746
FXUS64 KFWD 251150
AFDFWD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
550 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2026
..NEW UPDATE, SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
KEY MESSAGES
- WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS TRAVEL IMPACTS DUE TO WINTRY PRECIPITATION
WILL CONTINUE ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS TODAY. ALTHOUGH
PRECIPITATION WILL END LATER TODAY, TRAVEL IMPACTS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
- STRONG WINDS ALONG WITH ICE ON TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES COULD
CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES TODAY AND SUNDAY.
- LIFE-THREATENING COLD WIND CHILLS AS LOW AS 10 BELOW ZERO AT
TIMES THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING WILL RESULT IN HYPOTHERMIA AND
FROSTBITE IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.
- A LONG DURATION OF BELOW-FREEZING TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH TUESDAY WHICH WILL INCREASE THE RISK OF BROKEN PIPES
AND WATER DAMAGE.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 539 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2026
THE BULK OF THE PRECIPITATION IS CONTINUING TO MOVE EAST WITH
SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN STILL ONGOING ACROSS THE BRAZOS VALLEY AND
OUR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES. ALONG AND WEST OF THE I-35 CORRIDOR,
LIGHT SNOW IS OCCURRING, HOWEVER, ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS WILL
REMAIN MINIMAL TO NONE. AREA ROADS REMAIN SNOW AND ICE COVERED,
MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DIFFICULT.
ASIDE FROM THE ONGOING PRECIPITATION, WE'LL CONTINUE TO MONITOR
THE POTENTIAL FOR LAKE EFFECT SNOW SOUTH/SOUTHEAST OF AREA LAKES
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE MAIN AREA FOR THIS TO OCCUR WILL
BE ALONG AND EAST OF THE I-35 CORRIDOR WHERE THE LOWER-LEVELS
WILL REMAIN MORE MOIST. GIVEN THE LIGHT NATURE OF THE LAKE EFFECT
SNOW, ACCUMULATIONS ARE UNLIKELY.
HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL REMAIN IN THE TEENS TO MID 20S ACROSS
THE REGION, THEREFORE, EXPECT MINIMAL IMPROVEMENTS TO AREA ROADS
TODAY/TONIGHT.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 117 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2026
ONGOING WARNINGS
- ICE STORM AND WINTER STORM WARNING THROUGH NOON TODAY
- EXTREME COLD WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING
PRECIPITATION
- NORTH TEXAS AND MUCH OF CENTRAL TEXAS IS NOW COVERED WITH A
COMBINATION OF ICE, SLEET AND SNOW.
- WIDESPREAD SLEET IS OCCURRING ACROSS NORTH TEXAS WITH MANY
LOCATIONS ALONG THE RED RIVER SWITCHING OVER TO SNOW IN THE
COMING HOURS.
- A COMBINATION OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
THE BRAZOS VALLEY AND OUR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES. LIGHTNING
WITHIN THE EMBEDDED SLEET SHOWERS WILL GENERATE LOCALIZED HIGHER
ACCUMULATIONS OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN.
- SLEET/SNOW: ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF .5 TO 1 INCH OF SLEET
AND SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE ON TOP OF WHAT HAS ALREADY FALLEN IN
NORTH TEXAS. FOR CENTRAL TEXAS, UP TO A HALF AN INCH OF
ADDITIONAL SLEET CAN BE EXPECTED.
- ICE: ADDITIONAL ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF A TRACE TO ISOLATED
QUARTER INCH OF ICE WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL TEXAS. THE
HIGHEST ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR WITHIN THE ICE
STORM WARNING.
- WIDESPREAD SLEET WILL TAPER OFF INTO SNOW ACROSS NORTH TEXAS
AFTER SUNRISE TODAY. THE BULK OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL THEN
MOVE EAST BY NOON.
- LIGHT SNOW MAY DEVELOP ACROSS NORTH TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON;
ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS WILL REMAIN CONFINED TO THE IMMEDIATE
RED RIVER COUNTIES.
- LAKE EFFECT SNOW FLURRIES MAY DEVELOP SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST OF
AREA LAKES THIS AFTERNOON. AT THIS TIME, ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED.
TEMPERATURES
- THIS MORNING'S TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE SINGLE DIGITS
TO MID TEENS WEST OF I-35. MID TO UPPER TEENS ARE EXPECTED EAST
OF I-35.
