352
FXUS64 KFWD 182326
AFDFWD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
626 PM CDT FRI JUL 18 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- HOT TEMPERATURES WILL PREVAIL THROUGH NEXT WEEK WITH HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 90S TO 100 EACH AFTERNOON.
- THERE IS A LOW CHANCE FOR ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS IN PARTS OF
CENTRAL TEXAS ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
SHORT TERM
/ISSUED 120 PM CDT FRI JUL 18 2025/
/THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/
A DISTURBANCE WITH TROPICAL ORIGINS CONTINUES TO SLOWLY SHIFT TO
THE WEST/NORTHWEST IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS. MUCH MORE HUMID CONDITIONS
ARE ONGOING CLOSER TO THE COASTLINE, WHICH IS LEADING TO SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND A FEW STORMS. ALTHOUGH MUCH OF THE RAINFALL IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN SOUTH OF OUR REGION, A FEW ISOLATED RAIN
SHOWERS MAY DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WITH GREATER
CLOUD COVER AND MORE HUMID CONDITIONS, THE BRAZOS VALLEY AND OUR
SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES WILL REMAIN IN THE LOWER TO MID 90S. FOR THE
REST OF THE REGION, MID-LEVEL RIDGING WILL KEEP SUBSIDENCE IN
PLACE WITH MINIMAL CLOUDS TODAY. HIGHS WILL REACH THE MID TO UPPER
90S, WITH A FEW ISOLATED LOCATIONS REACHING 100 DEGREES. A
TRANQUIL NIGHT IS IN STORE WITH OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES IN THE
LOWER TO MID 70S.
MID-LEVEL RIDGING WILL STRENGTHEN TOMORROW, LEADING TO A SLIGHT
INCREASE IN AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE MID 90S
TO AROUND 100 DEGREES IN NORTH TEXAS WITH LOWER 90S IN CENTRAL
TEXAS. RAIN CHANCES TOMORROW WILL REMAIN BELOW 20% AND BE
CONFINED TO OUR FAR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES AND THE BRAZOS VALLEY.
HERNANDEZ
LONG TERM
/ISSUED 120 PM CDT FRI JUL 18 2025/
/SUNDAY ONWARD/
THE ELONGATED RIDGE EXTENDING FROM TEXAS EASTWARD WILL SEE MINOR
MODIFICATIONS THROUGH THE REST OF THE FORECAST AS THE JET STREAM
REMAINS ACROSS THE NORTHERN CONUS. THIS SHOULD KEEP MUCH OF OUR
REGION DRY WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S THROUGH THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. A WEAK LOW WITH INCREASED MOISTURE MAY MOVE
ACROSS OUR CENTRAL TEXAS COUNTIES EARLY NEXT WEEK, LEADING TO
INCREASED CLOUDS ACROSS CENTRAL TEXAS. AT TIME TIME, FORCING FOR
ASCENT WILL REMAIN LOW AND PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL REMAIN
MINIMAL.
HEAT INDEX VALUES EACH AFTERNOON WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 90S TO
AROUND 106 DEGREES. ANYBODY SPENDING EXTENDED PERIODS OF TIME
OUTDOORS ARE ADVISED TO STAY HYDRATED, TAKE FREQUENT BREAKS AND
WEAR LIGHT-COLORED CLOTHING.
HERNANDEZ
AVIATION
/NEW/
/00Z TAFS/
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH SOUTHERLY
WINDS AROUND 10 KTS. A FEW DAYTIME GUSTS NEAR 20 KTS ARE POSSIBLE
AGAIN TOMORROW AFTERNOON. A DISTURBANCE MOVING ACROSS CENTRAL
TEXAS WITHIN EASTERLY MID-LEVEL FLOW WILL RESULT IN BKN/OVC CLOUDS
AT FL150-200, WITH OCCASIONAL VIRGA ALSO BEING OBSERVED BENEATH
THIS CLOUD DECK. OTHERWISE, A FEW DIURNAL CUMULUS NEAR 5-6 KFT
WILL BE THE EXTENT OF CLOUD COVER FARTHER NORTH ACROSS D10.
-STALLEY
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DALLAS-FT. WORTH 77 97 79 97 78 / 0 0 0 0 0
WACO 75 92 76 93 75 / 0 5 0 0 0
PARIS 74 95 75 96 76 / 0 0 0 0 0
DENTON 74 99 77 98 77 / 0 0 0 0 0
MCKINNEY 75 97 77 97 77 / 0 0 0 0 0
DALLAS 77 97 78 97 77 / 0 0 0 0 0
TERRELL 75 96 76 96 75 / 0 5 0 0 0
CORSICANA 76 96 77 96 76 / 0 5 0 0 0
TEMPLE 74 94 75 94 74 / 0 5 0 0 0
MINERAL WELLS 72 99 75 98 75 / 0 0 0 0 0
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
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