617  
FNUS74 KSHV 171035  
FWSSHV  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR KISATCHIE BU-50...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA  
435 AM CST TUE FEB 17 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CST ON FEBRUARY 17.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (318) 631-3669 EXT. 241, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
GOOD MORNING, TEMPERATURES THIS MORNING WILL BE IN THE UPPER 50S  
AROUND IGNITION TIME, RISING TO AROUND 70 DEGREES BY THIS  
AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG REMAINS POSSIBLE THIS MORNING, AND SURFACE  
OBSERVATIONS FROM THIS MORNING SHOW SOME LOWERED VISIBILITY AROUND  
THE BURN AREA. RH VALUES WILL START OUT HIGH AROUND IGNITION TIME,  
AROUND 93 PERCENT AND WILL ONLY FALL TO A MINIMUM OF AROUND 63  
PERCENT BY THIS AFTERNOON. LOOK FOR WINDS TO REMAIN OUT OF THE  
SOUTH THROUGHOUT THE DAY TODAY, WITH SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 5-8  
MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. WHILE WE DON'T  
CURRENTLY HAVE ANY FOG IN THE FORECAST FOR WEDNESDAY MORNING,  
THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL OF MORE PATCHY FOG, SOME OF OUR SHORT  
RANGE MODEL GUIDANCE DOESN'T GO OUT QUITE THAT FAR YET. REQUESTED  
HYSPLIT MODEL IS PROCESSING AND WILL BE IN YOUR EMAIL SHORTLY.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
TIME (CST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........80 78 84 84 79 74 66 58 57 55  
WEATHER COV.....PTY  
WEATHER TYPE....FOG  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............57 59 61 64 66 68 69 70 71 69  
RH..............93 93 87 78 73 68 66 63 64 68  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND MPH..3 6 6 6 6 7 8 7 7 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 15 16 17 17 18 18 20 20 20  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.4 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.0 0.5  
TRANS WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANS SPD (M/S).6 7 8 7 8 8 9 8 8 7  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........52 49 62 52 69 66 74 82 77 82 78 80  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............67 66 63 62 62 61 61 61 62 61 61 61  
RH..............70 73 84 87 90 93 93 97 93 97 100 97  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND MPH..6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.20 21 20 20 20 18 18 18 18 17 17 17  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2  
TRANS WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S SW  
TRANS SPD (M/S).7 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 6 6  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........86 80 75 69 71 74 75 75 74 74 73 70  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............60 61 64 67 69 72 74 75 77 78 76 74  
RH..............100 97 90 84 78 71 66 64 58 56 60 64  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S S  
20 FT WIND MPH..5 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 6 6 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 18 20 20 20 20 20 18 18 17 16 15  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.6 1.2 0.7  
TRANS WIND DIR..S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S  
TRANS SPD (M/S).6 6 7 9 9 9 8 8 8 8 8 7  
 

 
FORECASTER...THORNE  
REQUESTED BY...USFS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2602865.0/SHV  
.DELDT 02/17/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JOSHUA.BRYANT@USDA.GOV  
 
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