220
FXUS64 KFWD 202351
AFDFWD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
651 PM CDT MON JUL 20 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- PROLONGED DRY AND HOT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS WEEK WITH
TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 90S TO LOW 100S.
- A HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH 8PM TUESDAY FOR PEAK HEAT INDEX
VALUES UP TO 108 DEGREES.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1236 PM CDT MON JUL 20 2026
HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES IN OVERHEAD TODAY, BRINGING SUNSHINE AND HOT
TEMPERATURES. HIGHS TODAY WILL BE IN THE UPPER 90S TO LOW 100S, WITH
WARM OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE MID-70S, WITH LOW-80S FOR THE METROPLEX.
A HEAT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS
THROUGH 8PM TUESDAY EVENING. MAX HEAT INDEX VALUES UP TO 108 ARE
EXPECTED, WITH LITTLE OVERNIGHT RELIEF.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1236 PM CDT MON JUL 20 2026
HIGH PRESSURE PARKS ITSELF OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD, KEEPING SKIES SUNNY AND
TEMPERATURES HOT. AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID-100S WILL BE
COMMON THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK, WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS
STRUGGLING TO DROP BELOW 80. IN SOME SPOTS, THESE OVERNIGHT LOWS MAY
APPROACH NEAR-RECORD WARM VALUES. HEAT ADVISORIES ARE LIKELY TO BE
NEEDED THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE OF
NEEDING AN EXTREME HEAT WARNING ON WEDNESDAY, AS INCREASING
MOISTURE COMBINED WITH THE HOTTEST FORECASTED TEMPERATURES OF THE
WEEK HAVE RESULTED IN FORECAST HEAT INDEX VALUES CLIMBING ABOVE
110. HOWEVER, THIS IS THE FIRST FORECAST CYCLE TO SHOW SUCH HIGH
AND WIDESPREAD HEAT INDEX VALUES, CONTRIBUTING TO THE LOWER
CONFIDENCE. ALL THE SAME, MAKE SURE TO TAKE THE NECESSARY STEPS
TO KEEP YOU AND YOUR LOVED ONES SAFE FROM HEAT- RELATED ILLNESS
THIS WEEK.
THE DEVELOPING TROPICAL DEPRESSION IN THE EASTERN GULF COULD THROW A
WELCOME WRENCH INTO THIS PERIOD OF PROLONGED HEAT. CURRENT GUIDANCE
HAS COME INTO ALIGNMENT THAT THIS DISTURBANCE WILL APPROACH THE
SOUTHERN OR SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS COAST IN THE THURSDAY - SATURDAY
TIMEFRAME, WHICH WOULD BRING INCREASED CLOUD COVER AND RAIN CHANCES,
ALONG WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES. THAT SAID, UNCERTAINTY REMAINS HIGH
WITH THE DETAILS OF THIS SYSTEM'S PROGRESSION, ESPECIALLY THE TRACK.
IT IS THESE DETAILS THAT WILL DETERMINE WHO SEES RAIN AND COOLER
TEMPERATURES, AND WHO DOESN'T. SO STAY TUNED.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 650 PM CDT MON JUL 20 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL WITH ONLY A FEW PASSING HIGH CLOUDS
EXPECTED. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL GENERALLY REMAIN BELOW 10 KNOTS
THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DALLAS-FT. WORTH 81 105 84 105 / 0 0 0 0
WACO 77 100 80 101 / 0 0 0 0
PARIS 77 100 78 98 / 0 0 0 0
DENTON 78 104 81 103 / 0 0 0 0
MCKINNEY 79 103 81 102 / 0 0 0 0
DALLAS 81 105 84 104 / 0 0 0 0
TERRELL 77 103 79 102 / 0 0 0 0
CORSICANA 78 101 81 101 / 0 0 0 0
TEMPLE 75 101 79 102 / 0 0 0 0
MINERAL WELLS 74 103 77 103 / 0 0 0 10
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT TUESDAY FOR TXZ091>095-101>107-
116>123-131>135-144>148-158>162-174-175.
SHORT TERM...BEALO
LONG TERM....BEALO
AVIATION...12
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page