852  
FXUS64 KFWD 012349  
AFDFWD  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX  
649 PM CDT TUE JUL 1 2025  
   
..NEW AVIATION  
 
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
- A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS POSSIBLE THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING WITH  
ISOLATED STORMS POSSIBLE (20% CHANCE).  
 
- LOW STORM CHANCES (10-20%) WILL CONTINUE WEDNESDAY THROUGH  
FRIDAY FOR AREAS NEAR/WEST OF U.S. 281.  
 
- SEASONABLE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE WITH HIGHS IN THE 90S AND  
HEAT INDICES BETWEEN 99 TO 103 DEGREES AT TIMES.  
 
 
   
SHORT TERM  
/ISSUED 124 PM CDT TUE JUL 1 2025/  
/TODAY AND WEDNESDAY/  
 
SCATTERED LIGHT AND MOSTLY ELEVATED SHOWERS CONTINUE ACROSS  
PORTIONS OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS AT MIDDAY, EXTENDING INTO OUR RED  
RIVER COUNTIES NORTH OF DFW. THIS ACTIVITY PERSISTS WITHIN AREAS  
OF WEAK LIFT, MODEST MOISTURE CONVERGENCE, AND HIGH PRECIPITABLE  
WATER. MUCH OF IT IS ALSO OCCURRING GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF A  
LINGERING BOUNDARY THAT PUSHED SOUTHWARD THROUGH MUCH OF NORTH  
TEXAS YESTERDAY EVENING.  
 
ALL THAT SAID, WOULD EXPECT MUCH OF THIS LIGHT PRECIPITATION TO  
CONTINUE ON A SCATTERED BASIS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS, WITH A  
STEADY DECREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE OCCURRING TOWARD SUNSET.  
INSTABILITY IS A BIT MORE PRONOUNCED ALONG THE RAGGED EASTERN  
MARGINS OF THE CLOUD FIELD OVER WESTERN NORTH TEXAS, AND BELIEVE  
THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE OF ADDITIONAL CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT  
OCCURRING GENERALLY ALONG THE I-35 CORRIDOR AS TEMPERATURES RISE  
THIS AFTERNOON. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE A POSSIBILITY, THOUGH  
THE CHANCES ARE PRETTY LOW.  
 
VIRTUALLY ALL OF THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD CEASE BY THIS EVENING,  
AND A PARTIAL EROSION OF CLOUD COVER SHOULD OCCUR OVERNIGHT.  
PARTLY CLOUDY AND HUMID CONDITIONS - TYPICAL OF EARLY JULY -  
SHOULD DOMINATE NORTH TEXAS WEDNESDAY, AS WEAK MID-LEVEL  
SUBSIDENCE REASSERTS ITSELF.  
 
BRADSHAW  
 
 
   
LONG TERM  
/ISSUED 124 PM CDT TUE JUL 1 2025/  
/THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/  
 
A NARROW RIDGE OF MID LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ORIENTED  
OVER EASTERN TEXAS THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK, PROVIDING A MOIST  
SOUTHWESTERLY UPPER FLOW ACROSS THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF OUR  
REGION. GOOD DEEP LAYER MOISTURE OVER THIS AREA SHOULD HELP  
FACILITATE AT LEAST WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
ACROSS OUR FAR WESTERN COUNTIES WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. PARTIAL  
CLOUDINESS ELSEWHERE ACROSS NORTH TEXAS SHOULD THANKFULLY HELP  
RESTRAIN DAYTIME HIGHS FROM REACHING ABOVE THE MID 90S THROUGH THE  
END OF THE 4TH OF JULY WEEK.  
 
AS WE REACH THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND, THE MEAN UPPER RIDGE WILL  
RETROGRADE TO AN AXIS WEST OF OUR REGION. THIS WILL LIMIT ANY  
DAILY RAIN CHANCES TO ALL EXCEPT THE RED RIVER COUNTIES OF NORTH  
TEXAS. AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL CLIMB INCREMENTALLY INTO THE MID AND  
UPPER 90S, WITH HEAT INDICES ONCE AGAIN APPROACHING HEAT ADVISORY  
CRITERIA IN SOME LOCATIONS BY SUNDAY AND MONDAY OF THE UPCOMING  
WORK WEEK.  
 
BRADSHAW  
 
 
   
AVIATION  
/NEW/  
/00Z TAFS/  
 
THE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM THAT DEVELOPED NEAR KDAL HAS SINCE  
DISSIPATED AND THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY/WIND SHIFT HAS WASHED OUT  
BEFORE REACHING KDFW. VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL AT ALL TERMINALS WITH  
NORTH TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS AT AROUND 8 KTS OR LESS. WINDS WILL  
REMAIN LIGHT AND AT TIMES VARIABLE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE  
FORECAST PERIOD. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE  
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DEVELOP WEST OF D10 OVERNIGHT (NEAR AND  
SOUTH/WEST OF KABI) AND SHOULD PRIMARILY SPREAD NORTH TOWARD THE  
RED RIVER, WITH NO IMPACTS TO ANY OF THE TAF SITES ANTICIPATED.  
 
12  
 
 
   
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT  
 
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.  
 
 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS  
 
DALLAS-FT. WORTH 77 94 76 92 77 / 5 10 5 10 20  
WACO 76 94 75 90 75 / 5 5 5 20 10  
PARIS 72 91 74 91 74 / 5 5 5 10 5  
DENTON 73 93 74 92 74 / 5 10 5 10 20  
MCKINNEY 74 93 75 93 75 / 5 10 5 10 10  
DALLAS 78 94 77 92 77 / 5 10 5 10 10  
TERRELL 74 94 74 93 75 / 5 10 5 10 10  
CORSICANA 77 96 76 94 76 / 5 5 5 10 10  
TEMPLE 74 95 74 92 74 / 5 10 5 20 10  
MINERAL WELLS 74 92 74 91 74 / 20 20 10 20 30  
 
 
   
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
NONE.  
 
 
 
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