768
FXUS64 KFWD 022322
AFDFWD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
522 PM CST TUE DEC 2 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- A BRIEF WARM-UP IS EXPECTED INTO WEDNESDAY BEFORE ANOTHER STRONG
COLD FRONT WEDNESDAY NIGHT BRINGS COLD TEMPERATURES AND RAIN
CHANCES BACK TO THE REGION FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE WORK WEEK.
- NEAR-NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND MOSTLY SUNNY CONDITIONS WILL RETURN
OVER THE WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1215 PM CST TUE DEC 2 2025
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL RETURN TO NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS EARLY
THIS AFTERNOON AS SURFACE RIDGING IS SHUNTED TOWARD THE EAST BY
PRESSURE FALLS IN THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES. THIS WILL BEGIN A BRIEF
WARMING PERIOD INTO WEDNESDAY. EXPECT MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WITH
TEMPERATURES RISING INTO THE LOW TO MID 50S THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS
MUCH OF THE REGION. TEMPERATURES WILL STRUGGLE TO ESCAPE THE 40S
ACROSS PARTS OF EAST AND NORTHEAST TEXAS WHERE THE ONSET OF MORE
NOTABLE WARM-AIR ADVECTION WILL BE DELAYED UNTIL LATER THIS
EVENING. EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO DROP INTO THE 30S ACROSS MOST OF
THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT, WITH SOME PATCHY FOG LIKELY DEVELOPING
ACROSS PARTS OF EAST TEXAS BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
SURFACE WINDS WILL INCREASE OUT OF THE SOUTH DURING THE DAY
WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF OUR NEXT WEATHER-MAKING STORM SYSTEM WITH A
SLUG OF GREATER QUALITY BOUNDARY-LAYER MOISTURE AND LOW CLOUDS
SURGING INTO CENTRAL TEXAS BY MIDDAY. CLOUD COVER WILL KEEP
AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOW 60S EAST OF I-35 WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS WEST OF I-35 AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT
WILL NUDGE TEMPERATURES INTO THE UPPER 60S (POTENTIALLY LOW 70S)
ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1215 PM CST TUE DEC 2 2025
THIS BRIEF WARMUP WILL COME TO AN END AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES
THROUGH NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST
WEDNESDAY EVENING INTO THURSDAY MORNING. MUCH COOLER AIR WILL
FILTER IN BEHIND THE FRONTAL PASSAGE WITH TEMPERATURES DROPPING
INTO THE LOW TO MID 30S ALONG/NORTH OF I-20 AND THE UPPER 30S TO
MID 40S SOUTH OF I-20 BY SUNRISE THURSDAY MORNING. INCREASING
ISENTROPIC ASCENT ATOP OF THIS FRONTAL SURFACE WITH THE APPROACH
OF A MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE AND PERSISTENT MOIST, SOUTHWESTERLY
925-700MB FLOW WILL LEAD TO A BLOSSOMING OF SCATTERED LIGHT TO
MODERATE RAIN SHOWERS LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY PRIMARILY
ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE I-20 CORRIDOR. WE ARE MONITORING A BRIEF
WINDOW FOR A VERY LIGHT WINTRY MIX ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHWEST TEXAS
AND THE BIG COUNTRY (COOKE, JACK, YOUNG, AND MONTAGUE COUNTIES)
AROUND SUNRISE THURSDAY MORNING. MOISTURE/LIFT MAY OVERLAP
FREEZING SURFACE TEMPERATURES FOR A FEW HOURS (4-8AM) ACROSS THESE
COUNTIES. HOWEVER, THE LATEST GUIDANCE HAS COME IN A BIT WARMER
AND LARGELY KEEPS THIS LOW END POTENTIAL NORTH OF THE RED RIVER.
SO, ALTHOUGH SLEET/ICE CRYSTALS/DRIZZLE MAY STILL FALL TO THE
SURFACE, NO ACCUMULATIONS OR IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED.
TEMPERATURES WILL RISE INTO THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S DURING THE
AFTERNOON ON THURSDAY WITH RAIN CHANCES LARGELY COMING TO AN END
FROM WEST TO EAST THURSDAY NIGHT AS THE AFOREMENTIONED SHORTWAVE
SHIFTS NORTHEAST AND DRIER AIR USHERS IN FROM THE WEST.
TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS SURFACE WINDS
SHIFT BACK OUT OF THE SOUTH. ANOTHER COLD FRONT IS SET TO ENTER
NORTH TEXAS LATE IN THE WEEKEND ON SUNDAY, HOWEVER THIS FRONTAL
PASSAGE IS EXPECTED TO BE DRY AND WEAKER, ONLY SHAVING A FEW
DEGREES OFF OF HIGH TEMPERATURES EARLY NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 520 PM CST TUE DEC 2 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THIS TAF PERIOD WITH SKC TONIGHT
FOLLOWED BY SCATTERED CIRRUS ON WEDNESDAY. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND
10 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW, FOLLOWED BY A SWITCH
TO NORTH WINDS DUE TO A FROPA AROUND/AFTER 04/00Z.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DALLAS-FT. WORTH 37 62 38 44 / 0 0 10 40
WACO 37 65 44 48 / 0 0 20 50
PARIS 30 57 38 45 / 0 0 10 30
DENTON 34 61 34 42 / 0 0 10 30
MCKINNEY 34 60 37 44 / 0 0 10 40
DALLAS 37 63 40 46 / 0 0 10 40
TERRELL 33 61 40 47 / 0 0 20 50
CORSICANA 37 64 45 51 / 0 0 30 50
TEMPLE 35 66 44 49 / 0 0 20 50
MINERAL WELLS 35 67 36 44 / 0 0 10 30
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...LANGFELD
LONG TERM....LANGFELD
AVIATION...SHAMBURGER
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