738
FXUS64 KSHV 050441
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1141 PM CDT THU JUN 4 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1117 PM CDT THU JUN 4 2026
- SCATTERED DAYTIME THUNDERSTORMS WITH LINGERING EVENING SHOWERS
TO CONTINUE ON FRIDAY WITH WIDESPREAD RAIN CHANCES EXPECTED
THIS WEEKEND.
- SHOWERS EXPECTED TO STAY NON-SEVERE, BUT SOME THUNDER AND
LOCALIZED FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE.
- TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB BACK INTO THE MID TO UPPER 80S BY THIS
WEEKEND AND INTO THE LOWER 90S NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1117 PM CDT THU JUN 4 2026
UPPER-LEVEL PATTERN CHARACTERIZED BY A RIDGE ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH
AND A LOW ACROSS WEST TEXAS WITH THE ARKLATEX SANDWICHED BETWEEN
THESE TWO FEATURES. EASTERN HALF OF THE ARKLATEX WILL BE
INFLUENCED MORE HEAVILY BY THE RIDGE ALLOWING FOR SLIGHTLY DRIER
CONDITIONS ON FRIDAY WHILE INCREASED SOUTHWEST FLOW ACROSS EAST
AND NORTHEAST TEXAS WILL RESULT IN HIGHER RAIN CHANCES ACROSS
THESE AREAS.
ON SATURDAY, DISTURBANCE IN THE GULF OF AMERICA TO SWING NORTHWEST
ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER-RIDGE, DIRECTLY ACROSS
THE ARKLATEX, RESULTING IN WIDESPREAD RAIN ACROSS THE REGION.
UPPER-LEVEL PATTERN TO REMAIN NEARLY UNCHANGED THROUGH SUNDAY,
WITH THE EXCEPTION OF AN UPPER-LOW SWINGING NORTHEAST ACROSS THE
CENTRAL PLAINS, WHICH WILL MAINTAIN HIGHER RAIN CHANCES THROUGH
THE END OF THE WEEKEND.
BIG SHIFT IN THE PATTERN EXPECTED EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A SURFACE
AND UPPER-RIDGE BUILD AREAWIDE. SUBSIDENCE ASSOCIATED WITH THE
UPPER-RIDGE WILL NOT ONLY LEAD TO MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS, BUT WILL
ALSO BRING A WARMING TREND TO THE REGION. AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE
80S DURING THE WEEKEND WILL APPROACH THE MID 90S BY MIDWEEK.
/05/
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 643 PM CDT THU JUN 4 2026
FOR THE ARKLATEX TERMINALS, LOTS OF CONVECTION/CATEGORY CHANGES
TODAY AND MUCH THE SAME FOR FRIDAY. EXPECT IFR CIGS 06-12Z AND
THIS TROPICAL CONVEYOR OFF THE GULF TO REMAIN AGAIN FOR FRIDAY.
VCSH/VCTS FOR MOST, TO BE AMENDED FOR TEMPO DOWNPOURS/WIND TO
30KT. CIGS LIFT TO VFR BY 17-19Z. THE WKND LOOKS PERHAPS EVEN
BUSIER WITH ANOTHER UPTICK IN CONVECTION ANTICIPATED AS THIS
TROPICAL MOISTURE IS MET WITH A WESTERLIES UPPER LOW. EARLY NEXT
WEEK BCMG ISOLD TS AS THE HEAT BUILDS UNDER A WEAK UPPER HIGH.
/24/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1117 PM CDT THU JUN 4 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 70 87 73 87 / 20 10 10 40
MLU 68 89 73 88 / 10 10 10 70
DEQ 68 84 70 84 / 40 30 20 70
TXK 70 88 73 88 / 30 10 10 60
ELD 68 87 72 86 / 10 0 10 40
TYR 70 86 73 87 / 40 30 20 60
GGG 70 86 72 87 / 30 20 20 60
LFK 70 87 72 88 / 40 30 20 60
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...05
AVIATION...24
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