292
FXUS64 KFWD 101747
AFDFWD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1247 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- AN ELEVATED GRASS FIRE THREAT WILL BE PRESENT FOR AREAS NEAR
AND WEST OF I-35 ON SUNDAY.
- WARM AND RAIN-FREE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK WITH
TEMPERATURES 5 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.
SHORT TERM
/NEW/
/TODAY AND TOMORROW/
MID-LEVEL RIDGING REMAINS THE CONTROLLING FEATURE OVER NORTH AND
CENTRAL TEXAS TODAY, KEEPING THE AREA RAIN-FREE WITH ANOTHER
UNSEASONABLY WARM AFTERNOON EXPECTED. HIGHS ARE ON TRACK TO REACH
THE MID TO UPPER 80S WITH A FEW READINGS IN THE LOWER 90S POSSIBLE
IN BOTH THE BIG COUNTRY AND THE HILL COUNTRY. SKIES WILL STAY
MOSTLY CLEAR WITH MODEST EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS BECOMING
LIGHT AND VARIABLE THIS EVENING. OVERNIGHT, TEMPERATURES WILL
SETTLE INTO THE MID TO UPPER 50S WITH LOW TO MID 60S ACROSS THE
DFW URBAN HEAT ISLAND AND IN OTHER METRO AREAS ACROSS THE REGION.
WITH NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE WEATHER PATTERN OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS (AND BEYOND), SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON SATURDAY
WITH CLEAR SKIES AND ABNORMALLY WARM OCTOBER TEMPERATURES.
12
LONG TERM
/NEW/
/SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEEK/
THE RIDGE WILL LINGER OVER THE REGION LATE WEEKEND THROUGH MUCH
OF THE NEXT WEEK, WARRANTING A MOSTLY PERSISTENCE FORECAST WITH
ABNORMALLY WARM TEMPERATURES AND NO APPRECIABLE CHANCES FOR RAIN
THROUGH AT LEAST THE NEXT 10 DAYS. THE ONLY DEPARTURE FROM THIS
PATTERN WILL BE THE SLIGHT TIGHTENING IN THE SURFACE PRESSURE
GRADIENT EXPECTED TO OCCUR ON SUNDAY, RESULTING FROM THE MID-LEVEL
TROUGH ADVANCING ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S. AND THE CORRESPONDING
LEE LOW DEVELOPING OVER THE PLAINS. THE BLEND OF BREEZY SOUTH
WINDS, WARM TEMPERATURES, AND LOWERED AFTERNOON RH MAY SUPPORT AN
ELEVATED GRASS FIRE THREAT EMERGING WEST OF THE I-35 CORRIDOR
DURING THE AFTERNOON.
12
AVIATION
/NEW/
/18Z TAFS/
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH THE PERIOD.
LIGHT EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL TREND LIGHT AND
VARIABLE THIS EVENING, THEN BECOMING MORE SOUTHERLY SATURDAY
MORNING, WITH SPEEDS GENERALLY BELOW 8 KT. SKIES WILL REMAIN SKC
TO FEW WITH NO CIG OR VIS RESTRICTIONS AND NO CONVECTION.
12
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DALLAS-FT. WORTH 87 64 89 66 90 / 0 0 0 0 0
WACO 87 59 87 61 88 / 0 0 0 0 0
PARIS 83 59 86 61 87 / 0 0 0 0 0
DENTON 86 58 88 61 90 / 0 0 0 0 0
MCKINNEY 86 59 88 62 90 / 0 0 0 0 0
DALLAS 87 64 90 67 90 / 0 0 0 0 0
TERRELL 86 58 88 61 90 / 0 0 0 0 0
CORSICANA 88 61 89 64 91 / 0 0 0 0 0
TEMPLE 88 58 89 59 90 / 0 0 0 0 0
MINERAL WELLS 89 58 91 60 91 / 0 0 0 0 0
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
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