629  
FXUS64 KSHV 101736  
AFDSHV  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA  
1236 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025  
   
..NEW DISCUSSION  
 
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
ISSUED AT 1219 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025  
 
- DRY AND QUIET CONDITIONS CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION AS WE HEAD  
INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.  
 
- THOUGH TEMPERATURES ARE MILD NOW, A SLOW CLIMB BACK TOWARDS THE  
LOWER 90'S IS EXPECTED AS WE HEAD INTO NEXT WEEK.  
 
- NO MEASURABLE RAINFALL IS CURRENTLY EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT  
SEVEN DAYS.  
 
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
ISSUED AT 1219 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025  
 
THE FOUR STATE REGION REMAINS STUCK IN THE MIDDLE OF TWO WEATHER  
SYSTEMS ACROSS THE CONUS. BETWEEN TROUGHING ACROSS THE SE CONUS  
THAT WILL SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF A COASTAL LOW ALONG THE MID-  
ATLANTIC STATES, AND A LARGE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE APPROACHING  
THE PNW, AMPLIFIED RIDGING BISECTS THE COUNTRY, WITH LOCAL  
INFLUENCE EXPECTED TO ONLY INCREASE AS THE RIDGE SLIDES EAST  
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. LOCALLY, THIS WILL KEEP THE REGION DRY WHILE  
ALSO ALLOWING FOR AFTERNOON HIGHS TO CREEP CLOSER TO 90 DEG F FOR  
THE START OF NEXT WEEK. THE GOOD NEWS IN THIS IS THAT BOTH  
DETERMINISTIC GUIDANCE AND NBM OUTPUT DEPICT DEW POINTS TO REMAIN  
IN THE UPPER 50'S TO NEAR 60 DEG F. SO WHILE THE ACTUAL  
TEMPERATURE MAY RETURN TO THE 90'S, HUMIDITY WILL BE TOLERABLE.  
 
LOOKING TO NEXT WEEK, AND AS PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED, THE PATTERN  
REMAINS BENIGN FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE AS THE INFLUENCE OF THE  
RIDGE KEEPS THE FA IN A DRY AND WARM STATE. WHILE NOT NORMALLY  
DISCUSSED IN THIS PORTION, GIVEN THE PROLONGED DRY PERIOD, AND A  
NOTICEABLE UPTICK IN LOCAL DROUGHT CONDITIONS, FIRE WEATHER DUE TO  
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND DRY SOILS WILL NEED TO BE CLOSELY  
MONITORED IN THE COMING DAYS. THIS CONCERN WILL ONLY INCREASE AS  
THE RIDGE REMAINS PARKED OVERHEAD, WITH ANY CHANCE FOR MOISTURE  
ROUNDING THE RIDGE ON THE WESTERN AND NORTHERN SIDE.  
 
53  
 
 
   
AVIATION  
 
(12Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 645 AM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025  
 
FOR THE 10/12Z TAF PERIOD...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE  
AREAWIDE, WITH LITTLE CLOUD COVER TODAY. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL  
BECOME LIGHT/VARIABLE TO CALM BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. /20/  
 
 
   
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT  
 
ISSUED AT 1223 AM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025  
 
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.  
 
 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS  
 
SHV 61 87 63 89 / 0 0 0 0  
MLU 58 86 58 87 / 0 0 0 0  
DEQ 58 84 57 86 / 0 0 0 0  
TXK 60 89 61 90 / 0 0 0 0  
ELD 55 84 56 85 / 0 0 0 0  
TYR 60 88 62 89 / 0 0 0 0  
GGG 58 87 60 88 / 0 0 0 0  
LFK 58 89 60 88 / 0 0 0 0  
 
 
   
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
AR...NONE.  
LA...NONE.  
OK...NONE.  
TX...NONE.  
 
 
 
 
DISCUSSION...53  
AVIATION...20  
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