029
FXUS64 KSHV 011158
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
658 AM CDT SAT AUG 1 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1228 AM CDT SAT AUG 1 2026
- SEASONABLE TEMPS AND SLIGHT RAIN CHANCES RETURN FOR OUR
SATURDAY, AS ANOTHER COOL FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA. THE BEST
RAIN CHANCES REMAIN ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE I-20 CORRIDOR.
- HEAT BUILDS BACK UNDER UPPER RIDGING BY NEXT WEEK, WITH MORE
ABOVE AVERAGE SUMMER HEAT AND POSSIBLE HEAT HEADLINES ONCE
AGAIN.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1228 AM CDT SAT AUG 1 2026
UPPER RIDGING HAS SHIFTED WEST OF THE REGION, WHILE A DEEP TROUGH
REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS THE EASTERN CONUS. THIS HAS RESULTED IN
FLOW ALOFT BECOMING NORTHWESTERLY ACROSS THE REGION. THIS FLOW
WILL DRIVE A COOL FRONT INTO THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH MUCH OF
SATURDAY. SLIGHT TO LOW CHANCE POPS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
PRECEDING PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH AS IT PUSHES THROUGH THE AREA, WITH
SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING BEFORE DAWN
TONIGHT ALONG AND NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 20 CORRIDOR. AS THE
FRONT AND ASSOCIATED PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH CONTINUES TO PUSH ACROSS
THE REGION, MODELS CONTINUE TO HIGHLIGHT SLIGHT TO LOW CHANCE
POPS, WITH THE BEST CHANCES ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20
DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS ON SATURDAY. MOST OF THIS PRECIPITATION
IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED IN COVERAGE,
AND CONFINED TO THE ADVANCING TROUGH. PROGS ARE HINTING AT SOME
ADDITIONAL ISOLATED CONVECTION DEVELOPING ALONG THE TRAILING COOL
FRONT AS IT MOVES INTO OUR SOUTHERN FORECAST ZONES, SO DECIDED TO
KEEP SOME SLIGHT RAIN CHANCES ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE US HIGHWAY
84 CORRIDOR OF DEEP EAST TEXAS AND CENTRAL LOUISIANA THROUGH THE
LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS SATURDAY. WITH THE PASSAGE
OF THE TROUGH/FRONT, ALONG WITH CLOUD COVER AND RAIN, WE SHOULD
SEE SOME SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE AREA ON
SATURDAY. THEREFORE, THE ONGOING HEAT ADVISORY WAS ALLOWED TO
EXPIRE THIS EVENING.
THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA BY
EARLY SATURDAY EVENING. NORTHERLY WINDS IN WAKE OF THE FRONT WILL
PUSH SOME DRIER AND COOLER CONDITIONS INTO THE REGION ON SUNDAY.
AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL TOP OUT IN THE LOW TO MID 90S, WITH DEW
POINTS IN THE LOW TO MIDDLE 60S. UPPER RIDGING WILL SETTLE BACK
OVER THE REGION FOR ALL OF NEXT WEEK, BRINGING A RETURN OF HOT
AND HUMID CONDITIONS, AND THE POSSIBLE RETURN OF HEAT HEADLINES.
/20/
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 657 AM CDT SAT AUG 1 2026
FOR THE 01/12Z TAF UPDATE, A DRY FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE PASSING THROUGH THE AIRSPACE THROUGH THE END OF THE
PERIOD. VFR VIS/CIGS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL WITH SOUTHEASTERLY
WINDS GAINING A NORTHWESTERLY DIRECTION THROUGH THE END OF THE
PERIOD. WINDS WILL SLACKEN AS VCSH/VCTS TAPERS OFF BY 01/18Z SOUTH
OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. /16/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1228 AM CDT SAT AUG 1 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.
/20/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 97 74 93 73 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 98 73 94 73 / 20 0 0 0
DEQ 91 69 92 69 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 94 72 94 72 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 94 71 91 71 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 97 72 95 72 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 97 72 94 72 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 97 72 94 72 / 30 10 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...20
AVIATION...16
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