239
FXUS64 KFWD 232352
AFDFWD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
652 PM CDT THU JUL 23 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- A HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH AND
CENTRAL TEXAS THROUGH 8 PM TONIGHT. A HEAT ADVISORY WILL BE IN
EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS TOMORROW. HEAT INDEX VALUES
UP TO 109 DEGREES ARE EXPECTED.
- ADDITIONAL HEAT ADVISORIES MAY BE NEEDED THROUGH THE REMAINDER
OF THE WEEK AND WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 140 PM CDT THU JUL 23 2026
HOT AND GENERALLY RAIN-FREE WEATHER WILL PREVAIL AS WE CLOSE OUT
ANOTHER WORK WEEK. FORTUNATELY, IT WON'T FEEL NEARLY AS HOT AS
YESTERDAY, AS HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL PEAK BETWEEN 100-109 DEGREES
INSTEAD OF 110-120. A HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF
THE REGION THROUGH 8 PM THIS EVENING.
MOISTURE WILL SURGE NORTHWARD AS TROPICAL STORM BERTHA MAKES
LANDFALL, EVIDENCED BY AN INTRUSION OF LOW STRATUS INTO NORTH AND
CENTRAL TEXAS OVERNIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. THERE WILL ALSO BE
A VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR A STRAY SHOWER ACROSS OUR FAR SOUTHERN
ZONES AS BERTHA MOVES FURTHER INLAND. CLOUDS WILL SCATTER OUT
AROUND MIDDAY, WITH MOSTLY SUNNY CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL ACTUALLY REMAIN BELOW THE 100
DEGREE MARK ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. HOWEVER, A HEAT ADVISORY
WILL BE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS AS HEAT INDEX VALUES
WILL STILL CLIMB TO AROUND 105 TO 108 DEGREES IN SOME AREAS.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 140 PM CDT THU JUL 23 2026
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE OUR WEATHER PATTERN
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD, WITH WIDESPREAD
TRIPLE DIGIT TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO RETURN SUNDAY THROUGH THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. A PASSING SHORTWAVE TROUGH MAY BRING SOME
CLOUD COVER TO THE AREA ON SATURDAY, BUT THERE ARE NO STRONG
SIGNALS FOR RAIN CHANCES FOR THE NEXT WEEK. THIS MAY CHANGE AS WE
HEAD INTO THE FIRST FEW DAYS OF AUGUST, BUT FOR NOW, HOT AND DRY
WEATHER WILL PERSIST FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE. HEAT HEADLINES
WILL LIKELY CONTINUE FOR AT LEAST PART OF THE WEEKEND THROUGH MUCH
OF NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 633 PM CDT THU JUL 23 2026
THROUGH THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS, NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS WILL
REMAIN ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE PRESSURE FIELD ASSOCIATED
WITH WEAKENING TROPICAL STORM BERTHA, NOW LOCATED OVER SOUTHEAST
TEXAS. STEADY EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS, CURRENTLY AT 10-15 KNOTS AT
ALL D10 TAF SITES, WILL VEER WITH TIME AS THE REMNANT TROPICAL
SYSTEM SLIDES WESTWARD TOWARD THE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO REGION AND
OPEN UP AS A TROUGH AFTER 06Z. SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL PREVAIL AT
THE METROPLEX TAF SITES AND WACO FROM 04Z THROUGH 17Z FRIDAY,
AVERAGING 10-13 KNOTS, ULTIMATELY VEERING TO THE SOUTH AFTER 17Z.
IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE INLAND PROGRESSION OF BERTHA'S REMAINS, A
SHIELD OF MVFR CLOUDS WILL MIGRATE NORTHWESTWARD TONIGHT, REACHING
WACO BY AROUND 07Z, AND THE DFW-AREA TAF SITES AROUND 10Z. BKN020
TO BKN025 CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL ACROSS D10 THROUGH 17Z, THOUGH
A FEW SPOTS MAY EXPERIENCE SOME SLIGHTLY LOWER CIGS FOR A PERIOD
OF TIME BETWEEN 11Z AND 15Z. MECHANICAL MIXING AND MORNING HEATING
SHOULD FACILITATE AN EROSION OF THIS CLOUDCOVER BY LATE MORNING,
LEADING TO SCT030 TO SCT060 FROM 17Z ONWARD.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DALLAS-FT. WORTH 80 97 80 99 / 0 0 0 0
WACO 79 95 77 97 / 0 10 0 0
PARIS 77 93 77 95 / 0 0 0 0
DENTON 79 97 80 100 / 0 0 0 0
MCKINNEY 78 95 79 99 / 0 0 0 0
DALLAS 80 98 81 100 / 0 0 0 0
TERRELL 77 96 77 98 / 0 10 0 0
CORSICANA 79 96 77 98 / 0 10 0 0
TEMPLE 79 95 76 97 / 10 10 0 0
MINERAL WELLS 77 97 77 99 / 0 0 0 0
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR TXZ091>093.
HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR TXZ100>104-116>121-
131>134.
HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR TXZ105>107-115-122-
123-129-130-135-141>148-156>162-174-175.
SHORT TERM...BARNES
LONG TERM....BARNES
AVIATION...BRADSHAW
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