765
FXUS64 KSHV 051817
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1217 PM CST FRI DEC 5 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 955 AM CST FRI DEC 5 2025
- DAMP AND DREARY CONDITIONS WILL STICK AROUND UNTIL SUNSHINE
RETURNS ON SUNDAY.
- A WARMING TREND WILL BRING TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE MID AND
UPPER 60S BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
- THE NEXT EARLIEST OPPORTUNITY FOR COOL TEMPERATURES AND RAIN
MAY COME LATE NEXT WEEK OR EARLY NEXT WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 955 AM CST FRI DEC 5 2025
THE FINAL AREAS OF LIGHT RAIN OR DRIZZLE IN OUR FAR SOUTHEASTERN
ZONES SHOULD END THIS EVENING AS THE FORECAST PERIOD BEGINS,
LEAVING THE REGION CHILLY AND DRY THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE
RECENT RAINFALL AND ALREADY MOIST AIR MASS PRESENT WILL CREATE A
RISK FOR FOG EARLY TOMORROW MORNING, ESPECIALLY FOR THE WESTERN
HALF OF THE CWA. AS OF NOW, THE FOG IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN PATCHY.
HOWEVER, THE EVENING FORECAST PACKAGE MAY UPDATE THE FOG COVERAGE
OR INTENSITY DEPENDING ON FUTURE MODEL RUNS. THE REGION WILL
REMAIN CLOUDY UNTIL A DRIER AIRMASS MOVES IN FROM THE NORTHWEST ON
SUNDAY.
A WINTERTIME NORTHWEST FLOW PATTERN WILL HELP KEEP CONDITIONS DRY
AND CLEAR FOR NEXT WEEK. AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR
AVERAGE FOR THE FIRST PART OF THE WEEK-- MOSTLY IN THE UPPER 50S
TO LOW 60S. THE COMBINATION OF CLEAR SKIES, SUBSIDENCE, AND A
SOUTHERLY WIND SHIFT WILL BEGIN A WARMING TREND MIDWEEK AND BRING
UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES BACK TO THE AREA. MUCH OF THE
REGION COULD SEE TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S BY WEDNESDAY
OR THURSDAY. LONG RANGE MODELS ARE BEGINNING TO HINT AT A LOW TO
MID-LEVEL BOUNDARY MOVING THROUGH THE FOUR STATE REGION DURING THE
DAY ON FRIDAY, WHICH WILL LIKELY BE THE EARLIEST THAT WE COULD SEE
COOLER AIR AND RAIN CHANCES RETURN.
57
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1157 AM CST FRI DEC 5 2025
FOR THE 05/18Z TAFS, FLIGHT CONDITIONS VARY BETWEEN VFR AND IFR,
BUT MVFR CEILINGS PREVAIL IN MOST LOCATIONS. VERY LITTLE, IF ANY,
IMPROVEMENT IS EXPECTED FOR MOST OF THE TAF PERIOD. CLOUD COVER SHOULD
INCREASE IN COVERAGE BETWEEN 06/00Z-06/06Z, AND CEILINGS MAY ALSO
DETERIORATE INTO THE IFR RANGE IN A FEW PLACES. A GRADUAL IMPROVE
BACK INTO THE VFR AT MOST TAF SITES EXCEPT KTXK AFTER 06/12Z.
OTHERWISE, SURFACE WINDS WILL GENERALLY REMAIN LIGHT AND VARIABLE,
BUT SHOULD GENERALLY BECOMING SOUTHEASTERLY AREAWIDE AFTER
DAYBREAK SATURDAY MORNING.
/09/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 553 AM CST FRI DEC 5 2025
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 49 39 61 50 / 0 10 0 0
MLU 48 38 58 45 / 0 10 0 0
DEQ 47 31 54 38 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 48 35 58 44 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 45 31 56 42 / 0 10 0 0
TYR 51 39 63 47 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 50 37 63 47 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 52 40 66 50 / 10 10 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...57
AVIATION...09
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