554  
SXUS44 KMAF 160639  
RECMAF  
 
RECREATIONAL FORECASTS FOR WEST TEXAS/SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX  
139 AM CDT THU JUL 16 2026  
 
RECREATIONAL FORECAST TEXT REPRESENTS AN AVERAGE OF CONDITIONS  
OVER THE ENTIRE PARK.  
 
SPOT TEMPERATURES AND PROBABILITIES OF MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION ARE  
FOR TODAY, TONIGHT, AND FRIDAY.  
 
TXZ279-280-282-162100-  
BIG BEND NATIONAL PARK-  
139 AM CDT THU JUL 16 2026  
   
..FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING  
 
   
REST OF TODAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS,  
THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. SOME  
THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S IN  
THE MOUNTAINS TO AROUND 90 ALONG THE RIO GRANDE. LIGHT AND VARIABLE  
WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT.    
TONIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
EVENING, THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER  
MIDNIGHT. SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL. LOWS 67 TO  
72. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER  
MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING, THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE HEAVY  
RAINFALL IN THE MORNING. SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE HEAVY  
RAINFALL IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S IN THE MOUNTAINS  
TO THE LOWER 90S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING, THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS 68 TO 73. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING,  
THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS  
IN THE LOWER 70S IN THE MOUNTAINS TO THE MID 90S ALONG THE RIO  
GRANDE. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION  
50 PERCENT.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING, THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS 68 TO 73. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING, THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S IN THE  
MOUNTAINS TO THE MID 90S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING, THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER  
MIDNIGHT. LOWS 69 TO 74. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT.    
MONDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S IN THE  
MOUNTAINS TO THE MID 90S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 70 TO 75.    
TUESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S IN THE MOUNTAINS TO THE UPPER  
90S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 70 TO 75.    
WEDNESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S IN THE MOUNTAINS TO  
AROUND 103 ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.  
 
 
TEMPERATURE / PRECIPITATION  
 
VISITORS CENTER 84 68 85 / 40 40 40  
CASTOLON 89 73 91 / 40 40 40  
CHISOS BASIN 73 62 75 / 50 40 50  
PERSIMMON GAP 86 70 87 / 50 50 50  
RIO GRANDE VILLAGE 92 72 94 / 60 50 50  
 
 
 
NMZ027-028-162100-  
CARLSBAD CAVERNS NATIONAL PARK-  
1239 AM MDT THU JUL 16 2026  
   
REST OF TODAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
TONIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. EAST WINDS 10 TO  
20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.    
FRIDAY  
SUNNY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING, THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER  
MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT.    
SATURDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS  
10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S.    
SUNDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S.    
MONDAY  
SUNNY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN  
THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70.    
TUESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 90.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S.    
WEDNESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.  
 
 
TEMPERATURE / PRECIPITATION  
 
VISITORS CENTER 86 67 88 / 10 10 20  
 
 
 
TXZ277-162100-  
FORT DAVIS NATIONAL HISTORIC SITE-  
139 AM CDT THU JUL 16 2026  
   
..FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING  
 
   
REST OF TODAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR AFTER MIDNIGHT, THEN SUNNY WITH  
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. MOSTLY  
CLOUDY WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
80S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS BECOMING EAST 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT.    
TONIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
EVENING. SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL IN THE  
EVENING. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE  
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.    
FRIDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
MORNING, THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
80S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING, THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS AROUND 60. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT.    
SATURDAY  
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN  
THE MORNING, THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS  
IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
IN THE EVENING, THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS AROUND  
60. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT.    
SUNDAY  
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN  
THE MORNING, THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS  
IN THE MID 80S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 80 PERCENT.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S.    
TUESDAY  
SUNNY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S.    
WEDNESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 90.  
 
 
TEMPERATURE / PRECIPITATION  
 
VISITORS CENTER 81 59 84 / 60 50 40  
 
 
 
TXZ270-271-162100-  
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NATIONAL PARK-  
1239 AM MDT THU JUL 16 2026  
   
REST OF TODAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR AFTER MIDNIGHT, THEN MOSTLY SUNNY WITH  
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S NEAR THE  
MOUNTAIN PEAKS TO THE UPPER 80S BELOW 5000 FEET. NORTHEAST WINDS  
10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT.    
TONIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 59 TO 66. EAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH  
SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.    
FRIDAY  
SUNNY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
MORNING, THEN PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S NEAR THE MOUNTAIN PEAKS TO  
THE UPPER 80S BELOW 5000 FEET. EAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 59 TO 66. EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING, THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID  
70S NEAR THE MOUNTAIN PEAKS TO AROUND 90 BELOW 5000 FEET. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. LOWS 59 TO 66.    
SUNDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S NEAR THE  
MOUNTAIN PEAKS TO THE UPPER 80S BELOW 5000 FEET.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
IN THE EVENING, THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS 60 TO 67. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S NEAR THE  
MOUNTAIN PEAKS TO THE UPPER 80S BELOW 5000 FEET.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. LOWS 62 TO 69.    
TUESDAY  
SUNNY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S NEAR THE MOUNTAIN PEAKS TO  
THE LOWER 90S BELOW 5000 FEET.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 63 TO 70.    
WEDNESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S NEAR THE MOUNTAIN PEAKS  
TO THE LOWER 90S BELOW 5000 FEET.  
 
 
TEMPERATURE / PRECIPITATION  
 
VISITORS CENTER 83 64 86 / 20 10 40  
DOG CANYON 77 59 79 / 20 10 40  
MCKITTRICK CANYON 84 66 86 / 20 10 40  
 
 
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