851
FXUS64 KSHV 081827
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1227 PM CST MON DEC 8 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1119 PM CST SUN DEC 7 2025
- BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN IN PLACE MONDAY AHEAD OF
A WARMING TREND HEADING INTO MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.
- DRY CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH
MUCH OF THE COMING WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1119 PM CST SUN DEC 7 2025
THE COLD FRONT THAT WAS MOVING THROUGH THE REGION HAS MOVED WELL
TO THE SOUTHEAST THIS EVENING ALONG WITH THE ASSOCIATED LIGHT
RAINFALL THAT CAME WITH IT. IN THE WAKE OF THIS PASSING FRONT,
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION QUICKLY, TAKING
OVER THE AREA BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING. MEANWHILE, WE WILL BE UNDER
THE INFLUENCE OF NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT ON MONDAY. BECAUSE OF ALL
THIS, TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLER ON MONDAY, WITH HIGHS RANGING
FROM THE UPPER 40S TO MID-50S ACROSS THE REGION. MONDAY NIGHT
WILL PROBABLY BE ONE OF THE COOLEST NIGHTS OF THE UPCOMING WEEK
WITH LOWS DIPPING INTO THE LOWER 30S ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF THE
REGION.
A WARMING TREND COMMENCES ON TUESDAY, PEAKING ON EITHER THURSDAY
OR FRIDAY AS ANOTHER DRY COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA FROM
THE NORTH. EARLIER MODELS INDICATED THIS FRONT WOULD MOVE THROUGH
THE AREA ON THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY, BUT IT APPEARS THE
PROGRESSION HAS SLOWED DOWN SOME. EITHER WAY, THIS FRONT WILL
USHER IN SOME BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR NEXT WEEKEND ACROSS
THE REGION. THERE ARE SOME INDICATIONS THAT OUR NEXT CHANCE FOR
PRECIPITATION WILL COME TOWARDS THE END OF THIS PERIOD, BUT THERE
IS MUCH UNCERTAINTY AT THIS TIME, AS EXPECTED. /33/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1154 AM CST MON DEC 8 2025
A MIX OF VFR AND MVFR THIS AFTERNOON AS THE CLOUDS ARE ATTEMPTING
TO ERODE ACROSS THE CENTRAL AIRSPACE WITH BKN/OVC STILL GOING STRONG
ACROSS THE EAST. TO THE WEST, SKC IS IN PLACE AND IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN UNTIL ANY BR/FG POTENTIAL MATERIALIZES OVERNIGHT. THIS WILL
BE IMPORTANT AS OVERNIGHT TEMPS FALL TO NEAR OR BELOW FREEZING,
WITH BR/FG POTENTIAL THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THOUGH THE
CURRENT TAF PACKAGE DOES NOT SPECIFICALLY MENTION IT DUE TO
LIMITED CONFIDENCE AT THIS TIME, AND UNCERTAINTY SURROUNDING HOW
FAST THE EASTERN CIGS ERODE, THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR FREEZING
FG AT LOCAL TERMINALS OVERNIGHT. ICING ON PARKED OR UNTREATED
AIRCRAFT MAY BE POSSIBLE DEPENDING ON THE EXTENT OF THE FG
DEVELOPMENT. IF CONFIDENCE INCREASES, AN UPDATE WILL ADD THIS
VERBIAGE IN THE 00Z PACKAGE. FOR NOW, THE POTENTIAL IS THERE, THUS
THE REASON FOR MESSAGING IN THE DISCUSSION. WHAT FOG DOES DEVELOP
SHOULD QUICKLY BURN OFF THROUGH THE AM WITH A BRIEF FEW/SCT
PERIOD AHEAD OF WHAT LOOKS TO BE A MOSTLY SKC PERIOD AS WINDS
SHIFT SOUTHERLY BY MORNING.
53
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 539 AM CST SUN DEC 7 2025
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 35 60 46 65 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 32 57 41 64 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 29 58 37 61 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 33 60 44 62 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 29 56 41 62 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 35 62 46 65 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 32 61 44 65 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 34 63 44 69 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...33
AVIATION...53
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