743
FXUS64 KSHV 160707
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
207 AM CDT MON MAR 16 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1224 AM CDT MON MAR 16 2026
- ELEVATED WIND SPEEDS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AND THROUGH THE
DAY ON MONDAY WITH SOME GUSTS OF 30 MPH LIKELY.
- SOME NEAR TO BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY OVERNIGHT
(NORTH OF I-20) AND AREAWIDE ON MONDAY NIGHT.
- A GRADUAL WARMUP WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MOST OF THE REST OF THE
WORK WEEK WITH DRY CONDITIONS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1224 AM CDT MON MAR 16 2026
STRONG POST-FRONTAL GRADIENT WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE FOUR
STATE REGION THROUGH THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS BEFORE WANING. THIS WILL
FACILITATE EFFICIENT COLD AIR ADVECTION OVERNIGHT AND THROUGH THE
DAY, PROMPTING ANOTHER AREAWIDE FREEZE WARNING ON MONDAY NIGHT
INTO TUESDAY MORNING. STARTING ON TUESDAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH
THE REST OF THE WEEK, IS A VERY GRADUAL WARMUP WITH NO SIGNIFICANT
CHANCE OF RAIN THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND. THIS IS DUE TO PERSISTENT
RIDGING WITH A RIDGE AXIS THAT SHIFTS ALONG AND EAST OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY BY WEDNESDAY, POSITIONING SOUTHERLY FLOW
AND SUBSEQUENT WARM AIR ADVECTION ACROSS THE FOUR STATE REGION
(MID-TO UPPER 80S, EVEN SOME 90S ARE NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION BY
NEXT FRIDAY). LONG-RANGE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS SOMEWHAT INCREASED
UNCERTAINTY IN SYNOPTICS BEYOND NEXT WEEKEND AS RIDGING BREAKS
DOWN AND POTENTIAL FOR THE NEXT FRONTAL PASSAGE INCREASES BEYOND
THE SEVEN-DAY FORECAST WINDOW. HIGHER UNCERTAINTY REMAINS FOR ANY
PRECIPITATION IN AND BEYOND THIS FORECAST WINDOW. /16/
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 203 AM CDT MON MAR 16 2026
FOR THE 16/06Z TAF PERIOD...VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL
THROUGHOUT THE TAF PERIOD, WITH PERIODS OF MID AND HIGH CLOUDS.
BUT, A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 7 PM FOR SUSTAINED
WINDS 15-20 MPH, ALONG WITH GUSTS 25-30 MPH. THESE WINDS SHOULD
START TO DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET TONIGHT AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
SETTLES OVER THE AREA. /20/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1224 AM CDT MON MAR 16 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 50 30 59 41 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 51 29 56 37 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 45 22 57 37 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 48 28 60 43 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 47 25 56 38 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 50 32 62 44 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 50 29 61 41 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 52 31 61 40 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR ARZ050-051-059>061-
070>073.
FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR ARZ050-051-
059>061-070>073.
FREEZE WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM CDT TUESDAY FOR
ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073.
LA...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR LAZ001>006-010>014-
017>022.
FREEZE WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM CDT TUESDAY FOR
LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022.
OK...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR OKZ077.
FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR OKZ077.
FREEZE WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM CDT TUESDAY FOR
OKZ077.
TX...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR TXZ096-097-108>112-
124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167.
FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR TXZ096-097-
108>112-124-125.
FREEZE WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM CDT TUESDAY FOR
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167.
DISCUSSION...16
AVIATION...20
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