890
FXUS64 KSHV 021736
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1236 PM CDT TUE SEP 2 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1243 AM CDT TUE SEP 2 2025
- A WEAK COOL FRONT WILL GIVE US A CHANCE TO SEE A FEW SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON.
- DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED FROM MID TO LATE WEEK.
- THE WARMEST DAYS THIS WEEK WILL COME AT THE END OF THE WEEK
WITH A HIGHS IN THE MID 90S, WITH MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES LATE
IN THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1114 AM CDT TUE SEP 2 2025
WEAK DISTURBANCES WITHIN MID-LEVEL FLOW ALOFT COMBINED WITH AN
APPROACHING FRONTAL BOUNDARY FROM THE NORTHWEST WILL ALLOW FOR A
FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. HIGH
TEMPERATURES TO RANGE FROM THE MID 80S TO THE AROUND 90 DEGREES
THIS AFTERNOON. ANY LINGERING CONVECTION THIS EVENING SHOULD
DISSIPATE BY MIDNIGHT WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS FORECAST TO FALL INTO
THE UPPER 60S TO AROUND 70 DEGREES.
A FEW DIURNALLY DRIVEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ALONG
THE DIFFUSE FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH LOUISIANA
AND SOUTH ARKANSAS ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE, HIGH
PRESSURE TO REBUILD ACROSS THE REGION FROM THE WEST ALLOWING FOR
SLIGHTLY COOLER AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. THE DRIER
AIRMASS WILL ALSO ALLOW FOR MUCH COOLER OVERNIGHT LOW
TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM THE LOWER 60S ACROSS THE OUACHITAS TO
THE MID TO UPPER 60S ACROSS NORTH LOUISIANA AND DEEP EAST TEXAS BY
THURSDAY MORNING.
OTHERWISE, DRY CONDITIONS TO PERSIST THROUGH THE EARLY PART OF THE
WEEKEND. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE FROM
SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY, MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING,
AHEAD OF ANOTHER COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION AND
LINGER ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. MUCH COOLER HIGH PRESSURE
BEHIND THE FRONT WILL REPLACE HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S ON SATURDAY
WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 80S ON SUNDAY. SOME LOCATIONS ACROSS
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA MAY HOVER IN THE UPPER 70S. OTHERWISE, EXPECT LATE
WEEKEND LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. /05/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1232 PM CDT TUE SEP 2 2025
CONDITIONS WILL STAY VFR WITH A LIGHT CU FIELD OVER THE REGION
THROUGH THE PERIOD. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE NORTHERLY AND LESS
THAN 5 KTS, WITH SEVERAL AREAS LIKELY TO HAVE NEAR-CALM WINDS
OVERNIGHT. THIS COULD INCREASE THE CHANCE FOR FOG DEVELOPMENT
DEPENDING ON WHAT AREAS SEE RAIN THIS AFTERNOON. THE HREF IS
STILL PLACING THE HIGHEST RAIN CHANCES EAST OF I-49 AT THIS TIME
BUT SOME VCSH IN OTHER AREAS CAN'T BE RULED OUT. RAIN SHOULD BEGIN
TO DISSIPATE SHORTLY AFTER 00Z TONIGHT. /57/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1114 AM CDT TUE SEP 2 2025
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 72 91 70 95 / 10 10 0 0
MLU 69 89 68 95 / 20 40 0 0
DEQ 66 88 64 91 / 10 10 0 0
TXK 70 90 68 95 / 10 10 0 0
ELD 66 88 65 94 / 20 20 0 0
TYR 70 88 68 91 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 69 89 67 93 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 71 92 68 95 / 0 10 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...05
AVIATION...57
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