629
FXUS64 KSHV 101736
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1236 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1219 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025
- DRY AND QUIET CONDITIONS CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION AS WE HEAD
INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.
- THOUGH TEMPERATURES ARE MILD NOW, A SLOW CLIMB BACK TOWARDS THE
LOWER 90'S IS EXPECTED AS WE HEAD INTO NEXT WEEK.
- NO MEASURABLE RAINFALL IS CURRENTLY EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT
SEVEN DAYS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1219 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025
THE FOUR STATE REGION REMAINS STUCK IN THE MIDDLE OF TWO WEATHER
SYSTEMS ACROSS THE CONUS. BETWEEN TROUGHING ACROSS THE SE CONUS
THAT WILL SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF A COASTAL LOW ALONG THE MID-
ATLANTIC STATES, AND A LARGE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE APPROACHING
THE PNW, AMPLIFIED RIDGING BISECTS THE COUNTRY, WITH LOCAL
INFLUENCE EXPECTED TO ONLY INCREASE AS THE RIDGE SLIDES EAST
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. LOCALLY, THIS WILL KEEP THE REGION DRY WHILE
ALSO ALLOWING FOR AFTERNOON HIGHS TO CREEP CLOSER TO 90 DEG F FOR
THE START OF NEXT WEEK. THE GOOD NEWS IN THIS IS THAT BOTH
DETERMINISTIC GUIDANCE AND NBM OUTPUT DEPICT DEW POINTS TO REMAIN
IN THE UPPER 50'S TO NEAR 60 DEG F. SO WHILE THE ACTUAL
TEMPERATURE MAY RETURN TO THE 90'S, HUMIDITY WILL BE TOLERABLE.
LOOKING TO NEXT WEEK, AND AS PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED, THE PATTERN
REMAINS BENIGN FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE AS THE INFLUENCE OF THE
RIDGE KEEPS THE FA IN A DRY AND WARM STATE. WHILE NOT NORMALLY
DISCUSSED IN THIS PORTION, GIVEN THE PROLONGED DRY PERIOD, AND A
NOTICEABLE UPTICK IN LOCAL DROUGHT CONDITIONS, FIRE WEATHER DUE TO
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND DRY SOILS WILL NEED TO BE CLOSELY
MONITORED IN THE COMING DAYS. THIS CONCERN WILL ONLY INCREASE AS
THE RIDGE REMAINS PARKED OVERHEAD, WITH ANY CHANCE FOR MOISTURE
ROUNDING THE RIDGE ON THE WESTERN AND NORTHERN SIDE.
53
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 645 AM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025
FOR THE 10/12Z TAF PERIOD...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE
AREAWIDE, WITH LITTLE CLOUD COVER TODAY. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL
BECOME LIGHT/VARIABLE TO CALM BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. /20/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1223 AM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 61 87 63 89 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 58 86 58 87 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 58 84 57 86 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 60 89 61 90 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 55 84 56 85 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 60 88 62 89 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 58 87 60 88 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 58 89 60 88 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...53
AVIATION...20
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