725
FXUS64 KSHV 230604
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1204 AM CST TUE DEC 23 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1112 PM CST MON DEC 22 2025
- MORNING FOG POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY, ALONG WITH WARMER
AND DRIER CONDITIONS.
- DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
CHRISTMAS HOLIDAY WEEK AND INTO THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEKEND.
NEAR RECORD WARMTH WILL RETURN TO MUCH OF THE REGION DURING
THIS PERIOD, WITH LOW CLOUDS AND FOG POSSIBLE EACH MORNING.
- RAIN CHANCES RETURN DURING THE LATTER HALF OF NEXT WEEKEND AS A
COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. OVERNIGHT LOW COULD RETURN
BELOW FREEZING BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1112 PM CST MON DEC 22 2025
WARMER AND MORE HUMID CONDITIONS HAVE RETURNED TO THE REGION IN
WAKE OF A WARM FRONT THIS PAST MORNING. WE SAW SOME OF THE STRATUS
CLEAR SEVERAL HOURS AGO, BUT IT IS STARTING TO EXPAND AGAIN. ALONG
WITH THE EXPANSION OF THE LOW CLOUDS AREAWIDE, MODELS CONTINUE TO
HINT AT SOME FOG DEVELOPMENT. WE HAVE ALREADY SEEN SOME PATCHY FOG
ACROSS THE REGION OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS, WITH THE MOST
BEING CONCENTRATED ACROSS OUR CENTRAL LOUISIANA ZONES. THE
EXPANSION OF FOG WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED CLOSELY OVERNIGHT, AS
SOME FOG COULD BE DENSE AT TIMES.
UPPER RIDGING IS STILL EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY SETTLE OVER THE REGION
TODAY, WHICH SHOULD FINALLY GIVE US SOME SUNSHINE. THIS RIDGE IS
FORECASTED TO REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH THE REST OF THE CHRISTMAS
HOLIDAY WEEK, YIELDING DRY CONDITIONS AND PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES
OVER THE AREA DURING THIS PERIOD. AT THE SAME TIME, THE REGION
WILL MAINTAIN LOW-LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW. THIS WILL RESULT IN
UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES OVER THE AREA THIS WEEK, WHICH IS
COMMONLY ASSOCIATED WITH FLOW FROM THIS DIRECTION. RECORD HIGHS
CAN'T BE RULED OUT, AS AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE
MID TO UPPER 70S OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS, WITH SOME ISOLATED LOW
80S POSSIBLE. BY THE END OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE FIRST HALF OF
THE UPCOMING WEEKEND, WE COULD SEE WIDESPREAD HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S TO LOWER 80S. IN ADDITION TO THE HEAT, WE WILL ALSO NEED TO
WATCH FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF LOW CLOUDS AND FOG OVERNIGHT EACH DAY
DURING THIS PERIOD. HOWEVER, THIS DAILY FOG SHOULD BURN OFF BY
MID-MORNING. MUCH NEEDED RAIN CHANCES WILL RETURN SUNDAY AS ANOTHER
COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE REGION. THIS SHOULD BRING AN END TO THE
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES BY EARLY NEXT WEEK, WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS
POSSIBLY RETURNING BELOW FREEZING. /20/
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1126 PM CST MON DEC 22 2025
FOR THE 23/06Z TAFS...MVFR/IFR CEILINGS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT ACROSS
MOST TERMINALS WITH TEMPO VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS DOWN TO 4 MILES
POSSIBLE ACROSS SOME AREAS. CEILINGS TO CLIMB TO MVFR BY LATE
TUESDAY MORNING, BECOMING VFR LATE IN THE AFTERNOON AND POSSIBLY
ALTOGETHER CLEARING AFTER 24/00Z. OTHERWISE, SOUTH WINDS UP TO 6
KTS TONIGHT TO INCREASE TO AS HIGH AS 10 KTS ON TUESDAY...
BECOMING 5 KTS OR LESS AFTER 24/00Z. /05/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1112 PM CST MON DEC 22 2025
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
CHRISTMAS HOLIDAY WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 75 65 77 61 / 10 0 0 0
MLU 73 63 76 58 / 20 0 0 0
DEQ 67 59 74 58 / 0 10 10 0
TXK 71 62 76 61 / 0 0 0 10
ELD 69 60 73 56 / 10 0 0 0
TYR 76 66 78 62 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 76 65 78 59 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 76 64 78 60 / 20 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...20
AVIATION...05
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