292
FXUS64 KFWD 290010
AFDFWD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
610 PM CST SUN DEC 28 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH NORTH TEXAS TODAY WITH
NORTH WINDS INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 MPH AND OCCASIONAL WIND GUSTS
TO 50 MPH. SHARPLY COLDER AIR WILL SPILL SOUTH OVERNIGHT. WIND
CHILLS WILL BE IN THE TEENS AND 20S LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY
MONDAY.
- BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY WITH A
WARMUP EXPECTED THROUGH THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1115 AM CST SUN DEC 28 2025
A POWERFUL UPPER TROUGH IS MOVING THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS AT
THIS HOUR AND WILL SEND A STRONG COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION
THIS AFTERNOON. RIGHT NOW THE FRONT IS MOVING THROUGH CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA AND WILL ENTER OUR NORTHWEST COUNTIES OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS. WINDS HAVE ALREADY BEGUN TO VEER AROUND TO THE WEST-
SOUTHWEST AND WILL EVENTUALLY COME AROUND TO THE NORTHWEST THIS
AFTERNOON. STRONG PRESSURE RISES BEHIND THE FRONT WILL SUPPORT
GUSTY WINDS THROUGH THE LATE EVENING HOURS, SOME OF WHICH MAY TOP
50 MPH AT TIMES. THE CURRENT WIND ADVISORY ADDRESSES THIS AND NO
CHANGES ARE NEEDED AT THIS TIME.
THERE IS STILL A LOW CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND PERHAPS A RUMBLE OF
THUNDER ACROSS OUR SOUTHEAST COUNTIES LATE THIS AFTERNOON AS THE
FRONT PROGRESSES SOUTHWARD, BUT MOISTURE IS CONFINED TO A NARROW
AXIS ACROSS OUR FAR EASTERN COUNTIES AND WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION
IS NOT EXPECTED.
THE OTHER CONCERN THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WILL BE THE POTENTIAL
FOR ELEVATED FIRE ACTIVITY GIVEN THE STRONG WINDS AND LOWERING
HUMIDITY BEHIND THE FRONT. THIS CONCERN WILL BE GREATEST ACROSS
OUR NORTHWEST COUNTIES WHERE WINDS WILL FREQUENTLY GUST TO 40+ MPH
AND RH DROPS TO 25 TO 35% INTO THE EVENING HOURS. WHILE LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE IS MARGINAL TO SUPPORT FIRE ACTIVITY, THE STRONG WINDS
AND RECENT DRY SPELL MAY LEAD TO AN UPTICK IN FIRE STARTS THROUGH
LATE EVENING.
TEMPERATURES WILL PLUNGE INTO THE MID/UPPER 20S NORTH OF I-20
TONIGHT AND INTO THE 30S ELSEWHERE WHICH WILL BE IN SHARP CONTRAST
TO THE LAST WEEK. WIND CHILLS MONDAY MORNING WILL BE IN THE TEENS
AND LOW 20S. HIGHS ON MONDAY WILL TOP OUT IN THE LOW TO MID 40S
BUT NORTH WINDS WILL MAKE IT FEEL MUCH COLDER.
DUNN
LONG TERM
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1115 AM CST SUN DEC 28 2025
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL HELP KEEP
THINGS QUIET FOR MUCH OF THE WEEK WITH A GRADUAL WARMUP EXPECTED
THROUGH FRIDAY WHERE TEMPERATURES WILL AGAIN BE BACK IN THE 70S
AND LOWER 80S. A COUPLE OF FAST MOVING SHORTWAVES WILL RACE
THROUGH THE PLAINS FRIDAY AND OVER THE WEEKEND, BUT AS OF NOW,
SHOULD HAVE LITTLE IMPACT ON OUR WEATHER OTHER THAN TO KNOCK A FEW
DEGREES OFF OF AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES. ANY PRECIPITATION
LOOKS LIKE IT WILL REMAIN DISPLACED TO OUR EAST INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK.
DUNN
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 603 PM CST SUN DEC 28 2025
GUSTY NORTH WINDS BEHIND A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PERSIST THROUGH
AT LEAST MIDNIGHT LOCAL TONIGHT BEFORE WEAKENING TO 10-15 KT
07-09Z. VELOCITIES WILL INCREASE AGAIN TO 15G25KT AROUND 15Z
MONDAY AS THE STRONGER 925MB WINDS MIX TO THE SURFACE. WIND SPEEDS
WILL FURTHER SUBSIDE MONDAY NIGHT AS DECOUPLING COINCIDES WITH THE
ARRIVAL OF THE POST-FRONTAL SURFACE RIDGE. CONDITIONS SHOULD
OTHERWISE REMAIN VFR THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DALLAS-FT. WORTH 33 44 29 52 / 0 0 0 0
WACO 36 45 29 51 / 10 0 0 0
PARIS 29 42 24 47 / 0 0 0 0
DENTON 31 44 23 53 / 0 0 0 0
MCKINNEY 32 44 24 51 / 0 0 0 0
DALLAS 35 45 29 52 / 0 0 0 0
TERRELL 33 45 25 51 / 0 0 0 0
CORSICANA 36 46 29 52 / 10 0 0 0
TEMPLE 37 44 32 54 / 10 0 0 0
MINERAL WELLS 29 45 24 56 / 0 0 0 0
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 3 AM CST MONDAY FOR TXZ091>095-100>107-
115>120-129.
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CST MONDAY FOR TXZ121>123-130>135-
141>148-156>162-174-175.
SHORT TERM...DUNN
LONG TERM....DUNN
AVIATION...30
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