDDLE
OF NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 217 PM CDT WED APR 15 2026
AFTER TONIGHT'S ROUND OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS (MOSTLY
ACROSS SE OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS), AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN WILL
CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND AS TROUGHING CONTINUES ACROSS THE
INTERMOUNTAIN WEST AND RIDGING OVER THE EAST COAST. THIS GENERAL
PATTERN OF TROUGHING AND RIDGING, ALTHOUGH TRANSIENT, WILL HOLD
THROUGH THE NEXT WEEK WITH MULTIPLE LONGWAVE TROUGHS TRAVERSING
THE UPPER GREAT PLAINS INTO THE MIDWEST ATOP THE RIDGE OVER THE
SOUTHEAST U.S. COASTLINE. ONE OF THE AFOREMENTIONED TROUGHS WILL
CARRY AN ATTENDANT FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS THE AREA ON SATURDAY,
INSTIGATING ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE
DAY. INGREDIENTS NECESSARY FOR SEVERE WEATHER WITH THIS ROUND
REMAINS MEAGER AT THE MOMENT WITH KINEMATIC AND THERMODYNAMIC
PARAMETERS NOT READING AS HIGH YET. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE
NORMAL (MAXIMUMS/MINIMUMS IN THE UPPER 80S/MID-60S) UNTIL
SATURDAY'S FRONTAL PASSAGE PRODUCES A BRIEF RETURN TO BELOW NORMAL
CHILL (MAXIMUMS/MINIMUMS IN THE LOWER 70S/LOWER 40S). QPF DAY 1-7
RAINFALL VALUES OF 0.5 TO 1.5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED AS A RESULT. /16/
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 628 PM CDT WED APR 15 2026
FOR THE 16/00Z TAFS, SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE PUSHING INTO
NORTHWESTERN ARKLATEX AIRSPACE AT THIS HOUR. A FEW SHOWERS IN THE
VICINITY WILL BE POSSIBLE AT KTYR THIS EVENING, WITH IMPACTS NOT
REACHING KTXK UNTIL LATE. A MIX OF LOWER VFR AND HIGH CLOUD DECKS
WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE NIGHT UNTIL CIGS DROP TO MVFR LEVELS
AFTER 16/10Z. SOUTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT, BECOMING
SOUTHWESTERLY TOMORROW, AT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 5 TO 10 KTS
WITH GUSTS OF UP TO 20 KTS POSSIBLE TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
/26/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1251 AM CDT WED APR 15 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
ACROSS PORTIONS OF EXTREME NORTHEAST TEXAS, SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA,
AND ADJACENT SECTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR
ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. /15/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 68 86 67 88 / 20 10 10 0
MLU 66 89 65 90 / 10 10 10 0
DEQ 61 82 62 85 / 70 20 10 10
TXK 67 86 68 88 / 50 20 10 0
ELD 63 85 64 88 / 30 30 10 0
TYR 67 85 67 86 / 40 10 0 0
GGG 67 85 66 87 / 30 10 0 0
LFK 67 87 66 88 / 10 10 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...16
AVIATION...26
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