614
FXUS64 KFWD 232324
AFDFWD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
624 PM CDT MON MAR 23 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- TEMPERATURES WILL WARM BACK INTO THE 80S AND LOWER 90S THROUGH
MID WEEK WITH A CONTINUED THREAT FOR GRASS FIRES ACROSS THE
REGION.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1158 AM CDT MON MAR 23 2026
AS EXPECTED, YESTERDAY'S FRONT HAS STALLED PRIOR TO CLEARING OUR
BRAZOS VALLEY COUNTIES. AREAS NORTH OF THE FRONT CONTINUE TO
EXPERIENCE NORTH TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS. MEANWHILE, SOUTH OF THE
FRONT, SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS REMAIN IN PLACE. THE DIFFERENT AIR
MASSES WILL LEAD TO COOLER TEMPERATURES IN THE NORTH WITH WARMER
TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE BRAZOS VALLEY.
BY THIS EVENING, THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MIX OUT ENOUGH FOR
SOUTHERLY WINDS TO RETURN TO MUCH OF THE REGION. THIS SHOULD SET
THE REGION BACK IN A WARM AIR ADVECTION REGIME THAT WILL INFLUENCE
OUR SENSIBLE WEATHER THROUGH THE REST OF THE WORK WEEK. TOMORROW'S
HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 80S WITH A LIGHT SOUTHERLY BREEZE
MUCH OF THE DAY.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1158 AM CDT MON MAR 23 2026
MID-LEVEL RIDGING WILL BE IN CONTROL BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK,
DEFLECTING ALL WEATHER SYSTEMS AWAY FROM NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS.
IN THE LOWER LEVELS, PERSISTENT SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL ENSURE
AFTERNOON HIGHS CLIMB INTO THE 80S AND 90S BOTH WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY. GIVEN THE RELATIVELY DRY CONDITIONS IN PLACE, THERE WILL
BE A CONTINUED THREAT FOR INITIAL ATTACK-TYPE GRASS FIRES THROUGH
THE WEEKEND.
A COLD FRONT IS SLATED TO MOVE SOUTHWARD FRIDAY AFTERNOON,
HOWEVER, NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED GIVEN A LACK OF MOISTURE.
TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY ARE EXPECTED TO COOL INTO THE UPPER 60S
TO LOWER 70S. THIS COOL DOWN WILL BE BRIEF AS SOUTHERLY WINDS
RETURN ON SUNDAY AND TEMPERATURES CLIMB INTO THE 80S AND 90S.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 609 PM CDT MON MAR 23 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS AROUND 3 KTS OR LESS WILL BECOME MORE UNIFORMLY
EAST/SOUTHEASTERLY WITHIN THE NEXT 2-3 HOURS BEFORE RETUNING TO
SOUTHERLY BY TUESDAY MORNING. SCT/BKN MID AND HIGH CLOUD COVER
WILL INTERMITTENTLY SPREAD OVERHEAD DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS, BUT
NO LOW CIGS ARE FORECAST UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT BEYOND THE
CURRENT TAF FORECAST PERIOD.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DALLAS-FT. WORTH 59 84 64 88 / 0 0 0 0
WACO 57 86 63 88 / 0 0 0 0
PARIS 53 76 58 87 / 0 0 0 0
DENTON 55 82 60 87 / 0 0 0 0
MCKINNEY 55 81 62 87 / 0 10 0 0
DALLAS 60 85 64 90 / 0 0 0 0
TERRELL 57 83 62 87 / 0 10 0 0
CORSICANA 61 86 64 90 / 0 0 0 0
TEMPLE 59 86 62 89 / 0 0 0 0
MINERAL WELLS 55 86 60 90 / 0 0 0 0
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...HERNANDEZ
LONG TERM....HERNANDEZ
AVIATION...STALLEY
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