073
FXUS64 KSHV 241746
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1146 AM CST TUE FEB 24 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1231 AM CST TUE FEB 24 2026
- TODAY WILL SEE ELEVATED SOUTH WINDS AND CONTINUED DRY AIR,
CONTRIBUTING TO ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. A FIRE DANGER
STATEMENT AND WIND ADVISORY ARE IN EFFECT.
- A WARMING TREND WILL QUICKLY DEVELOP AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK, WITH HIGHS RETURNING TO THE 70S AND 80S
AND LOWS IN THE 50S AND 60S.
- SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY EAST OF
I-49, AND ACROSS OUR NORTHERN ZONES SUNDAY, WITH OTHERWISE
QUIET CONDITIONS PREVAILING.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1231 AM CST TUE FEB 24 2026
THIS RESURGENT GASP OF WINTER WHICH HAS USHERED IN THIS WEEK ACROSS
THE ARKLATEX IS NEARLY DONE WITH US AND SOON TO BE A MEMORY, AS
UPPER LEVEL FLOW USHERS IN A DRAMATIC WARMING TREND. THIS WILL BE
THE LAST NEAR-FREEZING NIGHT, AS TEMPERATURES RANGE FROM THE UPPER
20S EAST TO MIDDLE 30S WEST, INDICATIVE OF THE BUILDING INFLUENCE
OF THE SOUTHERLY FLOW UNDER THE RIDGE WHICH IS NUDGING IN FROM THE
WEST. AS THIS PATTERN SHIFT BEGINS TO UNFOLD, WINDS WILL BECOME
LIGHT TO NEARLY CALM OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. HOWEVER, UPPER LEVEL
CLOUDS ARE PUSHING IN FROM THE NORTH, WHICH IN TANDEM WITH THE
STILL VERY DRY AIRMASS, SHOULD INHIBIT THE DEVELOPMENT OF FOG, BUT
PATCHY FROST WILL BE POSSIBLE, PARTICULARLY ACROSS OUR EASTERN
ZONES TOWARDS DAYBREAK.
THE SOUTH WINDS WHICH DEVELOP OVERNIGHT WILL INCREASE IN SPEED
THROUGH THE DAY TODAY, PARTICULARLY ACROSS NORTHEAST TEXAS WHERE
SUSTAINED SPEEDS MAY REACH 20 MPH WITH GUSTS OF UP TO 30 MPH
POSSIBLE. A WIND ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 6 PM.
THIS, IN TANDEM WITH AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 30%,
WILL MAKE FOR ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON. A
FIRE DANGER STATEMENT WILL BE IN EFFECT. HIGHS WILL CLIMB QUICKLY
INTO THE MIDDLE 60S EAST TO LOWER 70S WEST.
THE TROUGH AND RIDGE WHICH STEERED OUR NORTHWEST FLOW AS THIS WEEK
STARTED WILL BEGIN TO LOSE THEIR DEFINITION TODAY, FLATTENING OUT
MORE NOTICEABLY BY WEDNESDAY, INFLUENCING THE WARMING TREND WHICH
LOOKS TO CONTINUE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. THE SOUTHERLY
SURFACE FLOW WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY AN EMERGING SHORTWAVE IN THE
UPPER LEVEL FLOW MAKING FOR A CHANCE OF SCATTERED SHOWERS ACROSS
EASTERN ZONES OF THE ARKLATEX THURSDAY. FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WILL
REMAIN WARM AND DRY, WITH ANOTHER HINT OF SCATTERED SHOWERS ACROSS
OUR NORTHERNMOST ZONES SUNDAY, POTENTIALLY BECOMING MORE
WIDESPREAD TO USHER IN NEXT WEEK AND CLOSE OUT THIS EXTENDED
FORECAST PERIOD.
/26/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1138 AM CST TUE FEB 24 2026
SCT/BKN HIGH CIRRUS AND VFR TO START THE TAF PERIOD AS S/SW WINDS
BETWEEN 10-15KTS AND GUSTS APPROACHING 20-25KTS CONTINUE ACROSS
THE LOCAL AIRSPACE. EXPECTATION IS FOR WINDS TO REMAIN STOUT
THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH MORE WIDESPREAD GUSTS TO 25KTS TOMORROW
AFTERNOON. OVERNIGHT, A WEAK LLJ WILL SUPPORT THE RETURN OF LOW
SUB 5KFT CIGS (LEANING MVFR FOR MANY), WITH A MIX OF SCT/BKN
THROUGH THE LATE MORNING. THESE SHOULD SCATTER OUT MORE THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON, WITH A MIX OF SCT/BKN AFTER LUNCHTIME BELOW 5KFT
AND MIX OF SCT/BKN CIRRUS ALOFT.
RK
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 553 AM CST TUE FEB 24 2026
CONCERN REMAINS ELEVATED ACROSS OUR FOUR STATE AREA WITH VERY LOW
AFTERNOON HUMIDITY AND STRONG AND GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS.
WILDFIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD WILL BE EVEN MORE LIKELY TO OCCUR TODAY
AS THE DRY AIR MASS LINGERS ACROSS OUR AREA DESPITE THE RETURN OF
SOUTHERLY WINDS. THE SAFER CONDITIONS OF THE RICH GULF OF AMERICA
HUMID AIR HAVE BEEN DISPLACED WELL OFFSHORE AND WILL TAKE MUCH OF
WEDNESDAY TO MOVE BACK INLAND. THUS, WE HAVE ISSUED ANOTHER FIRE
DANGER STATEMENT FOR TODAY. IN ADDITION, BURN BANS ARE RETURNING
AS ENACTED BY SEVERAL COUNTIES AND PARISHES ACROSS OUR FOUR-STATE
AREA. REFER TO YOUR LOCAL AREA JURISDICTIONS FOR THE MOST UPDATED
INFORMATION ON BURN BAN STATUS FOR YOUR AREA.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 553 AM CST TUE FEB 24 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THIS WEEK. HOWEVER,
ELEVATED FIRE DANGER CONDITIONS WILL RAMP UP AGAIN TODAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY WITH VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AND GUSTY SOUTH
TO SOUTHWEST WINDS. THEREFORE, RELAYING INFORMATION ON WILDFIRE
ACTIVITY IS ENCOURAGED AREAWIDE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 55 80 62 79 / 0 0 0 20
MLU 50 76 61 77 / 0 0 10 50
DEQ 46 75 51 76 / 0 10 0 10
TXK 53 78 60 79 / 0 10 0 20
ELD 49 75 57 76 / 0 10 0 40
TYR 56 81 62 80 / 0 0 0 10
GGG 53 81 60 80 / 0 0 0 10
LFK 55 80 62 82 / 0 0 0 10
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR TXZ096-108>111-124-
125-136-137.
DISCUSSION...26
AVIATION...53
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