- WIND CHILLS WILL ALONG AND WEST OF I-35 WILL RANGE FROM 5 BELOW
ZERO TO 7 DEGREES. EAST OF I-35, EXPECT WIND CHILLS IN THE
SINGLE DIGITS TO TEENS.
- COLDER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH TEMPERATURES
RANGING FROM 3 BELOW ZERO TO LOWER LOWER TEENS. WIND CHILLS WILL
RANGE FROM 13 BELOW ZERO TO 0 DEGREES.
-TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW THE FREEZING MARK THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING. BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON, TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE REGION
WILL BE ABOVE FREEZING.
-- DISCUSSION --
LARGE-SCALE TROUGHING ACROSS THE COUNTRY CONTINUES TO DRAW
EMBEDDED SHORTWAVES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS, WITH ONE MAKING
ITS WAY ATOP NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS AT THIS TIME. THIS SHORTWAVE
IS SPREADING A LARGE SWATH OF FORCING FOR ASCENT ACROSS THE
REGION, WITH AN ONGOING MIX OF PRECIPITATION. TEMPERATURE PROFILES
VARY GREATLY FROM NORTH TO SOUTH, WITH A WARM LAYER SAMPLED BY
THE LATEST FWD WEATHER BALLOON. THIS LAYER OF WARM AIR CONTINUES
TO BE THE CULPRIT BEHIND CONTINUED SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN ACROSS
THE REGION. THE COLD AIR, HOWEVER, WILL BEGIN DEEPENING THIS
MORNING WITH A SWITCH OVER TO SLEET AND SNOW, THEN LIKELY ALL SNOW
ON THE BACK EDGE OF THE PRECIPITATION. THIS TRANSITION WILL
LIKELY OCCUR FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHWEST AFTER SUNRISE. WITH MID-
LEVEL COLD AIR ADVECTION IN PLACE, WEAK SUBSIDENCE WILL GRADUALLY
DRIVE WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION AWAY FROM NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS.
THE EXCEPTION WILL BE ALONG AND NORTH OF THE I-20 CORRIDOR WHERE A
SECONDARY TRAILING SHORTWAVE MAY PROVIDE JUST ENOUGH LIFT TO
SQUEEZE OUT A FEW MORE SNOWFLAKES DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
GIVEN THE ONGOING FREEZING TEMPERATURES, ANY SNOW THAT DOES FALL
WILL ADD TO THE ACCUMULATIONS ALREADY IN PLACE. THE LIGHT NATURE
OF ANY AFTERNOON SNOW WILL KEEP ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS TO A
MINIMUM. IN ADDITION TO THE PASSING SHORTWAVE, AREA LAKES REMAIN
WARM AND WILL PROVIDE ADDITIONAL MOISTURE TO WARRANT A MENTION OF
LAKE- EFFECT SNOW FLURRIES SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST OF NORTH-SOUTH
ORIENTED LAKES. AGAIN, ACCUMULATIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED AS SNOW
INTENSITY WITHIN ANY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL REMAIN LIGHT.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE IN OVERNIGHT, LEADING TO LIGHT
TO CALM WINDS ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION. WITH PARTIAL CLEAR OF
CLOUDS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT, RADIATIONAL COOLING WILL ALLOW FOR
TEMPERATURES TO DIP INTO THE NEGATIVE TERRITORY WEST AND
NORTHWEST OF THE DALLAS/FORT WORTH METROPLEX. ELSEWHERE, SINGLE
DIGITS TO LOWER TEENS ARE EXPECTED. WIND CHILLS WILL BE A FEW
DEGREES COLDER. REMEMBER YOUR 4 PS - PEOPLE, PETS, PIPES AND
PLANTS! HOPEFULLY BY NOW, YOUR PIPES AND PLANTS ARE TAKEN CARE OF!
CHECK IN WITH YOUR FAMILY AND FRIENDS AND DON'T LEAVE PETS
OUTDOORS DURING THIS EXTREME COLD.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 117 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2026
-TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW THE FREEZING MARK THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING. BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON, TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE REGION
WILL BE ABOVE FREEZING.
- BLACK ICE WILL BECOME A CONCERN EACH NIGHT AS A THAW-FREEZE
CYCLE OCCURS EACH DAY.
NEXT WEEKEND'S SYSTEM
- A COLD FRONT ARRIVES ON FRIDAY, SUPPLYING ANOTHER ROUND OF COLD
TEMPERATURES.
- TEMPERATURES WILL NOT BE AS COLD AS THEY CURRENTLY ARE RIGHT
NOW.
