854
FXUS64 KFWD 040947
AFDFWD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
447 AM CDT TUE AUG 4 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL THIS WEEK
INTO THE WEEKEND.
- A STRAY SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM CAN'T BE RULED OUT FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY (~10% CHANCE).
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1157 PM CDT MON AUG 3 2026
NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS WITH HIGHS RANGING FROM THE
UPPER-90S INTO THE LOWER-100S. DUE TO THE DRY AIRMASS IN PLACE
WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE 50S AND LOWER-60S, OVERNIGHT LOWS TONIGHT
MAY OVERPERFORM AGAIN. HAVE LOWERED LOWS (PARTICULARLY OUTSIDE
URBAN AREAS) SEVERAL DEGREES COOLERS THAN THE CURRENT NBM WITH
LOW TO MID-70S FOR MUCH OF THE AREA. CONTINUED HIGH PRESSURE AND
RIDGING OVERHEAD WILL KEEP THE FORECAST FOR THIS TIME PERIOD DRY
WITH VERY LITTLE IN THE WAY OF CLOUDS.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1157 PM CDT MON AUG 3 2026
THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE CURRENTLY CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES
WILL SLOWLY RETROGRADE WESTWARD DURING THIS TIME PERIOD. AS SUCH,
TEMPERATURES LOOK TO TREND SLIGHTLY COOLER TO BE NEAR-NORMAL BY
THIS WEEKEND (HIGHS IN THE UPPER-90S).
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL LIKELY STALL SOMEWHERE ACROSS OKLAHOMA ON
FRIDAY WITH A WEAK UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCE POTENTIAL MOVING ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN GREAT PLAINS. WHILE MOST WILL REMAIN DRY FRIDAY INTO
THE WEEKEND, THE RETURN OF RICH GULF MOISTURE FROM THE
SOUTH/SOUTHEAST IN ADDITION TO VERY WEAK ASCENT FROM THE UPPER-
LEVEL DISTURBANCE MAY BE SUFFICIENT FOR A STRAY SHOWER OR
THUNDERSTORM FRIDAY AND/OR SATURDAY AFTERNOON (~10% CHANCE).
OTHERWISE, EXPECT SUNNY SKIES AND SUMMER HEAT TO CONTINUE INTO
NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 446 AM CDT TUE AUG 4 2026
SOUTH/SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW (150-190) AT 5-10 KTS AND VFR CONDITIONS
WILL PREVAIL AT ALL TAF SITES FOR THE DURATION OF THIS FORECAST
PERIOD.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DALLAS-FT. WORTH 101 81 101 81 / 0 0 0 0
WACO 100 78 100 76 / 0 0 0 0
PARIS 98 75 100 76 / 0 0 0 0
DENTON 102 78 101 79 / 0 0 0 0
MCKINNEY 101 77 101 79 / 0 0 0 0
DALLAS 100 82 102 81 / 0 0 0 0
TERRELL 101 76 101 76 / 0 0 0 0
CORSICANA 98 78 101 75 / 0 0 0 0
TEMPLE 100 77 99 75 / 0 0 0 0
MINERAL WELLS 100 74 100 75 / 0 0 0 0
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...DARRAH
LONG TERM....DARRAH
AVIATION...DARRAH
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