- PRECIPITATION CHANCES DO ARRIVE ON SATURDAY, HOWEVER,
CONFIDENCE IN PRECIPITATION LOCATION AND TEMPERATURE PROFILE
REMAIN LOW. THIS WILL CHANGE THROUGHOUT THE COURSE OF THE WEEK.
AS MENTIONED IN THE SHORT-TERM DISCUSSION, EXTREME COLD
TEMPERATURES WILL ONCE AGAIN BE IN PLACE THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT WITH
SINGLE DIGITS TO MID-TEENS IN PLACE. IT WON'T BE UNTIL TUESDAY
WHEN TEMPERATURES SURGE ABOVE FREEZING, ALLOWING FOR A WIDESPREAD
THAW TO COMMENCE. THE CONCERN GOING FORWARD WILL BE THE DEVELOPMENT
OF BLACK ICE AS DAYTIME THAWING LEADS TO WET ROADS DURING THE
DAY. AS SOON AS THE SUN SETS, RAPID FREEZING CAN BE EXPECTED
MAKING FOR CONTINUED SLICK SPOTS ACROSS THE REGION.
WEAK RIDGING WILL BE IN PLACE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY, HOWEVER,
TEMPERATURES WILL STILL REMAIN BELOW NORMAL AS HIGHS WILL ONLY BE
IN THE 30S AND 40S. OVERNIGHT, TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BE
THE TEENS AND 20S.
A STRONG COLD FRONT LOOKS TO ARRIVE FRIDAY NIGHT AS ANOTHER ROUND
OF TROUGHING ENGULFS THE EASTERN CONUS. THERE IS STILL A LARGE
DEGREE OF UNCERTAINTY IN THE TEMPERATURE FORECAST FOR THIS
WEEKEND. AS THE COLD AIR MOVES IN, A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE
ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO AND INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. AGAIN, THE
EXACT TRACK OF THE SHORTWAVE IS UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME, HOWEVER,
IT'LL BE SOMETHING WE'LL CONTINUE TO MONITOR OVER THE COMING DAYS.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 522 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2026
LIGHT SNOW ASSOCIATED WITH A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL WORK ITS WAY
EAST ACROSS THE DFW METROPLEX OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS, ADDING
SOME ADDITIONAL LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS TO THE MOSTLY SLEET-COVERED
LANDSCAPE. MVFR CIGS AND VSBYS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS PRECIPITATION
WILL PERSIST THROUGH AROUND MIDDAY BEFORE MOVING EAST OF AREA
AIRPORTS THIS AFTERNOON. KACT WILL BE SOUTH OF THE MAIN PRECIP
SHIELD, BUT SHOULD STILL EXPERIENCE OCCASIONAL -SNPL THROUGH LATE
MORNING. CIGS WILL REMAIN INTACT EVEN AFTER PRECIP TAPERS OFF,
WITH VFR EVENTUALLY ARRIVING AROUND 03Z THIS EVENING. OTHERWISE,
NORTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 539 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2026
GROUND TRUTH REPORTS ARE VITAL FOR KEEPING THE COMMUNITY SAFE. IF
YOU HAVE ICE, SNOW OR SLEET MEASUREMENTS, PLEASE SEND THOSE TO US
VIA EMAIL OR SOCIAL MEDIA. OUR EMAIL IS NWS.FORTWORTH@NOAA.GOV.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DALLAS-FT. WORTH 21 9 29 15 / 20 0 0 0
WACO 24 12 28 10 / 10 0 0 0
PARIS 20 7 29 6 / 30 10 0 0
DENTON 19 0 28 8 / 30 0 0 0
MCKINNEY 20 5 28 10 / 30 0 0 0
DALLAS 22 10 29 13 / 20 0 0 0
TERRELL 23 7 28 10 / 20 0 0 0
CORSICANA 26 12 31 14 / 20 0 0 0
TEMPLE 25 9 32 11 / 10 0 0 0
MINERAL WELLS 19 3 29 10 / 20 0 0 0
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR TXZ091>095-100>107-
115>121-123-129>134-141>146-156>161-174-175.
EXTREME COLD WARNING UNTIL 9 AM CST TUESDAY FOR TXZ091>095-
100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175.
ICE STORM WARNING UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR TXZ122-135-147-148-
162.
SHORT TERM...HERNANDEZ
LONG TERM....HERNANDEZ
AVIATION...30
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